Tua Tagovailoa Fantasy Overview

2024 Summary

Production & Fantasy Finishes

Tagovailoa averaged 260 passing yards and 1.7 TDs per game. He reached 300 yards in four of 11 games and hit 2+ passing TDs five times.

He finished 23rd among QBs in total fantasy points and 13th in points per game. He tallied only one weekly finish better than QB8.

Usage & Role

Tua averaged 36.2 pass attempts per game, which would have come out to a hefty 615 over a full season.

He totaled only .6 scrambles per game, which is consistent with past seasons.

Efficiency Metrics

Among 32 QBs with 300+ dropbacks, Tagovailoa ranked second in adjusted completion rate and tied for 17th in yards per attempt.

He ranked 24th in Pro Football Focus passing grade and 29th in PFF’s Big Time Throw metric. The latter highlights a QB’s ability to throw downfield into tight windows.

Tua posted a deep-throw rate (20+ air yards) of only 5.5%. This figure was nearly 11% in ‘23.

A quick-strike offense remained in place. Tua’s average of 2.42 seconds to throw was the shortest league-wide, per Next Gen Stats.

Offensive Context

The Dolphins ranked 18th in total yards per game and 22nd in points per game. Miami ranked 11th in pass rate (58.6%), a slight increase from 2023.

Tagovailoa’s weapons dealt with several injuries. Tyreek Hill played through a wrist injury, while Jaylen Waddle missed two games with a knee injury. LT Terron Armstead even missed a pair of games.

The O-line remained underwhelming, ranking 28th in ESPN’s pass block win rate. They finished 20th in Pro Football Focus pass blocking grade.

Historical Production & Trends

Tagovailoa’s production peaked in 2023 with 4,624 yards, 29 TDs, and 14 INTs. Still, he finished as the QB15 in fantasy points per game.

Poor rushing production played a major role. In fact, Tua has tallied 0 rushing TDs and fewer than 75 rushing yards in three straight seasons.

Injury History

Tagovailoa missed four games with a concussion and two with a hip in 2024. He’s now suffered four documented concussions since 2019.

He played all 17 games in 2023 but missed time with concussions in 2021 and 2022.

2025 Expectations

Projected Role & Competition

Tua enters his sixth season as the starter. Miami added Zach Wilson in free agency and Quinn Ewers in Round 7 of the NFL Draft to compete for the backup job.

Supporting Cast

Tyreek Hill is slated to return for his fourth season in Miami. The 31-year-old was the subject of offseason trade rumors.

Jaylen Waddle returns for his fifth season. In 2024, Waddle's yards per catch (12.8) and yards per route run (1.53) both hit career lows. At 27 (in November), he’s squarely in his prime years.

Miami returns TE Jonnu Smith. He took off down the stretch in 2024, finishing as the fantasy TE1 over the final eight weeks.

Miami’s O-line still profiles as a below-average unit. LT Terron Armstead retired, and the team will likely turn to unproven second-year man Patrick Paul. He played at a replacement level on 229 pass-blocking snaps last season.

Miami beefed up the interior with G James Daniels and rookie G Jonah Savaiinaea. Note that Daniels is coming off a September Achilles tear.

Coaching & Offensive Scheme

Tua enters the season with offensive continuity. HC Mike McDaniel and OC Frank Smith return for their fourth season together.

In three seasons as Miami’s play-caller, McDaniels’ units have ranked 13th (2022), 20th, and 8th in pass attempts; 4th, 1st, and 15th in passing yards.