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Joe Mixon - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJoe Mixon's Basic Stats

Joe Mixon
ADP: N/A
Bye: 14
Experience: 7
Age: 28.1
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.50

SPARQx (Rank): 120.40 (78%)
Burst Score (Rank): 118.50 (49%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.37 (55%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 7.10

Joe Mixon's Weekly Outlook

Week 3 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
61 0.49 2.7 19.2 0.11 11.4
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
65.3 0.5 2.9 20.5 0.1 12.2

Joe Mixon's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#10 Running Back

226.7 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 244 979 7.92 1.8 1.6 43.2 307.6 1.76

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJoe Mixon's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Mixon signing with the Texans was the best-case scenario after being released by the Bengals.

He joins a prolific offense that gave Devin Singletary fantasy relevancy last season in OC Bobby Slowik’s offense. With C.J. Stroud and the WR weapons on the Texans, Mixon should have even more scoring opportunities.

Even if his receptions take a step back, Mixon should flirt with RB1 numbers again this season.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Mixon’s 923 rushing yards ranked 13th among RBs. His 51 catches ranked 10th among RBs.
  • He did not miss any games due to injury.
  • Mixon ranked as the PPR RB7 in total fantasy points (242.2) and RB10 in points per game (12.0).
    • He finished RB12 or better six times. He recorded seven games between RB13 and RB24.
  • He ranked 19th among all ball carriers in rushing success rate at 49.4%.
  • He played 69% of the Bengals offensive snaps last season. His per-game averages for the season :
    • 15.1 carries
    • 60.8 rushing yards
    • 0.53 rushing TDs
    • 3.76 targets
    • 3.06 catches
    • 22.1 receiving yards
    • 0.18 receiving TDs
  • Mixon’s statistical success may have been a bit of a charade. Among 51 RBs with 90+ carries last year, he ranked:
    • 32nd in Pro Football Focus rushing grade
    • 39th in PFF’s Elusive Rating
    • 27th in NFL Next Gen Stats’ Rush Yards Over Expected Per Attempt
  • His receiving metrics were slightly better. Among 43 RBs with 30+ targets, Mixon ranked:
    • 15th in PFF receiving grade
    • 24th in yards per route run

What to Expect in 2024

  • Mixon signed a three-year, $25.5 million contract with the Texans this offseason with $13 million guaranteed. His $9.875 million per year ranks sixth among RBs.
  • He will play under HC Demeco Ryans and second-year OC Bobby Slowik.
  • The Texans are expected to perform similarly to last season. They have the highest win total in the AFC South at 9.5 wins on most sportsbooks.
  • They also have the eighth-highest odds to win the Super Bowl at +1600 on most sportsbooks, best in the division.
  • Mixon enters his eighth season at 28 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average RB with Mixon’s career will produce between 80 and 88% of his peak value at age-28.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Joe Mixon, RB HOU

9:32am EDT 9/4/24

Joe Mixon 100% For Week 1

Texans RB Joe Mixon is "fully healthy" for Week 1, according to insider Aaron Wilson. Mixon missed some time in August and didn't play in the preseason due to a quad injury. But he's been back on the field for a couple of weeks now and will be ready for a full workload on Sunday vs. the Colts.

View Full Story »

Texans RB Joe Mixon has been out of practice since early last week with a hamstring issue. HC DeMeco Ryans downplayed the injury when initially speaking about it on July 23. But Mixon remained out when the team took the field Monday morning, according to Jonathan M. Alexander of the Houston Chronicle.

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Texans OC Bobby Slowik gushed about RB Joe Mixon in Saturday's press conference. "He's a fun, fun person to coach," Slowik said with a big smile. "From Day one, showed up and absolutely worked his tail off. I mean you could see right away in Phase two, and in OTAs, like I understand now why he was as good as he was in Cincinnati. He puts in an immense amount of work. He loves football. He does not stop wanting to learn, wanting to grow. ... Workhorse. He’s an absolute workhorse, in every regard. Not just as a ball carrier. He embraces protections. He embraces the other things he can do outside of carrying the ball, as an eligible [receiver], as a decoy."

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The Texans and RB Joe Mixon agreed to a three-year extension worth $27 million total with $13 million guaranteed, according to insider Jordan Schultz. If there was any doubt that Mixon will be Houston's clear lead back at least this coming season, this deal should erase it. The 27-year-old is on the downside of his career but can still carry a load on the ground and is reliable in the passing game. Set to see nice volume in an ascending Texans offense, Mixon has a shot to turn in another RB1 fantasy season in 2024.

View all Joe Mixon Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Joe Mixon, RB HOU
Dynasty MVP 83.7
Position Rank #48 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
304
430
640
Dynasty Write-up
Mixon quietly assembled the PPR RB6 season in 2023. He's now compiled 918 touches over the past three years. Entering his age 28 season, Mixon is a clear sell-high candidate -- even in a favorable situation with Houston.
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