Jared Goff Fantasy Overview

2025 Role & Results

Production & Fantasy Finishes

Goff delivered a strong fantasy season through passing volume and efficiency.

He threw for 4,564 yards and 34 TDs, both second among QBs. He completed 68.0% of his passes, posted a 105.5 passer rating, and tossed just 8 INTs. That now makes four straight seasons where he has thrown for at least 4,400 yards and 29 TDs.

Goff turned that into nine top-12 fantasy finishes, with his worst weeks landing at QB21. He finished QB15 in fantasy points per game.

Goff's rushing remained a non-factor.

Usage & Role

Goff ranked fourth in pass attempts (578), second in completions (393), seventh in dropbacks (623), and fourth in passing first downs (225).

Detroit gave him enough work to matter every week. And the offense was good enough to turn that work into high-end production.

Goff excelled statistically despite the Lions only ranking 17th in pace (62.5 plays per game), 19th in pass rate (58.7%), and 20th in neutral pass rate (57.8%).

The 2026 question is whether new OC Drew Petzing adds passing volume. Detroit had a 57.8% neutral pass rate in 2025 while Petzing’s 2025 offense jumped to 63.4%. Even a partial move in that direction would help Goff’s projection.

Efficiency & Regression

Goff’s efficiency was strong.

He ranked sixth in PFF adjusted completion rate at 80.2%, 10th in yards per attempt at 7.9, and 10th in expected points added. His 2.0% turnover-worthy play rate (tied for the best in the league among QBs with 300+ dropbacks) also supports the idea that last year’s production was not built on reckless passing.

Goff’s safe and efficient passing got help from a passing plan that typically didn’t attack downfield.

Goff’s intended air yards sat at 6.8 per attempt, his aggressiveness rate was just 12.5%, and Detroit ranked 31st in team average depth of target. It was an accurate, timing-based offense that created production through structure, efficiency, and yards after the catch.

Offensive Context

Detroit gave Goff one of the league’s best offensive environments.

The Lions ranked fifth in total yards per game, third in passing yards per game, third in passing TDs per game, fourth in yards per pass attempt, and eighth in EPA per play. They still ranked this highly despite the Lions only being 13th in plays per game (62.5 plays per game), 19th in pass rate (58.7%), and 20th in neutral pass rate (57.8%).

The Lions ranked fifth in rushing TDs per game and 12th in rushing yards per game. They also had the second-highest RB target share, which fits Goff’s short-area passing style but also means the offense can support Jahmyr Gibbs without necessarily creating huge fantasy weeks for Goff.

The environment was excellent, but it was not built to maximize Goff’s fantasy scoring.

2026 Opportunity & Projection

Supporting Cast

Goff’s weapons fit his game well, and he returns his main receiving options.

Amon-Ra St. Brown remains the centerpiece. He caught 117 passes for 1,401 yards and 11 TDs, giving Goff one of the league’s best short and intermediate targets. His 591 yards after catch also fit Detroit’s short-aDOT style.

Jameson Williams supplies the vertical element. He topped 1,100 receiving yards, scored 7 TDs, and averaged 17.2 yards per catch. Williams’ skills help keep opponents from sitting on the underneath work that defines the rest of the passing game.

Isaac TeSlaa, Greg Dortch, and rookie Kendrick Law round out the WRs.

Sam LaPorta gives Goff another efficient option over the middle. He caught 40 passes for 489 yards in nine games last year, with an 88.9% catch rate and 2.00 yards per route run.

Gibbs is also key to the passing game. Detroit ranked second in RB target share, and Gibbs caught 77 passes for 616 yards and 5 TDs. The team also added Isiah Pacheco after trading away David Montgomery.

Coaching & Offensive Scheme

Goff’s 2026 outlook depends heavily on how much of Petzing’s approach carries over. He is expected to call plays for the team. But the offense has already succeeded under multiple play callers.

The Lions ranked fifth in points in 2022, fifth in 2023, and first in 2024 under OC Ben Johnson. The team finished fifth last season, with OC John Morton and HC Dan Campbell calling plays. That consistency makes Goff easier to trust.

The pass-rate trend also moved in his favor last season. Detroit’s pass rate fell from 55.9% in 2022 to 52.2% in 2024 under Ben Johnson. It picked up to 58.7% in 2025 under Morton and Campbell. Neutral pass rate in 2025 was also the highest since 2021 at 57.8%

Now Petzing arrives after his most pass-heavy season. His pass rate over expected also climbed over his three years calling plays as the Cardinals OC:

Petzing's recent scoring results were mixed, but the talent jump from Arizona to Detroit should help keep the scoring strong.

Paths To Ceiling

Goff continues to provide consistent production on the Lions. He now has four straight seasons with at least 4,400 yards and 29 TDs and hasn’t missed a game over that time.

He has finished as QB8, QB6, QB7, and QB10 in PPR points in each of those seasons. In fantasy points per game, he ranked QB13, QB8, QB16, and QB16. We should see more of that production in 2026.

The weapons support that outcome. St. Brown supplies volume, Williams adds explosive plays, LaPorta boosts efficiency, and Gibbs turns short throws into meaningful production.

Goff does not need to change. He is a consistent QB2 who should replicate similar production to his past four seasons.

Risk Factors

Goff’s lack of rushing presents his biggest risk factor.

Goff had just five scrambles, so he needs passing yards and TDs to hit every week. That makes him more fragile than QBs who can survive mediocre passing days with rushing production.

The second risk is the shape of the passing game. Goff’s 6.8 intended air yards, 12.5% aggressiveness rate, and Detroit’s 31st-ranked aDOT all point to a controlled offense. That has worked for him, but it leaves him dependent on accuracy, YAC, and TD conversion.

Those two factors keep him out of the top QB tiers. Still, his recent production, strong supporting cast, and Petzing's pass-heavy trend make Goff a good bet for useful QB2 production with weekly QB1 upside.