Tyler Allgeier Fantasy Overview

2024 Summary

Production & Fantasy Finishes

Allgeier tallied 137 carries for 644 yards and three TDs in 17 games last year. He caught all 13 of his targets for another 88 yards.

That left Allgeier 43rd among RBs in total PPR points and 58th in points per game. He climbed to 39th in total non-PPR points and 53rd in points per game.

Allgeier scored as a top-24 PPR RB just once all season and cracked the top 35 only three times.

Usage & Role

Allgeier operated as the clear No. 2 RB behind Bijan Robinson all season. And the gap between them grew over the second half of the season.

Here were Allgeier’s per-game averages:

First eight games

• 30% snap rate
• 8.5 carries
  • 32.9% carry share
• 1.0 targets
  • 2.9% target share

Final nine games

• 21% snap rate
• 7.7 carries
  • 24% carry share
• 0.6 targets
  • 1.7% target share

Allgeier ranked 61st among RBs in expected PPR points per game and 57th in actual points per game over those final nine outings.

Efficiency Metrics

Allgeier remained plenty efficient last year.

He ranked 11th among 47 qualifying RBs with 4.7 yards per carry. His 3.61 yards after contact per attempt ranked fourth — and was over a half yard better than Robinson’s 3.03.

Allgeier also beat Robinson in missed tackles forced per attempt (0.27 to 0.23). Robinson just barely edged Allgeier in rush yards over expected per attempt (+0.66 to +0.61).

Offensive Context

The 2024 Falcons finished 13th in points and sixth in total yards. They were a fast-paced, run-leaning offense, ranking:

• 9th in pace
• 8th in plays
• 24th in pass rate
• 17th in neutral pass rate

Allgeier ran behind a strong offensive line that finished:

• 6th in adjusted line yards
• 1st in Pro Football Focus run-blocking grades
• 20th in ESPN run block win rate

Historical Production & Trends

Allgeier’s carries per game have declined across his three NFL seasons, from 13.1 to 10.9 to 8.1. His PPR points per game have followed suit:

• 2022 - 8.8
• 2023 - 6.9
• 2024 - 5.4

Allgeier has never been a big factor in the passing game, topping out at 18 catches in 2023 and averaging 0.9 per game for his career.

Injury History

Allgeier has not missed a game due to injury across his three NFL seasons.

2025 Expectations

Projected Role & Competition

No changes to Atlanta’s backfield this offseason. Bijan Robinson returns as lead back, with Allgeier the No. 2.

Jase McClellan is currently third on the depth chart. He played 19 offensive snaps and carried 13 times as a rookie last year. All of those carries came late in two blowout losses (Weeks 7 and 11).

Supporting Cast

Michael Penix will be under center for the Falcons this year. He showed well in three starts at the end of his 2023 rookie campaign, averaging 7.4 yards per attempt and earning an 87.6 overall PFF passing grade. That ranked fourth among 47 QBs with 100+ dropbacks and easily beat Kirk Cousins’ 72.3.

Penix might come with a wider range of outcomes than Cousins — but there’s a good chance he proves to be an upgrade.

Other than Penix, the Falcons return nearly the same offense they trotted out last year. WRs Drake London, Darnell Mooney, and Ray-Ray McCloud are back, along with TE Kyle Pitts.

Four of five starters on the offensive line return from last year, with C Drew Dalman the only departure. He’ll be replaced by C Ryan Neuzil, who went undrafted back in 2021. Neuzil struggled in eight starts in place of Dalman last year and is a question mark heading into 2025. But this still projects to be a strong offensive line overall.

Coaching & Offensive Scheme

HC Raheem Morris and OC Zac Robinson return for their second season together in Atlanta. Morris is a defensive-minded HC, so Robinson runs the show on offense.

Last season was his first as an OC in the NFL. He spent the previous five years working under Sean McVay in Los Angeles.

The continuity in coaching increases the likelihood that we get the same type of workload split in Atlanta’s backfield this season.