Brock Purdy Fantasy Overview

2025: QB Showed Usual Accuracy … When He Could Play

Purdy’s 2025 story has to start with the turf toe that significantly disrupted his availability and probably impacted his play at times when he was on the field.

The QB suffered the initial injury in Week 1 and missed the next two contests. He returned for a Week 4 loss to the Jaguars, completed an uncharacteristic 57.9% of his passes (Purdy typically ranks among the most accurate passers), and flung 2 INTs. Purdy also aggravated the toe in that game and missed the next six weeks.

He returned for Week 11 and managed to stay on the field from there. Despite a Week 12 stinker against Carolina (193 yards and 3 INTs), Purdy also looked more like what we’ve come to expect over those final seven games:

• 70.6% completions
• 225.9 yards per game
• 2.3 passing TDs per game
• 0.9 INTs per game
• Solid 26-117-3 rushing line (4.5 yards per carry; 16.7 yards per game)

Purdy’s numbers stunk in the playoffs, but he faced a challenging Eagles defense in Round 1 and a championship Seahawks D in the lopsided Round 2 loss. His pass-catching corps also didn’t look very good by that point, but we’ll get to that a little later.

Missed Time Didn’t Cut Into His Effectiveness

For the season, Purdy actually delivered a career high in fantasy points per game (depending on your format) and ranked fifth at the position in that category. His nine appearances revealed some inconsistency … but also potential reason for optimism.

Purdy posted a QB14 finish in the opener and QB12 finish in Week 4. He landed seventh among QB scorers in his Week 11 return but followed that with QB22 and QB16 finishes.

After the Week 14 bye, the Niners pilot reeled off consecutive finishes of QB3, QB1, and QB1 before a QB28 whimper against Seattle in the regular-season finale.

Matchups didn’t hurt in the late-season peak weeks, which came against Tennessee, Indy, and Chicago. They ranked 29th, 15th, and 25th in pass DVOA for the season, respectively.

High-End Efficiency Drives His Value

Purdy matched his career high for the season with a 69.4% completion rate, which also ranked third in the league among qualifiers. The only two guys ahead of him? Drake Maye and Purdy’s own backup, Mac Jones.

That speaks to the consistent efficiency of the Kyle Shanahan Niners offense, which has previously generated high-end rate stats for mediocre (or worse) QBs such as Jimmy Garoppolo, Nick Mullens, and C.J. Beathard.

Purdy also hit 7.0% in passing-TD rate for the third time among his four pro seasons. How good is that? Lamar Jackson currently leads active QBs with a 6.5% career rate. Purdy’s second at 6.2%, with Aaron Rodgers (6.0%) the only other guy at 6+%.

Purdy also edged his personal best in passing success rate, a Pro Football Reference stat that measures how often a player delivers the “needed” yardage in a given situation. Purdy has led the league in that category in two of his three years as the season-opening starter.

Since his 2022 debut, Purdy also ranks:

• sixth in completion rate
• second in TD rate
• second in passer rating
• first in yards per pass attempt

The sneakiest factor in Purdy’s scoring profile might be his rushing. He ranks 17th among all QBs in rushing yards per game over the past two seasons (minimum 50 total carries), and four of the guys ahead of him won’t be starting this year:

• Anthony Richardson
• Justin Fields
• Tyler Huntley
• Marcus Mariota

Only six QBs have run for more TDs over the past two years, despite Purdy ranking just 17th in total rushing attempts.

His carries per game dipped from 4.4 in 2024 to 3.7 last year, and his yards per rush from 4.9 to 4.5. That’s understandable for a QB dealing with turf toe. And even at full health, Purdy will likely never see much designed rushing work. He only has 10 such carries through his four-year career to date, according to Pro Football Focus.

But a healthy Purdy is a plus scrambler, and all eight of his rushing scores over the past two years have come from inside the 10-yard line; five of those from the 5 or closer.

That can be a volatile stat, but San Francisco’s consistently high-end offense should keep those scoring opportunities available.

Numbers Came Despite Lackluster Supporting Cast

Purdy’s strong efficiency numbers for 2025 look even better when you remember what he had around him.

Christian McCaffrey stayed healthy all year and will always help an offense. But he garnered 39 more targets than anyone else on the team. That short-range dynamo will help a QB’s completion rate, but a lack of non-RB assistance usually makes it tougher to maximize yardage and scoring.

WR Jauan Jennings drew the second-most targets last year, despite missing two games and playing through injuries in at least several others. TE George Kittle ranked third despite missing five full games (and most of the opener) with a hamstring tear plus another with a sprained ankle.

Behind them sat:

• 30-year-old WR Kendrick Bourne
• Nine games of WR Ricky Pearsall (knee injury)
• Backup TE Jake Tonges
• 31-year-old WR Demarcus Robinson
• FB Kyle Juszczyk

… and then a smattering of guys drawing 14 targets or fewer apiece.

That was a markedly worse pass-catching group vs. Purdy’s previous three campaigns.

2026 Presents Reasons for Optimism

Purdy made it back from injury for the end of last season and continues to play for Shanahan. So the most important factor for his 2026 outlook seems like San Francisco’s offensive imports.

The Niners signed WR Mike Evans in free agency. You’re probably pretty familiar with how his career has gone, but here are some highlights:

• More than 1,000 receiving yards for 11 straight seasons before last year
• 11+ TD catches in four of his past six seasons
• 10th-most career TD receptions in NFL history
• 4.9 receptions per game for his career

Evans notably missed a career-high nine games last season, thanks to a hamstring injury, clavicle fracture, and concussion. The hamstring issue is most troubling, because it has popped up in some form every year since 2019. But he missed just 12 total games across 11 seasons before last year. So we’re not gonna overrate that factor for Purdy’s purposes.

San Francisco also added WR Christian Kirk in free agency and drafted WR De’Zhaun Stribling at the top of Round 2. But Evans easily outweighs both in potential impact.

The Niners should also get a healthier version of Pearsall, a former first-round pick who has flashed high-end potential amid last year’s knee trouble and the gunshot wound that delayed the start of his rookie year. Pearsall and Evans could give Purdy the best WR duo he’s had since at least 2023, the last time he got double-digit games from both Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk.

Kittle’s status will be worth watching as well. He suffered and Achilles’ tear in the playoff win at Philadelphia. Reports on his recovery have been glowing vs. the severity of the injury, but we’ll have to watch to see both how soon he’s ready to play and how close he seems to full strength.

Anything close to a full-strength Kittle offers obvious help to a QB’s passing outlook.

Altogether, this year’s pass-catching crew looks at least better than what the 49ers typically ran out last year -- and potentially stronger than the 2024 version as well.

Scheme Boosts the Outlook

Shanahan’s offense probably doesn’t need a case built for it at this point. But just in case you’re wondering, his 49ers have ranked seventh or higher in six of the past seven seasons, including each of the past five.

Five straight Niners teams have ranked sixth or higher in net yards per pass attempt, which incorporates sacks, and five of Shanahan’s eight offenses have ranked third or higher in that category.

In short, this has been a consistently strong and efficient offense that regularly puts players in position to maximize their output potential.

High Floor Beats Ceiling Case with Purdy

Purdy took over as 49ers starter over the final third of his rookie season and opened 2023 as the guy. Over the past three seasons, he has generated the sixth-most fantasy points per game at the position. He finished those years seventh, ninth, and fifth in points per game.

His case is less about ceiling, which probably doesn’t rise much higher than that range. It’s more about floor. His accuracy and mobility plus Shanahan’s proven system simply make the QB a strong bet to land among the position’s top 12 scorers. And he scored that way last season despite a lackluster supporting cast.

Barring injury, Purdy looks like as safe a bet as anyone in his range of QB ADP.