Justice Hill Fantasy Overview

2025 Role & Results

Production & Fantasy Finishes

Hill carried 18 times for 93 yards and 2 TDs across 10 games last year. He was busier in the passing game, catching 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards and 1 TD.

Hill ranked 58th among RBs in PPR points per game; 61st in half-PPR.

He finished RB4 in PPR points in Week 4 (117 total yards and 2 TDs) but had just one other weekly finish better than RB32.

Usage & Role

Hill’s role was clearly defined last year: The Ravens passed on 79.5% of his snaps.

He averaged just 1.8 carries per game but led Baltimore RBs with 2.7 targets per game. Hill ran a route on 39.0% of Ravens pass plays and drew a 10.4% target share across his 10 outings.

He ranked 70th among RBs in expected PPR points per game.

Efficiency & Regression

Among 48 RBs with 25+ targets last season, Hill ranked:

• 20th in yards per catch
• 13th in yards per route
• 17th in yards after catch per reception
• 30th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade

Hill averaged 5.2 yards on his 18 carries, but a 71-yarder did most of the work. He averaged just 1.3 yards on his other 17 totes.

Historical Production & Trends

Hill has been a passing-down back throughout his six NFL seasons. He’s averaged 4.7 carries and 1.8 targets per game for his career, and 3.6 carries and 2.9 targets over the last three years.

His three most productive seasons in PPR points per game have come over the last three years, and they still produced just RB51, RB44, and RB58 finishes.

Injury History & Durability

Hill’s 2025 season ended with a neck injury suffered in practice in late November. He landed on IR a few days later, but we never got any details on the injury.

Hill also missed two games last year with a toe injury and was sidelined for the entire 2021 season with a torn Achilles.

2026 Opportunity & Projection

Projected Role & Competition

The Athletic’s Jeff Zrebiec called Hill a “potential salary-cap cut” in March, but he remains on the roster as of now.

The Ravens return RB Derrick Henry, who will continue to dominate early-down work.

RB Keaton Mitchell departed for Los Angeles in free agency, but he averaged just 4.5 carries and 0.9 targets per game last year.

Third-year RB Rasheen Ali and rookie RB Adam Randall round out the depth chart.

Hill looks set to play a familiar passing-down role this season.

Coaching & Offensive Scheme

The Ravens fired HC John Harbaugh in January after 18 years. He’ll be replaced by HC Jesse Minter, who brought in OC Declan Doyle.

Minter has a defensive background, so Doyle will run the offense. The 30-year-old has no experience calling plays at any level, so he’s a wildcard.

It’s a safe bet, though, that Doyle’s offense will revolve around QB Lamar Jackson and RB Derrick Henry.

Paths To Ceiling

Hill’s only real path to a ceiling is a Derrick Henry injury, which hasn’t happened since 2021. Even then, it’s unclear how much Hill’s role would change, considering he’s hit double-digit carries in a game just four times as a pro.

Risk Factors

Unless he’s released, Hill’s passing-down role should be relatively safe. It just doesn’t carry any real fantasy value.