Tucker Kraft Fantasy Overview

2024 Summary

Production & Fantasy Finishes

Kraft ended 2024 as the TE10 in total fantasy points (163.3) and TE15 in points per game (9.6) across all 17 games.

He posted 50 receptions (20th) for 707 yards (7th) and 7 TDs (T-4th) on 70 targets (18th).

He recorded five top-12 finishes, including two overall TE1 weeks, and was a top-24 TE in 12 games, offering both splash upside and weekly viability.

Usage & Role

Kraft played a versatile role, logging 54.3% in-line snaps and 31.9% in the slot.

His 13.6% target share (20th among TEs) reflected steady involvement, though his 4.9-yard average target depth showed he operated primarily in the short area of the field.

He wasn’t a frequent first read (13% first-read target rate) but was highly efficient when targeted.

Efficiency Metrics

Kraft was one of the NFL’s most efficient TEs, especially after the catch:

• 9.7 yards after catch per reception (1st among TEs with 25+ targets)
• +3.1 yards after catch over expectation (1st)
• 4.4-yard average separation (1st)
• 1.62 yards per route (10th among TEs)
• 76.9% catch rate and 4.2% drop rate (19th)

He also ranked 14th in PFF receiving grade (70.6), showcasing reliable hands and open-field agility uncommon for the position.

Offensive Context

Green Bay transitioned from a balanced offense in 2023 to a run-heavy unit in 2024 (-4.5% pass rate over expected, 48.8% pass rate).

That shift, especially post-Week 8, reduced target volume across the board.

Despite limited team pass volume, Kraft stood out due to his YAC ability and knack for finding space against zone coverage, thriving in a scheme that frequently used misdirection and motion.

Injury History

Kraft has not missed an NFL game due to an injury.

This past season, he played through a minor shoulder injury suffered in Week 3.

2025 Expectations

Projected Role & Competition

Kraft enters 2025 as the Packers’ unquestioned starting TE.

TE Luke Musgrave was drafted one round above Kraft in 2023, but has dealt with injuries since coming into the league. Musgrave profiles as the backup TE who could get a few red zone looks.

The Packers added first round WR Matthew Golden while retaining veterans Jayden Reed, Romeo Doubs, and Dontayvion Wicks.

While WR target competition is deep, Kraft’s red-zone role and efficiency guarantee continued involvement.

If the Packers pass rate increases, it should only mean good things for Kraft.

Supporting Cast

Jordan Love is locked in as the franchise QB and won’t have a nagging groin injury hindering him. That could result in a slightly higher pass rate in 2025.

RB Josh Jacobs remains the focal point of the offense and also adds a pass-catching threat.

The Packers return four of their five starting offensive linemen in OTs Rasheed Walker and Zach Tom as well as interior OL Elgton Jenkins and Sean Rhyan. They also added Aaron Banks from the 49ers.

Coaching & Offensive Scheme

Matt LaFleur’s offense shifted from pass-leaning in 2023 to run-heavy in 2024.

In 2023, the Packers averaged 61.9 plays per game with a 58.1% pass rate, 56.2% neutral pass rate, and +1.9% pass rate over expectation.

In 2024, those numbers dropped to 60.4 players per game, 48.8% pass rate, 47.8% neutral pass rate, and a -4.5% pass rate over expectation.

After Love’s groin injury, these numbers were even lower: 48.1% pass rate, 44.7% neutral pass rate, and -5.5% pass rate over expectation from Weeks 9-18.

LaFleur’s fluid offense allows the Packers to lean on what they do best. This season likely sees a rise in pass rate with a healthy Love, but it is doubtful they go back to 2023’s high pass rate.

If the pass rate does rebound to 2023’s rate, Kraft could earn even more targets this season.