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14-Team Draft Strategy

Pick-by-Pick 14-Team Draft Strategy

Fantasy drafts should be a blast...

But sometimes they can be a headache.

Think about the countless variables you need to consider each time you’re on the clock:

• Scoring system
• Positional value
• Team needs
• ADP
• Upside
• Injury risk

It’s easy to be overwhelmed and make costly draft mistakes.

And is there anything worse than seeing your top picks falter while your opponents land some late-round studs?

The solution: A pick-by-pick draft strategy guide to help you make optimal picks.

The 14-team draft strategy guide below will take you through top targets and secondary options for every round, no matter where you're picking.

We’re using our 3D Values and current ADP to pinpoint the top picks in each round.

Consider this your game plan heading into your draft.

Of course, no fantasy football draft matches ADP. You must adjust your 14-team draft strategy as you go to maximize value.

That’s where the customized, dynamic fantasy football cheat sheet on your Draft War Room comes into play, instantly analyzing 17 value indicators each time you’re on the clock to help you make the best pick. Don't enter your next draft without it.

Combine the Draft War Room with this round-by-round game plan, and you’ll have everything needed to win your draft.

Note: This strategy guide assumes a 16-round draft and starting lineup of 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, 1 TE, 1 Flex, 1 K and 1 DST. The Draft War Room will help you adjust your strategy if your league settings are different. We're also keeping a best-case scenario approach in tact for all draft positions, so you may not find players available when you're on the clock in a particular round. If that happens, simply skip ahead to the next round for draftable options. And remember: ADPs will vary across different fantasy platforms.

14-Team Draft Strategy for Pick 1, 2, or 3

Round 1

Top Target: Ja’Marr Chase

Chase led all WRs in fantasy points last year, and we’re projecting him to do it again in 2025. 

Touchdown regression is likely after he scored 17 times, but he remains the centerpiece of a pass-heavy offense with elite QB play.

Note: Chase is essentially tied in 3D Value with the next guy on this list in two-WR setups. If you start three WRs, the Bengal becomes the clear top pick.

Next Best: Saquon Barkley

You draft Barkley understanding that he probably won’t post another 2,000 rushing yards (or 5.8 yards per carry). But there’s room for him to regress a bit and still deliver another high-end season.

The 28-year-old returns to an Eagles offense that welcomes back all but one offensive starter. 

Other Option

• Bijan Robinson

Rounds 2 & 3

Top Targets: Kyren Williams & Drake London

Maybe second-year RB Blake Corum improves after a disastrous rookie year. Or maybe the Rams hit on Round 4 rookie Jarquez Hunter. 

As an NFL talent, though, Williams is a sure thing. He has compiled 21 TDs over the past two seasons. And he remains a workhorse candidate in HC Sean McVay's offense. 

Williams, 25, also enters a contract season.

Youth remains a strong selling point for the 24-year-old London. London’s 3,042 yards rank second all-time for a WR’s first three seasons. 

No. 1 on the list? Randy Moss.

It’s fair to have some hesitation over QB Michael Penix Jr., who has started only three NFL games.

But we’ll bet on him as an upgrade on what Kirk Cousins showed in 2024. One reason for optimism: Penix’s willingness to take deep shots. Per Pro Football Focus, he recorded a huge 10.6 average depth of target on 105 attempts.

Next Best: Breece Hall & Tee Higgins 

Hall’s just one season removed from finishing third among RBs in half-PPR points (fifth in points per game).

Aaron Rodgers’ departure will likely lead to an increase in rushing volume. Justin Fields has never been a high-volume passer, and the Jets' roster isn't deep at pass catcher.

Plus, Fields brings the rushing threat to improve Hall’s rush efficiency. 

The contract-year back may earn a three-down role under new OC Tanner Engstrand. 

Higgins ranked second in half-PPR points per game (15.6) last year among all WRs who played at least eight games. You can say he was propped up by 10 TDs on a 13.6% TD rate. And you’d be correct.

Just note that Higgins suffered early-season quad and hamstring injuries. He added a career low in yards per catch (12.5, well below his prior career average of 14.3). So an efficiency rebound could help offset a dip in scoring.

Bottom line: Higgins boasts the talent, youth, and target volume to supply another high-end fantasy outcome. He projects as a low-end WR1 or strong WR2.

Other Options

• Chase Brown
• Joe Mixon
• Tyreek Hill

Rounds 4 & 5

Top Targets: D.J. Moore & James Conner

You might fret over Moore’s new target competition (rookies Luther Burden and Colston Loveland).  

But both guys missed offseason practices with injuries, and they’re not guaranteed impactful roles as rookies. 

Moore ranks among the NFL’s most consistent WRs, with 1,100 yards in four of his past six seasons. He hasn’t missed a game due to injury since 2020. 

We’ll bet on the 28-year-old continuing that trend alongside new HC Ben Johnson and a more-experienced Caleb Williams. Moore makes for a smart Round 4 pick, especially if you started RB-heavy.

Conner remains one of the most underrated backs in fantasy, even after finishing RB11 in total and per-game scoring last season. He’s the clear lead back in Arizona, with a proven red-zone role, high-end efficiency, and enough receiving involvement to boost his weekly floor. 

Yeah, he’ll turn 30 before Week 1, and we’ll see if Trey Benson can steal some work. But for now, Conner projects to handle RB2-level volume.

Next Best: D.K. Metcalf & Jaylen Waddle

Metcalf quietly led the league in deep targets last year, despite missing two games. 

Now he joins a Pittsburgh team where he’s the unquestioned No. 1 WR. Even in a run-leaning system, Metcalf’s vertical ability should continue to create splash plays. Draft him as a WR2 with legit weekly upside.  

Waddle’s tied with Metcalf in half-PPR 3D Value. The Dolphin has seen his fantasy stock rise following the trade of Jonnu Smith, and for good reason. Waddle finished 2023 as the WR22, even with a low 5.5% TD rate.

There's still plenty of upside beyond that elevated stock.

Other Options

• DeVonta Smith
• David Montgomery
• George Kittle
• Joe Burrow

Rounds 6 & 7

Top Targets: Isiah Pacheco & Jameson Williams

A broken leg derailed Pacheco's strong start to 2024. But the Chiefs haven't added any serious competition (only injury-prone vet Elijah Mitchell and Round 7 rookie Brashard Smith).

That’s a vote of confidence. And when he’s right, Pacheco brings burst, tackle-breaking power, and scoring potential. Add a modest ADP, and there's not much risk.

Williams finished as a top-25 fantasy WR in eight of 15 games. Overall, he notched 10+ fantasy points in nine games. And that was with a repeatable 18% target share.

Let's also remember that Williams is just 24 years old ahead of a contract season.

Next Best: Tetairoa McMillan & Chris Godwin

McMillan posted elite production at Arizona and wins with size, hands, and route polish. Carolina nabbed him eighth overall to stock a needy WR cupboard.

That gives the rookie an immediate path to 120+ targets, and Bryce Young delivered encouraging play over the second half of his second season.

Godwin was working on career highs in receptions per game, yards per game, catch rate, and receiving success rate before his injury last season.

He'll need to prove the ankle's ready. But the Bucs gave him a massive extension and haven’t shown any concern about his outlook. And that money's especially worth keeping in mind if you start fretting over Emeka Egbuka's arrival.

Tampa sure didn't pay the vet to coach the new guy for the next three years.

Baker Mayfield's playing the best ball of his career, and the offense returns basically intact. The only real question is whether the OC switch changes anything. But we've already seen Godwin produce across multiple systems.

Other Options

• Calvin Ridley
• Chris Olave
• Jauan Jennings
• Rome Odunze
• David Njoku

Rounds 8 & 9

Top Targets: Jayden Reed & Josh Downs

Reed's depressed ADP vs. last year makes him an attractive bye.

Green Bay's rare first-round WR selection might seem like bad news for all incumbents, but Golden's college production didn't match his elite testing. He doesn't look like a great bet to lead the corps as a rookie.

Add to that a January ACL tear for Christian Watson that's bound to affect him well into this season, and Reed could find more target share than last year. A lean back toward the pass would help as well, after Green Bay went run-heavy late in 2024.

Downs enters 2025 as one of the more underrated receivers in fantasy. 

He earned targets at an elite per-route rate last season and now sits in a stable role for volume, especially if Daniel Jones wins the job. 

That last part is critical. Downs posted significantly worse efficiency with Anthony Richardson in 2024, while Jones has a history of peppering short-range targets.

Next Best: Keon Coleman & Justin Fields

Coleman flashed in 2024, tallying 18.1 yards per catch, 7.1 yards after catch per reception, and two games as a top-16 fantasy WR. 

But consistency proved difficult, but that's no surprise for a 21-year-old rookie. A return to the same offense alongside Josh Allen means breakout potential.

Fields’ rushing ability drives useful fantasy production. And don’t just take my word for it.

Fields started six games for the Steelers and finished half of them as a top-12 fantasy QB. That included a QB1-overall showing against the Colts.

We're projecting Fields for 826 rushing yards, which is tied for second among QBs.

Other Options

• Tyjae Spears
• Ricky Pearsall
• Caleb Williams

Rounds 10 & 11

Top Targets: Justin Herbert & Dalton Kincaid

Back to health after an injury-influenced 2024, Herbert’s surrounded by an upgraded WR corps that includes Round 2 WR Tre Harris. G Mekhi Becton arrives to fortify the O-line interior.

Sure, the offense may lean run. But Herbert retains plenty of upside. He threw fewer passes last season but improved in passer rating, yards per attempt, and INT rate. 

We’ll give Kincaid a mulligan for his down 2024. His usage sank after returning from an unusual knee injury. That shouldn't be an issue at all going forward.

Consider Kincaid a post-hype sleeper with top-10 TE upside.

Next Best: Rashid Shaheed & Tyjae Spears

Shaheed enters 2025 as New Orleans’ No. 2 WR and remains one of the best late-round values at the position. 

He brings elite speed, a high target-per-route rate, and a defined role in an offense that should play faster under HC Kellen Moore. The QB situation is unsettled, but Shaheed’s downfield ability fits well in a system designed to create explosive plays. 

He boasts spike-week appeal as a WR4 or flex and fits nicely in a WR corps that includes several high-floor players.

You’re not drafting Spears off his 2024 production. He missed time with hamstring and ankle injuries, plus two concussions.

But HC Brian Callahan has said this offseason that he wants “a healthier division of labor” in the backfield. A healthy Spears projects as a potential flex option and an elite handcuff. 

As a bonus: Tennessee’s offense should trend up alongside QB Cam Ward and an upgraded O-line.

Other Options

• Hollywood Brown
• Rachaad White
• Trey Benson
• Jaylen Wright

Rounds 12 & 13

Top Targets: Jaylen Wright & Isaac Guerendo

We’re shooting for ceiling outcomes here.

Wright and Guerendo project as No. 2 RBs on potentially high-scoring offenses, but any missed time from the starters would boost the backups into a startable range.

Next Best: Roschon Johnson & Marvin Mims

Johnson’s in a similar situation to Wright and Guerendo, although his RB2 status is less certain with a new coaching staff. 

Mims has flashed in limited opportunities, and his age (23) leaves room for further growth -- especially after Sean Payton improved his usage late last year.

Other Options

• MarShawn Lloyd
• Cedric Tillman
• Dontayvion Wicks

Rounds 14, 15 & 16

Top targets: High-upside bench stash, K & DST

Target a player with big upside in Round 14. You can sort by projected ceiling in your Draft War Room to find players with difference-making potential.

Names to consider:

• Cam Ward 
• Anthony Richardson 
• MarShawn Lloyd 
• Dylan Sampson 
• Justice Hill 
• Darius Slayton
• Theo Johnson

Here are three DSTs with favorable early-season schedules:

• Broncos (vs. TEN, at IND)
• Steelers (at NYJ, vs. SEA, at NE)
• 49ers (at SEA, at NO)

Discount kicker options include:

• Matt Gay, Commanders
• Daniel Carlson, Raiders
• Cam Little, Jaguars

14-Team Draft Strategy for Pick 4, 5, 6, or 7

Round 1

Top Target: CeeDee Lamb

Most likely, the first three picks will be Ja’Marr Chase, Bijan Robinson, and Saquon Barkley.

If none of them drops, pivot to Lamb. He has hit 100 catches in three straight seasons and should remain among the league’s most targeted WRs.

The Cowboy slots third in our 2025 WR rankings. 

Next Best: Justin Jefferson

Jefferson sits just behind Lamb in half-PPR 3D Value. 

The Vikings’ only question is QB play, but we’re not concerned about J.J. McCarthy’s ability to feed Jefferson targets.

Just keep in mind: If you’re picking sixth or seventh, you’re unlikely to land Jefferson. So pivot to the names below, headlined by a 49er with massive bounce-back appeal.

Other Options

• Christian McCaffrey
• Puka Nacua

Round 2

Top Target: A.J. Brown

We expect Philly's pass rate to increase a bit after last year's historically low number (44.3%).

New OC Kevin Patullo has served as a QBs and WRs coach in the NFL and spent the past four years as the Eagles' pass-game coordinator under Nick Sirianni.

It’s also fair to wonder if the team will reduce the workload for Saquon Barkley after the 28-year-old totaled 482 touches in 2024.

Regardless, Brown is positioned to deliver WR1 numbers for your fantasy squad.

Next Best: Josh Jacobs

Jacobs thrived in a run-heavy Packers offense last year and walks into the same featured role in 2025. 

His red-zone usage and tackle-breaking efficiency give him one of the highest floors among RBs, especially in half-PPR leagues. Even if Green Bay throws more, Jacobs should retain a stable workload on all three downs.

Other Options

• Bucky Irving
• Drake London
• Tee Higgins
• Brock Bowers

Round 3

Top Target: Breece Hall

Hall enters training camp healthy, poised for a lead role behind a revamped O-line that includes veteran LG John Simpson and rookie RT Armand Membou. 

We’ll see how much the Jets mix in Braelon Allen. But Hall’s easily the more established option, and the team has intimated that he’ll be a clear lead back.

The veteran makes for a solid pick anywhere in Round 3.

Next Best: Chase Brown

The Bengals could have added a serious backfield complement for Brown. Instead, they’ll enter camp with Zack Moss, Samaje Perine, and rookie Tahj Brooks behind the 2024 breakout.

Brown’s scoring and reception upside supply a shot at top-5 RB production.

Other Options

• Joe Mixon
• Alvin Kamara
• Rashee Rice
• Davante Adams
• Jalen Hurts

Round 4

Top Target: James Conner

You might call him old or boring. We’d say he’s productive … and undervalued (again).

He returns as Arizona’s lead back in 2025 with an offensive line that quietly ranked top-12 in run blocking last season. The pass-game involvement adds stability, and his role in the red zone remains locked in. 

Conner projects as a high-floor RB2.

Next Best: D.J. Moore

You might fret over Moore’s new target competition (rookies Luther Burden and Colston Loveland). 

But both guys missed offseason practices with injuries, and they’re not guaranteed impactful roles as rookies.

Moore ranks among the NFL’s most consistent WRs, with 1,100 yards in four of his past six seasons. He hasn’t missed a game due to injury since 2020.

We’ll bet on the 28-year-old continuing that trend alongside new HC Ben Johnson and a more-experienced Caleb Williams.

Other Options

• D.K. Metcalf
• Jaylen Waddle
• Xavier Worthy
• David Montgomery

Round 5

Top Target: Jameson Williams

Williams forecasts similarly to the guy in the next section, with the Lion boasting a slightly better floor and ceiling projection.

Expect him to retain a high weekly ceiling, despite the loss of OC Ben Johnson. Keep in mind that Williams is only 24 and brings just a single season of starter-level snaps into the fall.

Next Best: George Pickens

Pickens goes from being Pittsburgh's top receiver to Dallas' No. 2, but a pair of upgrades will at least mitigate that -- and perhaps make it irrelevant.

First, QB Dak Prescott's a nice improvement on last year's Justin Fields-Russell Wilson combo and an even larger enhancement over previous options.

Second, he'll be awash in passing volume. Last year's Steelers ranked just 29th in pass attempts. The Cowboys ranked top-10 in that category each of the past two years, with Brian Schottenheimer as OC. He's now the head coach and might generate even more volume.

Other Options

• D’Andre Swift
• Zay Flowers
• Chris Olave

Round 6

Top Target: Isiah Pacheco

We’re willing to toss out Pacheco’s 2024. 

He suffered a Week 2 broken fibula, only to return ahead of schedule and struggle to find his pre-injury form.

The good news? He’s back to 100%. If he stays that way through camp, Pacheco will have a good shot at delivering value in the RB “dead zone.”

Next Best: David Njoku

You can nitpick the quarterback situation, but Njoku’s role remains one of the most fantasy-friendly for a TE. He commands red-zone looks, lines up all over the formation, and sees targets at an elite rate when active. 

The contract-year TE is one of our favorite targets at the position.

Other Options

• TreVeyon Henderson
• Jaylen Warren
• Brian Robinson Jr.
• Chris Godwin

Round 7

Top Target: Deebo Samuel

Deebo lands in Washington as the clear favorite for the No. 2 role behind Terry McLaurin. OC Kliff Kingsbury’s screen-heavy offense aligns perfectly with Deebo’s catch-and-run strengths, and Jayden Daniels showed plenty of passing upside in 2024. 

Samuel's fantasy value hinges on health, but that’s baked into the cost. If he stays on the field, the former 49er can return WR3 value.

Next Best: Travis Etienne

Etienne’s 2024 fell short, but context matters: a bottom-tier offensive line, a collapsing offense, and a mid-season hamstring injury all worked against him. 

Now he gets a fresh start under HC Liam Coen, whose run game helped Bucky Irving break out.

At a minimum, Etienne still projects as Jacksonville’s best receiving option out of the backfield. So don’t count him out, especially in full PPR formats.

Other Options

• Javonte Williams
• Jauan Jennings
• Stefon Diggs

Round 8

Top Target: Keon Coleman

Coleman returns to the starting ‘X’ WR role.

There’s room for him to earn 100 targets in an offense that should remain among the highest scorers in the league. A breakout candidate, Coleman’s ideal to roster as a wait-and-see WR4.

Next Best: Justin Fields

Fields averaged 21.4 fantasy points across six starts as a Steeler. That figure tied him with Patrick Mahomes and Kyler Murray.

Fields still projects for low pass volume with limited receiving options, but it’s the rushing production that should continue to supply QB1 value.

Other Options

• Jordan Mason
• Ricky Pearsall
• Jayden Reed
• Josh Downs
• Darnell Mooney

Round 9

Top Target: Justin Herbert

Herbert finished 16th in fantasy points per game last year, but note his late-season surge. Three of his best four fantasy finishes surfaced in his final three regular season games. That's potential momentum -- and greater comfort -- in OC Greg Roman's system.

Entering Year 2 with Roman, Herbert has a boosted supporting cast featuring WR Tre Harris and G Mekhi Becton. The QB remains one of the league’s most talented pure throwers, too.

Next Best: Dak Prescott

Back healthy, Prescott should benefit from a pass-happy system and the trade for WR George Pickens.

The O-line should also improve after adding a first-round pick for the second straight year. G Tyler Booker joins 2024 first-round LT Tyler Guyton.

Other Options

• Dalton Kincaid
• Rashid Shaheed
• Hollywood Brown
• Tyjae Spears

Round 10

Top Target: Dalton Kincaid

Kincaid let you down in 2024, but he also dealt with a pair of knee injuries. And that disappointment has driven down his draft cost.

With better health and a WR room absent a true No. 1, Kincaid’s breakout may simply be delayed. At this price, the opportunity cost of taking a shot is low.

Next Best: Trevor Lawrence

If you waited this long for a QB, then grab Lawrence.

The fifth-year pro isn’t an every-week starter, but he projects well early with opening games vs. Carolina and Cincinnati.

Travis Hunter's arrival should also give Lawrence the best WR corps of his career. And we're optimistic about the effect of new HC Liam Coen, who just coached the best season out of Baker Mayfield in Tampa.

Other Options

• Rachaad White
• Austin Ekeler
• Trey Benson
• Jake Ferguson

Round 11

Top Target: Jaylen Wright

Looking for a high upside RB handcuff? Wright’s your guy, as he’s likely to back up De’Von Achane. Current backfield competition includes declining veteran Alexander Mattison and Round 6 rookie Ollie Gordon. 

We'll follow this backfield closely in camp, but Wright’s positioned to see lead-back work should Achane miss time.

Next Best: Rashid Shaheed

Shaheed enters 2025 as New Orleans’ clear No. 2 WR.

He brings elite speed, a high target-per-route rate, and a defined role in an offense that should play faster under HC Kellen Moore. The QB situation is unsettled, but Shaheed’s downfield ability fits well in a system designed to create explosive plays. 

He boasts spike-week appeal as a WR4 or flex and fits nicely in a WR corps that includes several high-floor players.

Other Options

• Tua Tagovailoa
• Ray Davis
• Jaydon Blue

Round 12

Top Target: Marvin Mims

Mims is a bet on talent. HC Sean Payton has limited his role through two NFL seasons, but it's hard to deny the upside on a young WR with career marks of:

• 14.2 yards per catch
• 1.93 yards per route run
• 10.1 yards after catch per reception

Maybe it takes a Courtland Sutton trade or injury to truly unlock the potential here. Regardless, Mims is a low-risk flier.

Next Best: Isaac Guerendo

We’ll see if Guerendo can hold off rookie Jordan James for the handcuff role. Guerendo’s limited sample last year suggests he’s at least the early favorite, though.

The explosive back averaged 5.0 YPC, chipping in nine runs of 10+ yards (on 84 attempts). He added 10.1 yards per catch on 15 opportunities.

A proven San Francisco offense further builds the case for Guerendo as a stash. 

Other Options

• Roschon Johnson
• Cedric Tillman
• Diontae Johnson

Round 13

Top Target: MarShawn Lloyd

Check out these notable comments from Josh Jacobs (via wbay.com):

Lloyd will have to earn the No. 2 RB role after an injury-ruined rookie year, but consider him the favorite. His athletic profile could shine if the opportunity arises.

Next Best: Jarquez Hunter

Blake Corum showed nothing as a rookie to suggest he’s ready for timeshare duties.

Maybe Hunter follows a similar path, but his college tape showed an explosive player with receiving ability. Tied to HC Sean McVay, Hunter is another upside stash to consider.

Other Options

• Dontayvion Wicks
• Darius Slayton
• Ja’Tavion Sanders

Rounds 14, 15 & 16

Top Targets: High-upside bench stash, K & DST

Target a player with big upside in Round 14. You can sort by projected ceiling in your Draft War Room to find players with difference-making potential.

Names to consider:

• Cam Ward 
• Anthony Richardson 
• Nick Chubb
• Justice Hill 
• DJ Giddens
• Michael Wilson
• Theo Johnson

Here are three DSTs with favorable early-season schedules:

• Broncos (vs. TEN, at IND)
• Steelers (at NYJ, vs. SEA, at NE)
• 49ers (at SEA, at NO)

Discount kicker options include:

• Matt Gay, Commanders
• Daniel Carlson, Raiders
• Cam Little, Jaguars

14-Team Draft Strategy for Pick 8, 9, 10, or 11

Round 1

Top Target: Christian McCaffrey

There’s at least a shot you’ll land McCaffrey in this range; his ESPN ADP is currently 9.0. He’s 12th on Yahoo.

His fantasy output comes down to health. CMC finished as the RB2 in 2022 and RB1 in 2023, both healthy seasons. Despite clear injury risk, McCaffrey retains the upside to finish as the top-scoring RB.

That league-winning upside makes him a worthwhile choice from a mid-to-late position.

Next Best: Puka Nacua

Nacua’s the kind of ascending WR you want to target in Round 1. 

His 2024 turned up elite production, top-tier usage, and high efficiency -- despite a nagging knee injury.

Sure, new Ram Davante Adams brings target competition. We expect this offense to throw more, though, and Nacua’s built-in rapport with Matthew Stafford certainly matters. 

Nacua’s 1.08 ADP suggests he’s an optimistic target. Still, as with all players, you’ll find varying ADPs across platforms.

Other Options

• Derrick Henry
• De’Von Achane
• Malik Nabers

Round 2

Top Target: Jonathan Taylor

Taylor cracked 100 total yards in 10 of 14 games last season. 

His touches per game? A fiery 22.9.

Indy’s offseason moves suggest they’ll ride the 26-year-old again in 2025. Their QB situation (Daniel Jones? Anthony Richardson?) remains suspect.

Ultimately, see where the value lies in the Draft War Room for your particular setup. Don’t feel like you need to start RB-RB; WR-WR and RB-WR starts (in either order) are reasonable.

Next Best: A.J. Brown

You’re drafting Brown because he’s a proven fantasy asset in the prime of his career.

But after posting a wildly low 44.3% pass rate last season, there’s reason to believe the Eagles will increase their passing volume.

Brown, DeVonta Smith, and Dallas Goedert combining to miss 15 games last season likely pushed that run lean further.

Other Options

• Josh Jacobs
• Kyren Williams
• Drake London

Round 3

Top Target: Breece Hall

Hall’s just one season removed from finishing third among RBs in half PPR-points (fifth in PPG).

Aaron Rodgers’ departure will likely lead to an increase in rushing volume. Justin Fields has never been a high-volume passer, and the Jets' roster isn't deep at pass catcher.

Plus, Fields brings the rushing threat to improve Hall’s rush efficiency. 

Don’t be surprised if the contract-year back regains a three-down role under new OC Tanner Engstrand. 

Next Best: Kenneth Walker

Walker finished last year at RB12 in PPR points per game. And that was despite recovering from a September oblique injury that forced two absences.

Durability was an issue before 2024, but the risk is worth the potential reward in late Round 3. Walker’s generally thought of a better scheme fit under new OC Klink Kubiak, who’ll utilize more wide zone concepts. 

Expect Seattle to run more overall, a year after finishing fifth in pass rate and trading DK Metcalf in March.

Other Options

• Jalen Hurts
• Alvin Kamara
• Mike Evans

Round 4

Top Target: Joe Burrow

Burrow just finished second at the position in fantasy points per game. His 26.5 PPG ranked 5.1 points ahead of QB12 Kyler Murray.

Burrow's healthy offseason has also marked a nice change. He dealt with a calf injury in the summer of 2023 and rehabbed a wrist injury in the 2024 offseason.

Next Best: George Kittle

Kittle’s 2024 proved he can still deliver excellent fantasy production, even as a 31-year-old in a crowded offense. His 13.2 half-PPR points per game led the position by a full point.

With Deebo Samuel gone and Brandon Aiyuk recovering from an ACL tear, Kittle has a real shot to open the season as the team’s top target.

His TE3 ADP obviously leads most of the position, but Kittle presents a more cost-effective elite option than Brock Bowers or Trey McBride.

Other Options

• Alvin Kamara
• James Conner
• D.J. Moore

Round 5

Top Target: D'Andre Swift

Swift is a bet on opportunity in a rising offense. This offseason, Chicago added an offensive-minded HC (Ben Johnson) and several O-line upgrades (LG Joe Thuney, C Drew Dalman, and RG Jonah Jackson).

The former Lion probably won’t be a workhorse. But he’s the favorite for lead back duties – and pass-catching work – ahead of Roschon Johnson and rookie Kyle Monangai.

Next Best: George Pickens

Dak Prescott’s efficiency and Lamb’s ability to attract defensive attention create a strong environment for downfield shots. 

If you can stomach the inconsistency, Pickens could deliver some week-winning lines in 2025.

Other Options

• Courtland Sutton
• Zay Flowers
• Travis Kelce

Round 6

Top Target: Isiah Pacheco

A healthy Pacheco remains the favorite for lead-back work.

If he follows through, the former Round 7 pick should rebound in an Andy Reid/Patrick Mahomes offense that he knows well. Recall that Pacheco finished RB14 in PPR points per game in 2023.

Next Best: Chris Godwin

You can connect Godwin’s depressed ADP to a season-ending ankle injury. Just remember: The veteran slotted third in PPR points per game before going down last season. He was on pace for:

• 133 catches
• 1,404 yards
• 12.1 TDs

The Bucs signaled confidence in Godwin by inking him to a three-year deal ($44 million guaranteed). Barring a setback, he’ll return to a high-volume role.

Other Options

• Jameson Williams
• Tetairoa McMillan

Round 7

Top Target: David Njoku

You can nitpick the QB situation, but Njoku’s role remains one of the most fantasy-friendly for a TE. 

He commands red-zone looks, lines up all over the formation, and sees targets at an elite rate when active.

The contract-year TE is one of our favorite targets at the position.

Next Best: Travis Etienne

Etienne’s 2024 was a mess: inefficient rushing, limited volume, and nagging injuries. But he’s still the best pass-catching back on the roster and now plays for a HC (Liam Coen) who just revived Tampa Bay’s run game. 

Jacksonville’s RB room adds risk here, but it also lowers the cost on Etienne. We're big fans of rookie Bhayshul Tuten around here. But getting drafted in Round 4 doesn't guarantee him a thing.

Coen also spoke highly of Etienne and shot down trade rumors in June.

Other Options

• Javonte Williams
• Brian Robinson Jr.
• Stefon Diggs

Round 8

Top Target: Keon Coleman

Coleman returns to the starting "X" WR role alongside Josh Allen. 

There’s room for him to earn 100 targets in an offense that should remain among the highest scorers in the league. Coleman carries breakthrough potential from WR4 range on.

Next Best: Justin Fields

Fields averaged 21.4 fantasy points across six starts as a Steeler. That figure tied him with Patrick Mahomes and Kyler Murray.

Fields still projects for low pass volume with limited receiving depth, but it’s the rushing production that should continue to supply QB1 value.

Other Options

• Jordan Mason
• Ricky Pearsall
• Jayden Reed
• Josh Downs
• Darnell Mooney

Round 9

Top Target: Justin Herbert

Herbert finished 16th in fantasy points per game last year, but note his late-season surge. Three of his best four fantasy finishes surfaced in his final three regular season games. That's potential momentum -- and greater comfort -- in OC Greg Roman's system.

Entering Year 2 in the same system, Herbert has a boosted supporting cast featuring WR Tre Harris and G Mekhi Becton. We’ll find several appealing QBs in later rounds, so don’t feel like you have to grab Herbert here. But a top-8 fantasy finish is within reach.

Next Best: Dak Prescott

A healthy Prescott projects to benefit from a pass-happy system and the trade for George Pickens.

The O-line should also improve after adding a first-round pick for the second straight year. G Tyler Booker joins 2024 first-round LT Tyler Guyton.

Other Options

• Dalton Kincaid
• Rashid Shaheed
• Hollywood Brown
• Tyjae Spears

Round 10

Top Target: Dalton Kincaid

Kincaid let you down in 2024, but he also dealt with a pair of knee injuries. And that disappointment has driven down his draft cost.

With better health and a WR room absent a true No. 1, Kincaid’s breakout may simply be delayed. At this price, the opportunity cost of taking a shot is low.

Next Best: Trevor Lawrence

Still without a QB? Lawrence isn’t an every-week starter, but he projects well early vs. Carolina and Cincinnati.

Travis Hunter's arrival gives Lawrence the best WR corps of his career. We’re also optimistic about the match with new OC Liam Coen, who just coached the best season out of Baker Mayfield.

Other Options

• Rachaad White
• Austin Ekeler
• Trey Benson
• Jake Ferguson

Round 11

Top Target: Jaylen Wright

Looking for a high-upside RB handcuff? Wright’s your guy, as he’s likely to back up De’Von Achane. Current backfield competition includes declining veteran Alexander Mattison and Round 6 rookie Ollie Gordon. 

We'll follow this backfield closely in camp, but Wright’s positioned to see lead-back work should Achane miss time.

Next Best: Rashid Shaheed

Shaheed enters 2025 as New Orleans’ clear No. 2 WR.

He brings elite speed, a high target-per-route rate, and a defined role in an offense that should play faster under HC Kellen Moore. The QB situation is unsettled, but Shaheed’s downfield ability fits well in a system designed to create explosive plays. 

He boasts spike-week appeal as a WR4 or flex and fits nicely in a WR corps that includes several high-floor players.

Other Options

• Tua Tagovailoa
• Ray Davis
• Jaydon Blue

Round 12

Top Target: Marvin Mims

Mims is a bet on talent. HC Sean Payton has limited his role through two NFL seasons, but it's hard to deny the upside on a young WR with career marks of:

• 14.2 yards per catch
• 1.93 yards per route run
• 10.1 yards after catch per reception

Maybe it takes a Courtland Sutton trade or injury to truly unlock the potential here. Regardless, Mims is a low-risk flier.

Next Best: Isaac Guerendo

We’ll see if Guerendo can hold off rookie Jordan James for the handcuff role. Guerendo’s limited sample last year suggests he’s at least the early favorite, though.

The explosive back averaged 5.0 YPC, chipping in nine runs of 10+ yards (on 84 attempts). He added 10.1 yards per catch on 15 opportunities.

A proven San Francisco offense further builds the case for Guerendo as a stash. 

Other Options

• Roschon Johnson
• Cedric Tillman
• Diontae Johnson

Round 13

Top Target: MarShawn Lloyd

Check out these notable comments from Josh Jacobs (via wbay.com):

Lloyd will have to earn the No. 2 RB role after an injury-ruined rookie year. But he’s clearly the favorite, and his athletic profile could shine if the opportunity arises.

Next Best: Jarquez Hunter

Blake Corum showed nothing as a rookie to suggest he’s ready for timeshare duties.

We’ll see what Hunter displays in training camp, but his college tape showed an explosive player with receiving ability. He exits college with an impressive 6.3 yards per carry on 539 attempts.

Tied to HC Sean McVay, Hunter is another upside stash to consider.

Other Options

• Dontayvion Wicks
• Darius Slayton
• Ja’Tavion Sanders

Rounds 14, 15 & 16

Top Targets: High-upside bench stash, K & DST

Target a player with big upside in Round 14. You can sort by projected ceiling in your Draft War Room to find players with difference-making potential.

Names to consider:

• Cam Ward 
• Anthony Richardson 
• Nick Chubb
• Justice Hill 
• DJ Giddens
• Kendre Miller
• Michael Wilson
• Theo Johnson

Here are three DSTs with favorable early-season schedules:

• Broncos (vs. TEN, at IND)
• Steelers (at NYJ, vs. SEA, at NE)
• 49ers (at SEA, at NO)

Discount kicker options include:

• Matt Gay, Commanders
• Daniel Carlson, Raiders
• Cam Little, Jaguars

14-Team Draft Strategy for Pick 12, 13, or 14

Rounds 1 & 2

Top Targets: Christian McCaffrey & Nico Collins

It’s all about health with CMC. 

If he can stay on the field, another overall RB1 season is in play.

The same holds true for Collins, who remains the go-to target for C.J. Stroud. The 26-year-old has tallied back-to-back top-8 finishes in points per game.

Next Best: Derrick Henry & Malik Nabers

At 30, Henry finished as the fantasy RB3 last season. He showed no signs of decline, capping his ninth season with games of 6.9, 7.2, and 5.3 yards per carry.

As long as he stays healthy, Henry remains a strong RB1 bet.

Nabers went off for 109 catches, 1,204 yards, and 7 TDs as a rookie. He did it in 15 games with one of the NFL’s worst QB situations.

Maybe Nabers won’t repeat his 11.3 targets per game. But there’s room for his yards per catch (11.0) and TD rate (6.4%) to rise. An upgraded QB room only helps his chances of finishing as a high-end fantasy WR.

Other Options

• Jonathan Taylor
• De’Von Achane
• A.J. Brown

Rounds 3 & 4

Top Targets: Breece Hall & Mike Evans

Hall’s just one season removed from finishing third among RBs in half PPR points (fifth in PPG).

Aaron Rodgers’ departure will likely lead to an increase in rushing volume. Justin Fields has never been a high-volume passer, and the Jets' roster isn't deep at pass catcher.

Plus, Fields brings the rushing threat to improve Hall’s rush efficiency. 

Don’t be surprised if the contract-year back regains a three-down role under new OC Tanner Engstrand. 

Evans turns 32 in August, but he remained effective in 2024. Chris Godwin’s coming off an ankle fracture, and the Bucs are breaking in rookie WR Emeka Egbuka.

Next Best: Alvin Kamara and George Kittle

Kamara finish fifth in fantasy points per game last year; and he led all RBs in expected PPR output. 

Volume remains king in fantasy. Kamara got a contract extension last fall and continues to face unthreatening competition.

Kittle’s 2024 proved he can still deliver excellent fantasy production, even as a 31-year-old in a crowded offense. His 13.2 half-PPR points per game led the position by a full point.

With Deebo Samuel gone and Brandon Aiyuk recovering from an ACL tear, Kittle has a real shot to open the season as the team’s top target.

He's a cost-effective alternative to Brock Bowers and Trey McBride

Other Options

• Jalen Hurts
• Joe Burrow
• James Conner
• Davante Adams
• Kenneth Walker

Rounds 5 & 6

Top Targets: George Pickens & Isiah Pacheco

Pickens finally lands in a pass-friendly system with a QB upgrade. The deep targets will come, and defenses can’t key on him with CeeDee Lamb drawing coverage. 

Pickens isn’t built for consistency, but the setup screams spike-week upside. Consider him a candidate for your WR3 slot.

A leg injury ruined Pacheco’s 2024, but the Chiefs’ offseason moves suggest a positive outlook from decision makers. His current RB competition includes 30-year-old Kareem Hunt, injury-prone Elijah Mitchell, and Round 7 pick Brashard Smith.

Translation: Pacheco’s got a clear path to fantasy-friendly volume in an offense that could easily return to the top-five in scoring.

Next Best: Jameson Williams & D'Andre Swift

It’s fine to draft Pickens and Williams on a best ball team. But in a lineup-setting league, I’d lean toward grabbing only one, given the projected volatility on both guys.

Here’s what we know for sure. Williams made real strides last year with 17.3 yards per catch, 1.97 yards per route run, and a low 3.3% drop rate. He now enters the season with a clearer role in one of the league’s most talented offenses.

We’ll see how this unit meshes with new OC John Morton, but he brings some shared history with Williams. Morton spent 2022 -- Williams' rookie year -- as an offensive assistant.

Swift is a bet on opportunity in a rising offense. This offseason, Chicago added an offensive-minded HC (Ben Johnson) and several O-line upgrades (LG Joe Thuney, C Drew Dalman, and RG Jonah Jackson).

The former Lion probably won’t be a workhorse. But he’s the favorite for lead back duties – and pass-catching work – ahead of Roschon Johnson and rookie Kyle Monangai.

Other Options

• TreVeyon Henderson
• Calvin Ridley
• Chris Olave
• Zay Flowers
• David Njoku

Rounds 7 & 8

Top Targets: Deebo Samuel and Travis Etienne

Deebo’s 2024 numbers don’t tell the full story, as an in-season illness tanked his efficiency. Still, he showed flashes of elite yards-after-catch ability with 8.2 per reception. 

Washington won’t need to guess how to use him. OC Kliff Kingsbury’s screen-heavy system looks like a perfect fit. With Jayden Daniels capable of delivering high-percentage throws and the WR depth chart wide open behind McLaurin, Deebo has a path to 100 targets.

Etienne’s 2024 was a mess: inefficient rushing, limited volume, and nagging injuries. But he’s still the best pass-catching back on the roster and now plays under a HC (Liam Coen) who just revived Tampa Bay’s run game. 

Jacksonville’s RB room adds risk here, but it also lowers the cost on Etienne. We're big fans of rookie Bhayshul Tuten around here. But getting drafted in Round 4 doesn't guarantee him a thing.

Coen also spoke highly of Etienne and shot down trade rumors in June.

Next Best: Jayden Reed and Brian Robinson Jr.

Reed could pop early in the season, and it’s not just because of potentially high-scoring games vs. Detroit (at home) and Washington (at home).

Green Bay will enter Week 1 without Christian Watson (ACL). We’ll also see what they get out of 22-year-old rookie Matthew Golden, who hits the league with an underwhelming college production profile.

Mix in a healthy Jordan Love -- plus a higher expected pass rate -- and it’s possible Reed blossoms into a weekly WR3.

Last year, Robinson quietly ranked top-10 in red-zone carries and posted double-digit fantasy points in 10 games. His efficiency ticked up, and with the Commanders returning their O-line and offensive brain trust, there’s reason to expect similar or better results. 

Sure, Austin Ekeler’s presence adds volatility. But Robinson’s early-down and goal-line role remains secure. That keeps him in 'sthe RB3/flex mix ahead of a contract year.

Other Options

• Jaylen Warren
• J.K. Dobbins
• Keon Coleman
• Khalil Shakir
• Darnell Mooney

Rounds 9 & 10

Top Targets: Justin Fields and Tyjae Spears

Fields’ rushing ability is enough for useful fantasy production. And don’t just take my word for it.

Fields finished three of last year's six starts as a top-12 fantasy QB. That includes a QB1-overall showing against the Colts.

The Titans are hoping for a more "balanced attack" from their backfield. We’ll see if HC Brian Callahan delivers on that one after making a similar statement in 2024. But it’s important to keep in mind that Spears battled multiple injuries that limited him last season.

Back healthy, he’s a fine stash as an RB3/4, especially with Tennessee’s offense trending up.

Next Best: Dak Prescott and Dalton Kincaid

Back healthy, Dak should benefit from a pass-happy system and the trade for WR George Pickens.

The O-line should also improve after adding a first-round pick for the second straight year. G Tyler Booker joins 2024 first-round LT Tyler Guyton.

Kincaid let you down in 2024, but he also dealt with a pair of knee injuries. And that disappointment has driven down his draft cost.

With better health and a WR room absent a true No. 1, Kincaid’s breakout may simply be delayed. At this price, the opportunity cost of taking a shot is low.

Other Options

• Rachaad White
• Rashid Shaheed
• Josh Downs
• Hollywood Brown
• Jake Ferguson

Rounds 11 & 12

Top Targets: Jaylen Wright & Rashid Shaheed 

If you’re looking for an upside RB to stash, Wright’s your guy. The speedster is likely to back up De’Von Achane ahead of declining veteran Alexander Mattison and Round 6 rookie Ollie Gordon. 

We'll follow this backfield closely in camp, but Wright’s positioned to see lead back work should Achane miss time.

Shaheed’s QB situation is unsettled, but he at least enters 2025 as New Orleans’ No. 2 WR.

He brings elite speed, a high target-per-route rate, and a defined role in an offense that should play faster under HC Kellen Moore. 

Shaheed boasts spike-week appeal as a WR4 or flex and fits nicely in a WR corps that includes several high-floor players.

Next Best: Isaac Guerendo & Marvin Mims

We’ll see if Guerendo can hold off rookie Jordan James for the handcuff role. Guerendo’s limited sample last year suggests he’s at least the early favorite, though.

The explosive back averaged 5.0 YPC, chipping in nine runs of 10+ yards (on 84 attempts). He added 10.1 yards per catch on 15 opportunities.

A proven San Francisco offense further builds the case for Guerendo as an RB stash. 

Mims was the first pick of the Sean Payton era. The team even traded up to land him in late Round 2.

His early career has been marked by high efficiency … and low volume. But at only 23, there’s time for him to step up in a WR corps that includes little behind Courtland Sutton.

Other Options

• Roschon Johnson
• Dylan Sampson
• Cedric Tillman
• Diontae Johnson

Rounds 13 & 14

Top Targets: Justice Hill & Darius Slayton

Derrick Henry has proved durable, with back-to-back seasons of 17 games played. No debate there.

But injuries can strike at any time, especially at RB. If that happens to the veteran, Hill would step into 12+ touches per game on one of the NFL’s top offenses.

Slayton’s a bit of a WR handcuff, but we like his fit with the Giants’ QB trio of Russell Wilson, Jameis Winston, and Jaxson Dart. Each guy has proven effective at throwing the deep ball. 

Next Best: Diontae Johnson & Jarquez Hunter

Johnson spent time with Carolina and Baltimore last season. He fizzled out with the Ravens, but an early-season run with the Panthers showed he’s still an intriguing option.

From Week 1 to Week 6, Johnson finished as a top-12 PPR option in three games. That action largely came alongside Andy Dalton.

We’ll see how Cleveland’s QB room shakes out. But there’s an opportunity for him to be the No. 3 target (behind Jerry Jeudy and David Njoku) for a team that figures to regularly play from behind in 2025.

Hunter earned a spot as one of our dynasty rookie sleepers. But as colleague Shane Hallam notes in the article, Hunter could be called on to take some pressure off Kyren Williams.

At a minimum, Hunter will have a chance to establish himself as the handcuff over 2024 disappointment Blake Corum.

Other Options

• Kendre Miller
• Roman Wilson
• Calvin Austin
• Ja'Tavion Sanders

Rounds 15 & 16

Top Targets: DST & K

Here are three DSTs with favorable early-season schedules:

• Broncos (vs. TEN, at IND)
• Steelers (at NYJ, vs. SEA, at NE)
• 49ers (at SEA, at NO)

Discount kicker options include:

• Matt Gay, Commanders
• Daniel Carlson, Raiders
• Cam Little, Jaguars

The Best 14-Team Draft Strategy: A Custom Game Plan to Fit Any League

Round-by-round strategy is a strong start.

But fantasy drafts never go according to plan. One snipe, one run, one panic pick and suddenly you're scrambling.

That's why you need a cheat sheet that adapts as you draft.

It updates in real time as your draft unfolds, using 17 value indicators to make sure you’re making the absolute best pick each time you’re on the clock.

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