Rhamondre Stevenson Fantasy Overview

A Productive Fifth Season

Stevenson turned 130 carries into 603 yards and 7 TDs. He added 32 catches, 345 yards, and a career-high 2 TDs as a receiver.

TreVeyon Henderson’s arrival made Stevenson’s rushing production tough to trust. Stevenson topped 50 rushing yards five times but finished below 20 in four games and managed consecutive 50-yard games just once.

Even with that uneven production, Stevenson finished RB22 in PPR points per game and RB21 in half-PPR. He closed the season with RB5 and RB1 PPR finishes and added another top-10 performance in Week 2.

Outside those spikes, Stevenson logged three finishes between RB13 and RB18, three inside the top 36, and four outside the top 40.

Stevenson Proves to be the Steadier Back

In 14 games together, Stevenson led Henderson in snap share (59.3% to 37.5%), route rate (48.8% to 29.2%), and target share (9.1% to 7.4%).

Henderson held a narrow 133-130 carry edge, but Stevenson led 50% to 27.3% in rushes inside the 5-yard line, where he scored four of his seven rushing TDs.

Henderson playing all 17 games helped limit Stevenson to just one outing with more than 14 carries (18, Week 7 at Tennessee). Stevenson then took over the backfield in the postseason, beating the rookie 58-30 in carries and 15-6 in targets across four games.

His Efficiency Profile Beat Henderson's

Stevenson held the edge in most efficiency metrics:

Stevenson also performed better in the Pats’ predominant run scheme (man/gap), topping Henderson 4.9 yards per carry to 4.6.

Explosive runs boosted both RBs, with Henderson’s 39.6% explosive run rate just ahead of Stevenson’s 38.1%.

New England Provided an Excellent Environment

A breakout season from Drake Maye drove team rankings of second in points and third in total yards.

New England supplied a favorable rushing environment, ranking sixth in rush attempts and eighth in rush rate. The blocking held up, too, with the O-line finishing 11th in adjusted line yards and 12th in ESPN run-block win rate.

a Toe Injury Halts Progress

A toe injury cost Stevenson three games, and he managed just 6 carries for 5 yards in his first game back (Week 12 at Cincinnati).

He also missed one game in 2024 with a foot injury and five in 2023 with a high-ankle sprain.

Pats Will Run it Back

Expect Stevenson and Henderson to power the backfield again.

Our projections give Henderson the carry-share edge over Stevenson, 39.5% to 35.5%. That builds in some Year 2 growth from Henderson and some age-related downside for Stevenson.

We project both backs for 7 TDs, but Stevenson’s 20-pound size edge and last year’s goal-line success keep him positioned for the higher-value rushing chances.

Offense Should Remain One of the Best

Maye, Brown, Doubs, and Hunter Henry give New England enough passing-game firepower to keep defenses honest.

The O-line also remains in good shape. New England returns LT Will Campbell, RT Morgan Moses, and RG Mike Onwenu, while 2025 LG Jared Wilson shifts to center, his college position. The lone change is at LG, where the Pats will try to get a healthy season from Alijah Vera-Tucker.

The Pats certainly feel confident in his health after handing out a three-year deal with $21 million guaranteed, but he’s missed 41 games over the past four seasons, including all of 2025.

The Pats added insurance with Utah OT Caleb Lomu at pick No. 28, though his profile leans more pass protector than run blocker.

His Volume Probably Won't Spike

The Pats return OC Josh McDaniels.

Our projections have this unit’s run rate dropping to 45.2%, down from 46.9% in 2025. That’s supported by a Year 2 breakout from Maye and the WR additions of Brown and Doubs.

If Henderson takes the expected Year 2 step, Stevenson will have an even harder time matching last year’s 9.3 carries per game.

Stevenson Could Push for 10+ Tds

New England finished near the top of the league in points and yards last year, and Drake Maye is only entering Year 3.

It’s not difficult to envision a similar offensive performance, which could put Stevenson back in position to chase double-digit TDs. Barring a Henderson injury, though, that ceiling still likely tops out in mid-range RB2 territory.

He did finish RB12 in PPR points per game in 2022, but that came with an unrepeatable 69 catches and a weaker backfield partner in Damien Harris, who played just 11 games.

Henderson, Ball Security Add Risk

Any progress from Henderson would put Stevenson’s role under pressure. Stevenson’s fumbling history also leaves him vulnerable to a sudden workload shift.