Michael Wilson Fantasy Overview

2024 Summary

Production & Fantasy Finishes

Wilson totaled 47 receptions for 548 yards and four TDs on 71 targets, finishing with 126.5 PPR points (WR59) and just 7.9 points per game (WR79).

He had no top-24 finishes, just two top-30 weeks, and 12 games outside the top 36, making him largely unusable in most fantasy formats.

Usage & Role

Wilson played primarily on the perimeter (74.1% wide) and held a low-volume role with a 16.3% first-read target share (77th).

He was deployed as a field stretcher with a 14.2-yard average depth of target (11th highest), but his role was mostly as a complementary downfield piece behind more established targets like Marvin Harrison Jr. and Trey McBride.

Efficiency Metrics

Wilson’s 2024 efficiency metrics were underwhelming:

• 1.63 yards per route (49th)
• 77.2 PFF receiving grade (28th)
• 2.4 yards after catch per reception (77th)
• 1.6% drop rate

Despite better hands and a slightly improved route profile, he remained inefficient after the catch and did not demand targets consistently.

Offensive Context

Arizona’s offense became more aggressive post-Week 11, shifting from a -5.1% pass rate over expected to +6.7%. But Wilson’s usage did not scale with the change.

He operated in a system that ranked 2nd in yards per attempt, yet he wasn’t a primary target in the vertical game, even with Kyler Murray pushing the ball more downfield late in the year.

Historical Production & Trends

After an injury-shortened rookie season in 2023, Wilson’s 2024 showed durability but confirmed his limited fantasy role. While he has flashed as a deep threat, he’s yet to command significant volume or deliver spike weeks, and his usage profile has plateaued.

Injury History

Last year, Wilson only missed the season finale with a hamstring injury.

He missed four games in 2023 due to neck and shoulder injuries.

2025 Expectations

Projected Role & Competition

Wilson returns in 2025 as the No. 2 WR behind Marvin Harrison Jr., but also remains behind TE Trey McBride in terms of targets.

He does sit safely ahead of fellow WRs Zay Jones and Greg Dortch.

RB James Conner’s role in the passing game also likely takes work away from Wilson.

His outside role keeps him on the field, but Wilson is far down the pecking order for QB Kyler Murray.

Supporting Cast

QB Kyler Murray leads the group of returning skill players looking to take the next step. The offense increased in pass rate late in the season as Murray showed progression in that area.

Murray had the lowest rush rate of his career. If that continues into 2025, it should mean more passes to his top weapons.

All five OL starters return in OTs Paris Johnson Jr. and Jonah Williams and interior linemen Evan Brown, Hjalte Froholdt, and Isaiah Adams.

Last year, the OL had a 60% pass block win rate (16th) and 72% run blocking win rate (11th).

Coaching & Offensive Scheme

OC Drew Petzing's system blended horizontal spacing with occasional deep shots and leaned heavily on yards after catch.

The Cardinals ranked 21st in the NFL in total plays and 19th in pace.

Their pass rate was only 22nd in the NFL, but they were 11th in neutral pass rate.