Breece Hall Fantasy Overview

2024 Summary

Production & Fantasy Finishes

Across 16 games, Hall racked up 876 rushing yards (54.7 per game) and 483 receiving yards (30.1 per game). He totaled eight TDs – five rushing and three receiving.

Hall’s 15.1 PPR points per game marked a career low. He slotted 16th in total PPR points, dropping to 17th in points per game.

Hall finished RB8, RB4, and RB11 over the first three weeks. He posted only four additional top-12 fantasy finishes over his final 13 games.

Usage & Role

Here’s a look at Hall’s usage in 2023 vs. 2024:

So, the Jets granted a bit more work on the ground while removing some of his receiving volume.

Rookie RB Braelon Allen accounts for one 2024 difference. He managed only 8.3 carries per game, though. And that number is boosted by a Week 14 spot-start at Miami.

In total, Hall averaged 13 carries and 3.5 catches per game, figures in line with his ‘23 output.

Efficiency Metrics

Hall was almost two years removed from an ACL tear at the start of last season.

So it was a surprise to see him finish with career lows in:

• Pro Football Focus rush grade (37th out of 47 qualifying RBs)
• Yards after contact per attempt (23rd)
• PFF Elusive Rating (26th)
• Rush yards over expected per attempt (28th)
• PFF receiving grade (34th out of 37)
• Yards per route run (19th out of 37)

Hall’s explosive rush rate (10.5%) helped boost his fantasy output. Per SumerSports, that ranked eighth in a sample of 31 RBs with 150+ carries.

Offensive Context

This offense wasn’t exactly a juggernaut.

Despite 17 games from Aaron Rodgers, the Jets finished 24th in yards and 25th in points.

They ranked 32nd in rush attempts, 31st in rush yards, and 30th in rush TDs.

The Jets’ O-line wasn’t difference-making, finishing 19th in PFF’s run blocking grades and 29th in ESPN’s run block win rate.

Historical Production & Trends

Hall is one of four RBs to average 30+ receiving yards per game in each of the last three seasons.

His company? Austin Ekeler, Alvin Kamara, and Christian McCaffrey.

Injury History

Hall missed one late-season game with a left MCL and hyperextension injury, per ESPN’s Rich Cimini. The injury was to the same knee that sustained an ACL tear in October of 2022.

Hall played through the injury after a Week 12 bye, then was sidelined for Week 14.

2025 Expectations

Projected Role & Competition

Hall is set to play out the final year of his rookie contract.

We project him to handle another lead back role with an average of 13.8 carries and 3.1 catches per game. He’ll face competition from second-year backs Braelon Allen and Isaiah Davis.

Allen, still only 21, ranked 46th out of 47 RBs in rush yards over expected per attempt.

Davis scattered 30 carries across nine games and showed some promise with 5.8 yards per carry.

Supporting Cast

QB Justin Fields enters the starting lineup after a short stint in Pittsburgh. Expect to see some zone-read concepts in an attempt to maximize his talent.

Fields’ passing limitations – and a weak WR corps behind Garrett Wilson – might force some crowded boxes. Interestingly, Hall averaged only 6.36 box defenders per rush last year – 28th in a sample of 31 RBs, per SumerSports.

The Jets’ O-line at least looks packed with talent.

It starts on the edges with Round 1 picks Olu Fashanu (LT) and Armond Membou (RT). Along the interior, OGs John Simpson and Alijah Vera-Tucker make up one of the league’s best run-blocking duos. C Joe Tippmann is among the best pivots in the league, finishing 2024 as PFF’s No. 8 graded run-blocker.

Coaching & Offensive Scheme

New HC Aaron Glenn indicated a potential timeshare in the backfield. It might sound damning for Hall, but let’s note two things.

The first is that Glenn – a defensive-minded HC – won’t call plays. That role falls to former Lions pass-game coordinator Tanner Engstrand.

His offensive approach is a mystery, as he’s never called plays at the pro level. But we’re betting on a unit similar to Detroit’s motion-friendly, play-action heavy style with former OC Ben Johnson. They’re also likely to lean run with Fields under center.

Also: Keep in mind that Glenn’s quote is from March. It doesn’t exactly guarantee we’ll see a three-headed attack come September.

Production & Efficiency Trends

Our historical aging curves provide us with a data-driven look at production trends. They show that on average, age 24 RBs drafted in Rounds 1 or 2 deliver 98% of their peak fantasy production.

So, Hall is in a sweet spot. He enters the summer well distanced from his past knee trouble.