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Fantasy Football Trade Targets, Sells, and Holds – Week 10

Who Should You Buy, Sell, or Hold This Week?

The Eagles' Week 10 bye obviously keeps them out of your fantasy football lineup.

But it might just be the perfect time to add a couple of them to your roster for the stretch run.

Plus, a couple of marquee QB changes this week have placed a pair of WRs on our list ... but in different sections.

Check out all our chart options:

• PPR fantasy trade value chart
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• Tight End Premium fantasy trade value chart
• Dynasty trade value chart
• Dynasty superflex trade value chart

Fantasy Trade Targets

D’Andre Swift, RB, Philadelphia Eagles

Draft Sharks Half-PPR Rank: 13
Market Rank: 7
Difference: -6

This one doesn’t make sense by the numbers. But is your fantasy league filled with spreadsheet jockeys or a bunch of people who get angry whenever their RBs don’t score?

Industry projectors are more likely to understand that Swift continues to dominate backfield work in Philly – 18+ touches in six straight games – and that fantasy points are likely to rebound.

In your league, however, there’s a decent chance the Swift manager is worried after Swift ceded TD runs to Kenneth Gainwell two of the past three weeks.

It’s not a role shift. Swift got 7 carries from inside the 10-yard line over the past two weeks, including 4 in the win over the Cowboys. He just got unlucky.

Help on the Way

The impending return of G Cam Jurgens just might boost that luck. Check out Swift’s weekly rush yards over expected per attempt:

• 1: (Nick Sirianni forgot Swift was on team)
• 2: 1.46
• 3: 1.4
• 4: -1.3 (Jurgens left early, missed next five games)
• 5: -1.05
• 6: -3.46 (Lane Johnson left early, returned Week 7)
• 7: -0.12
• 8: -1.08
• 9: -0.97

Maybe Jurgens doesn’t rebound that particular stat. But Swift’s continued backfield control will be enough to make him at least fine in fantasy.

DeVonta Smith, WR, Philadelphia Eagles

DS Half-PPR Rank: 14
Market Rank: 19
Difference: 5

An elbow injury knocked TE Dallas Goedert out for five games near the middle of last season. Smith went from a 23% target share over the nine games before that to 26.3% while Goedert was out.

Interestingly, that number pushed even higher – to 28.4% – over the six games after Goedert returned, including the playoffs.

This time, Smith arrives with a smaller share of the pass offense, just 19.7% of targets to date. But we’ll be surprised if he doesn’t get another boost with Goedert now out for a forearm injury.

And Smith has had little trouble delivering when he has gotten opportunities. 

Buy Philly’s No. 2 wideout now, while he’s sitting 27th in PPR points per game – and especially if the Smith manager in your league needs bye-week help.

Marquise Brown, WR, Arizona Cardinals

DS Half-PPR Rank: 28
Market Rank: 31
Difference: 3

The gap between our ranking on Brown and the market’s is small. But he’s worth a price check because it’s possible we’re all undervaluing Arizona’s lead wideout.

Over the first six weeks of last season – with QB Kyler Murray in the lineup – Brown ranked seventh among all WRs in PPR points per game. Then came Brown’s foot injury, DeAndre Hopkins’ return from suspension, and finally Murray’s ACL tear.

The two should get reunited this week. Brown’s role is already there: 16th among WRs in target share. According to Pro Football Focus, he’s tied with Cooper Kupp for 18th in expected half-PPR points per game.

Brown’s rank in actual half-PPR points per game: 35th.

Buy the spike before it comes. And a Week 10 matchup with Atlanta could accelerate the ascent.

Fantasy Sells 

Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints

DS Half-PPR Rank: 11
Market Rank: 4
Difference: -7

Kamara has been awesome since his return from suspension … er, at least his usage has.

He ranks fourth in non-PPR points among RBs since Week 4, and second only to Christian McCaffrey in PPR. The key: touch volume. Kamara has seen 20 more targets and 18 more catches than any other RB over that span and ranks fourth in rushing attempts.

Hidden behind that volume-driven fantasy production, though, Kamara is working on career lows in yards per carry (3.6) and yards per catch (6.3). That might be part of why HC Dennis Allen said recently that the team wants to spread usage around the backfield more.

That showed up more in Week 9 – just 9 carries, 5 targets for Kamara – than the previous game. But the RB’s snap share has dipped for two straight games.

You shouldn’t panic and unload Kamara for whatever the best offer is. But now’s a good time to shop this still-lead back for a strong return.

Garrett Wilson, WR, New York Jets

DS Half-PPR Rank: 24
Market Rank: 15
Difference: -9

There’s lots of room for varied feelings on how much you want Wilson on your roster. Perhaps you shop him around your league and just find everyone downplaying a Zach Wilson WR. Or maybe you find someone willing to look past the situation and believe the numbers.

The latter is what we’re trying to sell on here – and what the market seems to be doing.

Wilson has seen 12+ targets in three straight games and four of his past five. He has caught 7+ passes in each of those 12+ target games and gone for 80+ yards each of the past three weeks.

Wilson still ranks just 22nd for the year in PPR points per game, though. And you can expect his weekly variance to remain high, with lower chances of TD scoring than he’d have with just about any other QB.

Sell whenever you find a good opportunity.

DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Arizona Cardinals

DS Half-PPR Rank: 39
Market Rank: 30
Difference: -9

HC Mike Vrabel naming QB Will Levis his starter the rest of the way this week presents a potential bump to Hopkins’ perceived value this week.

Levis found Hopkins for three of his 4 TDs in his NFL debut just two weeks ago. Last week went much more quietly, with the two connecting on just four of 11 targets vs. Pittsburgh. That marked Hopkins’ sixth game among eight this year with 4 receptions or fewer.

Expect the rest of the 2023 Levis experiment to produce varying results. The rookie’s arm strength should line up nicely with Hopkins’ career-long average depth of target. But that approach will also just make this more of a boom-bust combo.

Ride it out if you can’t get a good return. But check if someone in your league is willing to buy the boom potential.

Fantasy Holds

Raheem Mostert, RB, Miami Dolphins

Mostert has already more than paid off on where you drafted him. Even if you bought him early this season from a manager who thought they were selling high, he has probably paid off on that as well.

So what now?

Well, just about any player is movable for the right price – in either direction. But buying Mostert from a team that has reaped all his points to date might still take a hefty price. And he’ll face the challenges of RB De’Von Achane’s return plus a tough close to the schedule for RB scoring: Tennessee, Dallas, and Baltimore within the final four fantasy weeks.

On the other hand, a Week 10 bye and that Achane return could very well ding his price if you’re looking to sell him.

So why not just wait? High-upside matchups with the Raiders and Jets await after the bye. Let’s see how he fares there and when sharing the backfield again with the rookie.

Looking for Waiver Wire Help?

This video runs through some of the top options on the fantasy football waiver wire for Week 10.

Matt Schauf, Editor

Matt has earned two Fantasy Pros accuracy awards for IDP rankings and won thousands of dollars as a player across best ball, dynasty, and high-stakes fantasy formats. He has been creating fantasy football content for more than 20 years, with work featured by Sporting News, Rotoworld, Athlon, Sirius XM, and others. He's been with Draft Sharks since 2011.