Jalen Hurts Fantasy Overview

2025 Role & Results

Hurts Lost His Weekly Edge

Hurts finished 2025 as the QB9 in total fantasy points (depending on your format) and QB8 in points per game.

That would be a fine season for most QBs, but it marked Hurts’ worst fantasy output yet. Here are his previous points-per-game finishes in our default scoring:

• 2021: QB10 (23.2)
• 2022: QB2 (27.9)
• 2023: QB3 (24.4)
• 2024: QB5 (23.6)

Even the one year Hurts ranked lower than he did in 2025 found him averaging nearly 2 more points per game than last year’s 21.3. And the depletion showed in his limited high-end weeks as well.

Hurts posted just three top-5 scoring weeks. Seven other QBs generated more, while eight others matched him.

That made Hurts a clear disappointment at his QB4 ADP.

Hurts Ran Less. Everything Followed.

Hurts notably fell off in rushing production last season. His 6.6 attempts per game fell well below any of his previous starting seasons, dragging the yardage and TDs down with them:

That still gave him the third-most rushing fantasy points among QBs for the season but just the sixth-most rushing points per game, narrowly ahead of Trevor Lawrence and Patrick Mahomes.

Hurts scrambled on a career-low 7.3% of his dropbacks -- down from 8.6% in 2024 -- but the real culprit was a dramatic decline in designed rushing attempts. Check out these totals by year:

• 2020: 30
• 2021: 59
• 2022: 53
• 2023: 36
• 2024: 42
• 2025: 17

Philly’s passing game suffered overall as well. That didn’t show up as much in Hurts’ stats, because he increased his pass attempts per game by 4.4 over 2024 and logged a career-high 5.5% passing-TD rate. But his completion rate fell short of his previous three seasons (lowest since WR A.J. Brown arrived), and his passing-success rate hit a career low.

That final number doesn’t correlate directly to fantasy scoring, but it signals the offensive struggles that led the team to a mere 19th-place finish in scoring and 24th in total yards. Those rankings look especially bad vs. the first four seasons of Hurts and HC Nick Sirianni:

We’ll see this season how much of the problem was Hurts and how much was now-departed OC Kevin Patullo.

2026 Opportunity & Projection

This year brings several changes that figure to significantly impact the offense.

The first, of course, was the team dumping Patullo. It’s tough to know just how much of the blame he deserves for last season’s debacle, especially when you consider that Patullo spent the previous four seasons as the team’s pass-game coordinator and had worked with Sirianni since 2018 with the Colts.

But in addition to the lagging numbers, the Philly offense just didn’t look right when you watched the games. So that move had to be made.

The Eagles replaced Patullo with Sean Mannion, a former NFL backup QB who spent the past two years on Green Bay’s offensive coaching staff.

It’s a bold move to tap a 34-year-old who has spent just one year as an offensive assistant, one as a QBs coach, and none calling offensive plays. We can’t really know until the season starts whether it’s a truly helpful selection.

Philly Divorces QB from No. 1 WR

The big on-field move was trading WR A.J. Brown to the Patriots. Brown led the Eagles in targets each of the past four seasons. He averaged 84.8 receptions, 1,258.5 yards, and 8.0 TDs across those years and had a friendship with Hurts that dated back to long before they were teammates.

Brown’s relationship with the team and Hurts also seemed rockier in 2025, so it’s possible moving on helps the unit jell better in 2026. We’ll see.

The Eagles also spent a Round 1 pick on WR Makai Lemon, trading up from No. 23 to secure him at 20th overall. Lemon closed his three-year USC run as a unanimous first-team All-American and winner of the Fred Biletnikoff Award (top FBS WR) in 2025. He delivered 79 catches, 1,156 yards, and 11 TDs in that campaign while exceeding 3.0 yards per route in each of his final two seasons.

Expect Lemon to join incumbents WR DeVonta Smith and TE Dallas Goedert as this year’s top three Eagles in targets. Philly also acquired WR Dontayvion Wicks from the Packers -- where he played under Mannion -- signed WR Marquise “Hollywood” Brown in free agency and drafted TE Eli Stowers in Round 2.

There’s enough pass-catching talent -- plus RB Saquon Barkley -- to support a Hurts rebound, if his play and the new scheme are ready for it.

What Does Hurts Need to Improve?

Hurts' advanced passing metrics don't suggest a drop-off in performance. His Pro Football Focus passing grade actually rebounded from a career low among his starting seasons in 2024. His big-time throw rate (5.0%) matched a career high, while the turnover-worthy play rate (2.0%) was the second-lowest of his career.

One area that could use a rebound is medium-range passing, throws traveling 10-19 yards downfield. According to PFF, Hurts posted career lows in completion rate, yards per attempt, and total yards on throws in that range last season.

That seems like a scheme issue, especially when you look at the numbers across his five starting campaigns:

We’ll see what Mannion can do about that issue, but Lemon and Stowers both profile as players who should see plenty of their targets in that range.

Lemon should start right away. Stowers seems more likely to see limited time. He only transitioned from QB to TE midway through college, arrived in Round 2, must contend with Goedert for playing time, and reportedly had a quiet spring.

Rushing Will Be Key to Potential Rebound

Mannion hasn’t revealed much about his scheme, though he did allow in May that Hurts’ rushing “will be a part of it, but it won’t be the only part of it.”

It’ll need to be a bigger part of it for Hurts to return to the top of the position in fantasy scoring. Sheer offensive improvement would help that area as well. Hurts saw dramatic declines last season in his red-zone rushing attempts and carries inside the 10-yard line:

Unless the offense simply keeps struggling, Hurts should rebound at least somewhat as a scorer. If his rushing bounces back, Lemon settles in quickly, and the offense improves overall, Hurts has already shown top-3 fantasy upside.

But Questions Will Linger

The fact that Mannion has never run an offense or called plays obviously makes him a total unknown heading into the season.

Lemon looks like a good player, but expecting him to equal A.J. Brown would probably be unfair. Can DeVonta Smith and others make up enough production to cover the loss of Brown?

We won’t know those answers until the season arrives.