Dak Prescott Fantasy Overview

2024 Summary

Production & Fantasy Finishes

Prescott signed a multi-year extension at the start of last season. Unfortunately, he made only eight appearances, totaling 1,978 passing yards, 11 TDs, and 8 INTs. He added 54 rushing yards and a score on the ground.

Prescott rarely flashed a high ceiling when healthy. In six full games, he finished:

• QB21
• QB15
• QB2
• QB11
• QB13
• QB20

His 21.9 fantasy points per game marked a drop from 2023 (23.9) but fell in line with his 12-game 2022 (21.6).

Efficiency Metrics

Dak’s 64.7% completion rate and 6.9 yards per attempt last year were his worst marks since 2017. His 45.3 QBR set a career low.

And that’s just the beginning. The veteran finished:

• 28th in Pro Football Focus passing grade
• 29th in bad throw percentage
• 29th in fantasy points per dropback
• 38th in on-target rate

Prescott was also on pace for just 27.6 carries and 114.7 rushing yards. Those would have been career lows, aside from his five-game 2020.

Offensive Context

We’re willing to give Dak a mulligan.

One reason why: The lack of a difference-making No. 2 WR. Behind CeeDee Lamb, Dallas' top targets were TE Jake Ferguson (86) and WRs Jalen Tolbert (79) and Brandin Cooks (54).

Not great.

Dallas’ O-line wasn’t much of an asset, either. G Zach Martin missed seven games, while rookie LT Tyler Guyton struggled for most of the season.

Overall, this unit ranked 23rd in PFF's pass blocking grade and 24th in ESPN's pass block win rate.

Historical Production & Trends

Prescott’s career opened with three straight seasons of six rushing TDs. In the six years since then, he's totaled 11 rushing scores, with no more than three in a single season.

It's fair to say that his injury history — which includes a 2020 ankle dislocation/fracture and a 2021 calf strain -— has limited the rushing output.

Injury History

Ankle soreness caused missed practice time in training camp. But the real trouble came in Week 9, when a torn hamstring forced a trip to season-ending IR. He underwent surgery on November 13.

Dak has now missed 5+ games in three of the past five seasons.

2025 Expectations

Supporting Cast

WR CeeDee Lamb returns for his sixth season. At 26, he’s squarely in his prime.

Dallas supplied a huge No. 2 WR upgrade with a May trade for George Pickens. The 6’3, 200-pounder supplies a downfield element with a career yards per catch of 16.3.

Game-to-game consistency has proven worrisome for the former Round 2 pick. But when engaged, he’s capable of forming one of the best WR duos league-wide.

The WR depth – Jalen Tolbert, Jonathan Mingo, KaVontae Turpin, and Jalen Brooks – doesn’t inspire confidence. There’s at least a capable pass-catching TE in place in Jake Ferguson, who enters a contract season. He tallied a 71-761-5 line in Dak’s healthy 2023 season.

Up front, Dallas lost long-time G Zach Martin to retirement. In response, the team invested a Round 1 pick in mauling G Tyler Booker. He projects as a useful, pro-ready player. We also expect LT Tyler Guyton to improve in Year 2.

Coaching & Offensive Scheme

The Cowboys moved on from HC Mike McCarthy, opting to fill the vacancy with former OC Brian Schottenheimer.

Familiarity with Prescott likely went into the decision. Schottenheimer joined Dallas’ staff in 2022.

He’ll call plays over new OC Klayton Adams, who coached OL in Arizona from 2023-2024.

You probably could have guessed his background based on some comments at his introductory press conference. Here was the response when asked about his message to the offense.

"The same thing that I want from every player on offense, and that is to create violence in the game," Adams said. "Be aggressive, run, hit, I think that every decision that we make schematically needs to lean that direction. So if there's a gray area, what is going to allow these guys to play more free and run and hit and be violent?"

It’s worth noting that Dallas ranked sixth in pass rate and ninth in situation-neutral pass rate last season. Perhaps they’re not quite as pass-happy in 2025, although the strength of this offense is clearly with Prescott and the receivers.