Ashton Jeanty Fantasy Overview

2024 Summary

College Production

2,601 yards and 29 TDs.

Jeanty led FBS in yardage and carries (374). He improbably got beat out by Army QB Bryson Daily on rushing TDs.

But Jeanty averaged an absurd 185.8 rushing yards per game and averaged 10.8 yards per catch across 80 receptions for his three-year Boise State career.

His ridiculous production plus the draft capital (sixth overall) renders the rest of his college profile irrelevant. Just know that you’re getting one of the best RB prospects in recent memory.

2025 Expectations

Projected Role & Competition

If the Raiders drafted Jeanty sixth overall to be anything other than a workhorse, then they screwed up.

The rest of the backfield … is not good.

Vegas signed Raheem Mostert in free agency (while letting Alexander Mattison walk). Mostert’s 33 and coming off an 85-carry season with a career-low 3.3 yards per rush. Sincere McCormick and Zamir White round out the group.

Supporting Cast

The offense doesn’t present much else to trouble defenses. TE Brock Bowers posted arguably(?) the greatest rookie TE season of all time. WR Jakobi Meyers is underrated – but also not a leading man. And the rest of the group looks unproven at best.

QB Geno Smith arrives as at least the best QB since Derek Carr in 2022. And if he’s better than Carr, Smith would be the team’s best QB since at least the two seasons of Carson Palmer (2011-12).

And that version of Palmer was just OK. If Smith’s better than that, he might be the team’s best QB since Rich Gannon (1999-2003).

Coaching & Offensive Scheme

Raiders OC Chip Kelly has served as HC for four previous NFL seasons. Those teams combined for a 43.5% rushing rate.

That run-pass split figures to be directed at least in part by how often the Raiders are trailing, and we’re not betting on them ranking among the league’s top half in wins.

Kelly’s first NFL team – the 2013 Eagles – gave LeSean McCoy a league-leading 314 carries (19.6 per game). McCoy got another 19.5 carries per game the following year (third in the league). And Carlos Hyde ranked 13th in carries per game (16.7) for Kelly’s 2016 Niners.

In short, he has tended to lean on a lead back when he has that guy.