QB injuries don’t hit as often as they do at other positions. But that can make them all the more devastating.
What goes into predicting a QB injury? There are two key factors:
If you run the ball a lot, then you simply face more risk. More hits = more opportunities to get injured.
But there’s also that list of past injuries. Tua Tagovailoa’s concussion history means he’s more likely to sit out longer if he suffers another. And that guy with the soft-tissue issues in his recent past? You should know he carries extra risk.
Use these calculations not only to gauge who’s most likely to get hurt, but also which backup QBs might have a better shot at finding opportunity.
QB injuries don’t hit as often as they do at other positions. But that can make them all the more devastating.
What goes into predicting a QB injury? There are two key factors:
If you run the ball a lot, then you simply face more risk. More hits = more opportunities to get injured.
But there’s also that list of past injuries. Tua Tagovailoa’s concussion history means he’s more likely to sit out longer if he suffers another. And that guy with the soft-tissue issues in his recent past? You should know he carries extra risk.
Use these calculations not only to gauge who’s most likely to get hurt, but also which backup QBs might have a better shot at finding opportunity.
Player | Injury Risk | Career Injuries | Injuries Per Season | Injury Risk Per Season | Injury Risk Per Game | Durability | PPR Points | Projected Games Missed | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | WAS QB1 |   | Low Risk | 4 | 4.0/yr | 28.3% | 1.9% | 5.0 | 384 | 1.0 |
 | BAL QB2 | | Medium Risk | 6 | 0.8/yr | 42.5% | 3.2% | 5.0 | 382 | 1.7 |
 | PHI QB3 | | Medium Risk | 6 | 1.2/yr | 55.7% | 4.7% | 5.0 | 379 | 1.3 |
 | BUF QB4 | | Very Low Risk | 9 | 1.3/yr | 11.8% | 0.7% | 5.0 | 375 | 0.5 |
 | CIN QB5 | | High Risk | 11 | 2.2/yr | 63.3% | 5.7% | 4.7 | 368 | 2.4 |
 | KC QB6 | | Very Low Risk | 9 | 1.1/yr | 11.4% | 0.7% | 5.0 | 333 | 0.5 |
 | DEN QB7 | | Very Low Risk | 3 | 3.0/yr | 21.2% | 1.4% | 5.0 | 322 | 1.1 |
 | NYJ QB8 | | Very High Risk | 9 | 2.3/yr | 86.6% | 11.2% | 5.0 | 318 | 3.4 |
 | TB QB9 | | Low Risk | 9 | 1.3/yr | 27.1% | 1.8% | 5.0 | 317 | 1.0 |
 | CHI QB10 | | Low Risk | 2 | 2.0/yr | 26.0% | 1.8% | 5.0 | 316 | 1.4 |
 | ARI QB11 | | Low Risk | 7 | 1.2/yr | 32.6% | 2.3% | 3.4 | 316 | 1.5 |
 | LAC QB12 | | Very High Risk | 10 | 2.0/yr | 69.2% | 6.7% | 5.0 | 315 | 2.4 |
 | DAL QB13 | | Low Risk | 8 | 0.9/yr | 26.1% | 1.8% | 5.0 | 307 | 0.5 |
 | JAC QB14 | | Low Risk | 11 | 2.8/yr | 38.1% | 2.8% | 5.0 | 304 | 2.0 |
 | NE QB15 | | Very Low Risk | 3 | 3.0/yr | 20.1% | 1.3% | 5.0 | 303 | 1.0 |
 | MIN QB16 | | Very Low Risk | 3 | 3.0/yr | 17.5% | 1.1% | 5.0 | 302 | 1.2 |
 | SF QB17 | | Low Risk | 5 | 1.3/yr | 25.3% | 1.7% | 5.0 | 301 | 1.0 |
 | DET QB18 | | Very Low Risk | 4 | 0.4/yr | 20.1% | 1.3% | 5.0 | 300 | 0.4 |
 | GB QB19 | | Very Low Risk | 5 | 1.0/yr | 19.9% | 1.3% | 5.0 | 297 | 0.6 |
 | HOU QB20 | | Low Risk | 2 | 1.0/yr | 25.7% | 1.7% | 5.0 | 295 | 1.0 |
 | CAR QB21 | | Low Risk | 2 | 1.0/yr | 29.2% | 2.0% | 5.0 | 294 | 1.4 |
 | MIA QB22 | | Medium Risk | 17 | 3.4/yr | 49.1% | 3.9% | 4.1 | 293 | 2.0 |
 | LVR QB23 | | Medium Risk | 7 | 0.6/yr | 52.5% | 4.3% | 5.0 | 276 | 1.5 |
 | LAR QB24 | | Very High Risk | 23 | 1.4/yr | 80.3% | 9.1% | 4.6 | 272 | 2.7 |
 | SEA QB25 | | Low Risk | 9 | 1.3/yr | 30.7% | 2.1% | 3.4 | 271 | 1.2 |
 | IND QB26 | | Low Risk | 6 | 3.0/yr | 40.4% | 3.0% | 2.3 | 266 | 2.4 |
 | ATL QB27 | | Very Low Risk | 4 | 4.0/yr | 21.2% | 1.4% | 0.9 | 266 | 0.9 |
 | NYG QB28 | | Low Risk | 7 | 0.5/yr | 38.4% | 2.8% | 5.0 | 253 | 1.0 |
 | PIT QB29 | | Low Risk | 16 | 0.8/yr | 35.8% | 2.6% | 4.2 | 247 | 3.4 |
| IND QB30 | | Medium Risk | 10 | 1.7/yr | 43.8% | 3.3% | 2.9 | 121 | 2.1 |
 | CLE QB31 | | Very Low Risk | 7 | 0.4/yr | 14.7% | 0.9% | 5.0 | 70 | 0.2 |
| ATL QB32 | | Very Low Risk | 3 | 0.2/yr | 17.2% | 1.1% | 5.0 | 56 | 1.2 |
| CLE QB33 | | Medium Risk | 8 | 2.0/yr | 41.5% | 3.1% | 4.7 | 54 | 1.3 |
 | NO QB34 | | Very Low Risk | 3 | 3.0/yr | 5.8% | 0.4% | 5.0 | 44 | 0.3 |
| CLE QB35 | | Very Low Risk | 10 | 1.3/yr | 20.8% | 1.4% | 3.1 | 30 | 1.1 |
For us, it's 1/17th of the equation. Hear us out.
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