Justice Hill Fantasy Overview

2024 Summary

Production & Fantasy Finishes

Hill finished RB38 in total PPR points (127.1) and RB44 in points per game (8.5) across 15 games.

He totaled just 47 carries for 228 yards and one rushing TD, but added 42 catches (T-14th among RBs) for 383 yards (11th) and 3 receiving TDs (T-5th) on 51 targets.

He posted four top-24 fantasy finishes, primarily in games with elevated passing volume or explosive plays.

Usage & Role

Hill was used as Baltimore’s clear passing-down back, operating in space and often lining up in motion or on angle routes.

He had a nearly even split in run concepts (25 zone / 13 gap) but was rarely used between the tackles.

His pass-game role kept him fantasy-relevant despite low carry volume.

Efficiency Metrics

Hill was elite across multiple advanced metrics despite limited touches:

• 4.9 yards per carry (10th among RBs with 40+ carries)
• 4.19 yards after contact per attempt (1st)
• 40.8% breakaway run rate (4th)
• 113.0 Elusive Rating (5th)
• 1.64 yards per route (9th)
• 88.8 PFF receiving grade (3rd)

His only liability remained pass protection (56.1 pass-blocking grade, 28th), which occasionally limited late-down usage.

Offensive Context

The Ravens ran a run-heavy (47.5% pass rate), slow-paced offense (25th in pace), but their elite OL (3rd in both pass and run blocking success) and Lamar Jackson’s skillset opened space for Hill to operate efficiently.

Baltimore’s scheme favors RBs who can create mismatches in space, which favors Hill when he is on the field.

Historical Production & Trends

2024 was Hill’s best season as a receiver.

After years of being a low-volume change-of-pace option, he emerged as a legitimate third-down asset.

He achieved career highs in targets, receptions, receiving yards, and receiving TDs.

Injury History

Hill missed one game in 2024 with a concussion.

Since 2020, Hill has missed at least one game per season due to injury.

His most significant injury was an Achilles tear that cost him his 2021 season.

2025 Expectations

Projected Role & Competition

Hill returns as the likely No. 2 behind Derrick Henry, specializing in passing situations and high-leverage third downs.

Keaton Mitchell and Rasheen Ali will compete for the third position on the depth chart, but neither are a threat to Hill’s role.

Henry’s dominance caps Hill’s upside, but if Henry does go down with injury, Hill could put up RB2 numbers in PPR.

Supporting Cast

QB Lamar Jackson remains an elite QB whose presence keeps defenders honest both in the run and the pass.

WRs Zay Flowers and Rashod Bateman return, along with TEs Mark Andrews and Isaiah Likely, keeping the core of the offense intact.

The OL also will be returning starting OTs Ronnie Stanley and Roger Rosengarten as well as the interior OL Tyler Linderbaum, Andrew Vorhees, and Daniel Faalele.

In 2024, they ranked third in ESPN run blocking success rate (74%).

Coaching & Offensive Scheme

Leaning more into the run led to a slower pace of play for OC Todd Monken’s offense in 2024. Baltimore finished 25th with 62.1 plays per game, down from 63.3 plays per game in 2023.

The pass rate also declined with the addition of Henry, going from 49.7% in 2023 to 47.5% in 2024.

Their neutral pass rate declined from 53.7% in 2023 to 52.6% in 2024.

Hill could benefit from an increased pass rate, but there was enough meat on the bone to make him a viable streaming RB in PPR.

Production & Efficiency Trends

Hill’s 2024 profile was all about doing more with less — he was top-10 in yards after contact, breakaway rate, yards per route, and receiving grade on limited touches.

That trend likely continues in 2025 with all the key pieces of the offense returning.