Jaydon Blue Fantasy Overview

College Production

Blue spent the past three seasons at Texas, meaning he’s played alongside Bijan Robinson and Jonathon Brooks.

That limited Blue to a single-season high of 730 rushing yards in 2024. He added eight TDs – plus 42-368-6 as a receiver.

Usage & Role

Blue finished 2024 well behind sophomore Tre Wisner in carries (226 to 134). The pair posted nearly identical catch and target totals.

Blue accounted for an 11.4% target share, good for fourth on the team. Only five RBs in the country topped his raw total (59).

It’s also worth noting that in 2023 Blue finished third on the team in carries. Ahead of him: Brooks and true freshman CJ Baxter, who missed all of 2024 with a knee injury.

Efficiency Metrics

Among 139 RBs with 130+ attempts last year, Blue ranked:

• 24th in Pro Football Focus Elusive Rating
• 30th in yards after contact per attempt
• 42nd in yards per carry
• 86th in PFF rushing grade

Blue fared better as a receiver, with positive marks for yards per catch (8.9), yards after catch per reception (9.8), and yards per route run (1.59). Each mark ranked top 20 in a sample of 55 RBs with 30+ targets.

Offensive Context

Texas ran a balanced offense under HC Steve Sarkisian. They finished 29th in the nation in points per game (33.0) and 17th in yards per game (437.6).

This unit was stocked with talent, including 2025 draft picks like QB Quinn Ewers, OT Kelvin Banks Jr., WR Matthew Golden, and TE Gunnar Helm.

Historical Production & Trends

Blue tallied five fumbles in 2024 – plus five drops.

The 21-year-old fumbled twice in 2023, despite only 79 touches. Ball security will be an area to monitor in the NFL.

Injury History

Blue missed one game last season with a right ankle injury. Otherwise, he proved durable as a college athlete.

2025 Expectations

Projected Role & Competition

Blue will look to overcome the longshot odds faced by Round 5 rookies.

Since 2010, only seven rookie RBs selected in Round 5 or later have averaged 10+ PPR points per game (per Pro Football Reference). That’s fringe RB3-level production.

In fairness, Blue isn’t in the spot of your typical day three RB. He joins a Dallas squad that allowed RB Rico Dowdle (and his 274 touches) to leave in free agency. Their veteran additions include Javonte Williams and Miles Sanders, two of the least-efficient runners over the past two seasons.

So, there’s an opening for Blue to handle a chunk of the rushing and receiving work at some point in 2025.

Supporting Cast

The Cowboys aren’t short on talent.

Dak Prescott returns after playing only nine games last season. Fortunately, he’s over the torn hamstring that ended his 2024.

CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens combine for one of the league’s most dynamic WR duos. We’ll see if Pickens – who enters a contract season – can assemble a consistent 2025.

Up front, Dallas returns four of five starters. They replaced long-time G Zach Martin with Round 1 G Tyler Booker. The rookie projects as an instant asset for the ground game.

Last year, the Cowboys ranked 19th in PFF’s run blocking grades and seventh in ESPN’s run block win rate.

Coaching & Offensive Scheme

Brian Schottenheimer steps into the HC role after two years as OC. 2025 will be his first year calling plays in Dallas.

He brings an extensive, 14-year history as an OC across stops with the Jets, Rams, and Seahawks. Schottenheimer’s units have tallied five top-10 finishes in rush attempts, but the current personnel suggests he won’t add a sixth.