Jared Goff Fantasy Overview

2024 Summary

Production & Fantasy Finishes

Goff finished QB6 in total fantasy points (385.1) and QB8 in points per game (22.7), backed by 4,629 passing yards (2nd) and 37 TDs (4th) with just 12 INTs.

He added one rushing TD and minimal ground yardage.

Goff recorded eight top-10 weekly finishes, with only two games outside the top 24, making him a steady and efficient weekly fantasy starter.

Usage & Role

Goff was a pure pocket passer, completing 390 of 539 attempts, and offering next to no rushing production (56 rush yards on 35 attempts).

He finished 3rd in red-zone attempts, 3rd in inside-the-10 passes, and 13th in end-zone throws, capitalizing on Detroit’s red-zone opportunities despite the 25th-ranked red-zone pass rate.

Efficiency Metrics

Goff ranked:

• 1st in on-target throw rate (80%+) for the second consecutive year
• 5th in adjusted completion rate (78.6%)
• 2nd in actual passing yards vs. 9th in expected
• 4th in actual passing TDs vs. 5th in expected

He was the 4th-biggest fantasy overachiever at QB, however, buoyed by elite YAC efficiency (6.8 YAC/completion).

While he ranked just 27th in big-time throw rate (3.0%) and 29th in deep throw rate (7.4%), he consistently delivered within structure.

Offensive Context

Detroit’s offense was elite in volume, ranking 1st in total plays. The Lions operated a run-first system (27th in overall pass rate, 53.4% neutral pass rate).

His environment was ideal for maximizing efficiency and sustaining long drives, aided by a top-10 supporting cast and former OC Ben Johnson’s design.

Historical Production & Trends

Goff’s 2024 marked a career-best fantasy output, continuing an upward trend from 2022 and 2023, when he averaged 0.56 fantasy points per pass attempt before spiking to 0.68 in 2024.

He’s now finished as a top-10 fantasy QB in back-to-back seasons, showing growth in decision-making and red-zone execution.

Injury History

Goff played all 17 games in 2024 and has been mostly durable since arriving in Detroit. He enters 2025 healthy with no major injury concerns.

2025 Expectations

Projected Role & Competition

Goff is locked in as Detroit’s starting QB with no competition.

Third-year QB Hendon Hooker will compete with free agent signing Kyle Allen for the backup job behind Goff.

Supporting Cast

Goff benefits from one of the best supporting casts in the NFL.

WR Amon-Ra St. Brown has been a consistent presence for his four-year career as the only WR with a 90+ PFF receiving grade in each of the last three seasons.

WR Jameson Williams finally hit his stride in 2024 with the highest yards after catch per reception in the league at 8.9.

The Lions also drafted WR Isaac TeSlaa in the third round and return WRs Tim Patrick and Kalif Raymond.

TE Sam LaPorta had the fourth highest yards after catch per reception among TEs with 5.7 and helped prop up Goff’s red zone efficiency.

The strong RB duo in Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery doesn’t hurt with both having success as receiving weapons..

The YAC-friendly weapons enhance Goff’s efficiency.

Coaching & Offensive Scheme

Ben Johnson’s offense was built to play to Goff’s strengths (quick reads, play-action, intermediate accuracy) and avoid his weaknesses as a non-mobile, pressure-sensitive QB.

The Lions were first in the NFL in points with a 52.2% pass rate and 53.4% neutral pass rate. Though they were 27th in pace, they had ranked in the top 13 the three years prior.

Unfortunately, Johnson has moved on to coach the Bears.

New OC John Morton was a senior offensive assistant under Johnson in 2022. Over the last two years, he was the passing game assistant for the Broncos.

Morton vowed he would keep the offensive scheme intact stating: “I’m not changing much. I mean, why? I mean, it’s working, right?”

If the scheme stays the same, Goff should continue to benefit from a strong offensive attack.