Bijan Robinson Fantasy Overview

2024 Summary

Production & Fantasy Finishes

Robinson ran for 1,456 yards and 14 TDs on 304 carries across 17 games last year. All three marks ranked top five league-wide.

He tacked on another 431 yards and a score on 61 catches. He ranked fifth among RBs in receiving yards and third in catches.

Robinson finished fourth at the position in total PPR points and PPR points per game. He also ranked fourth in half-PPR scoring.

Robinson was more productive over the second half of the season than the first. Here are the per-game splits:

First eight games

• 68.3 rushing yards
• 30.5 receiving yards
• 0.63 total TDs
• 17.5 PPR points per game

Final nine games

• 101.1 rushing yards
• 20.8 receiving yards
• 1.11 total TDs
• 22.4 PPR points per game

Only Jahmyr Gibbs and Saquon Barkley scored more total PPR points than Robinson from Week 9 on.

Usage & Role

Robinson’s spike in production over the second half of last season was largely a result of better usage.

First eight games

• 14.5 carries per game
  • 56.0% carry share
• 4.4 targets per game
  • 12.8% target share

Final nine games

• 20.9 carries per game
  • 65.3% carry share
• 4.1 targets per game
  • 12.9% target share

Robinson also handled 81% of Atlanta’s carries inside the five-yard line over his final nine games after drawing 57% of those attempts over the first eight.

Robinson climbed from 14th among RBs in expected PPR points per game through Week 8 to second from Week 9 on.

Efficiency Metrics

Robinson averaged 4.8 yards per carry last year — ninth among 47 RBs with 90+ carries. He ran behind a strong offensive line but did plenty of damage on his own.

Among those 47 RBs, Robinson ranked:

• 13th in rush yards over expected per attempt
• 25th in yards after contact per attempt
• 17th in missed tackles forced per attempt
• 2nd in Pro Football Focus rushing grade

Robinson averaged just 7.1 yards per catch last year but hauled in 84.7% of his targets. He ranked 22nd in yards per route and fifth in PFF receiving grade among 37 qualifying RBs.

Offensive Context

The 2024 Falcons finished 13th in points and sixth in total yards. They were a fast-paced, run-leaning offense, ranking:

• 9th in pace
• 8th in plays
• 24th in pass rate
• 17th in neutral pass rate

Robinson ran behind a strong offensive line that finished:

• 6th in adjusted line yards
• 1st in Pro Football Focus run-blocking grades
• 20th in ESPN run block win rate

Historical Production & Trends

Robinson ranked eighth among RBs in total PPR points and 15th in points per game as a rookie in 2023. He climbed from 14.8 points per game that year to 19.9 in 2024.

Robinson also improved his Pro Football Focus rushing and receiving grades from year one to year two.

Injury History

Robinson has played all 34 games across his first two NFL seasons.

His only notable injury is a dislocated elbow in 2021 at Texas that cost him the final two games of his sophomore season.

2025 Expectations

Projected Role & Competition

No changes to Atlanta’s backfield this offseason. Robinson will be the lead back, with Tyler Allgeier the No. 2.

Jase McClellan is currently third on the depth chart. He played 19 offensive snaps and carried 13 times as a rookie last year. All of those carries came late in two blowout losses (Weeks 7 and 11).

Supporting Cast

Michael Penix will be under center for the Falcons this year. He showed well in three starts at the end of his 2023 rookie campaign, averaging 7.4 yards per attempt and earning an 87.6 overall PFF passing grade. That ranked fourth among 47 QBs with 100+ dropbacks and easily beat Kirk Cousins’ 72.3.

Penix might come with a wider range of outcomes than Cousins — but there’s a good chance he proves to be an upgrade.

Other than Penix, the Falcons return nearly the same offense they trotted out last year. WRs Drake London, Darnell Mooney, and Ray-Ray McCloud are back, along with TE Kyle Pitts.

Four of five starters on the offensive line return from last year, with C Drew Dalman the only departure. He’ll be replaced by C Ryan Neuzil, who went undrafted back in 2021. Neuzil struggled in eight starts in place of Dalman last year and is a question mark heading into 2025. But this still projects to be a strong offensive line overall.

Coaching & Offensive Scheme

HC Raheem Morris and OC Zac Robinson return for their second season together in Atlanta. Morris is a defensive-minded HC, so Robinson runs the show on offense.

Last season was his first as an OC in the NFL. He spent the previous five years working under Sean McVay in Los Angeles.

Atlanta went a bit run-heavier with Penix than Cousins last season. Expect Robinson to let Penix throw it more in 2025 — but this still projects as a run-leaning offense centered on Robinson.

The continuity in coaching is certainly a plus for Robinson’s outlook.

Production & Efficiency Trends

Robinson will play the 2025 season at 23 years old. That’s peak age for RBs, according to our aging-curve research.