Isaiah Likely Fantasy Overview

2024 Summary

Production & Fantasy Finishes

Likely finished with 125.7 fantasy points (TE16) and 8.4 points per game (TE20) across 15 games.

He totaled 42 catches for 477 yards (23rd) on 58 targets (T-27th) while posting four top-10 fantasy finishes.

However, he also had seven weeks outside the top 24, reflecting his volatile weekly role.

Usage & Role

Likely operated in a high-impact, low-volume role with a 13.4% target share in games played.

He lined up 55.6% in the slot and just 32.1% in-line, highlighting his function more as a big slot/WR hybrid than a traditional TE.

He was rarely the first read (14% first-read rate according to Fantasy Points, 22nd among TEs), but was frequently used in space and after the catch.

Efficiency Metrics

Likely was among the most efficient TEs in the NFL:

• 1.55 yards per route (15th among TEs with 30+ Targets)
• 72.1 PFF receiving grade (13th)
• 6.3 yards after catch per reception (4th)
• +1.3 yards after catch over expectation (5th)
• 4.3-yard average separation (T-3rd among TEs)

He also ranked third in ESPN's receiver score, showcasing elite movement skills and open-field threat potential. His 8.9-yard average target depth (5th) reflected intermediate and deep usage, not just underneath routes.

Offensive Context

Baltimore’s run-heavy offense (47.5% pass rate, 25th in pace) limited raw target volume, but Likely benefited from mismatches created by Lamar Jackson and play-action spacing. The Ravens’ top-tier blocking unit gave Jackson time to extend plays, often allowing Likely to uncover late.

The Ravens used 12 personnel on 11.1% of snaps in 2024, ranking 27th in the NFL.

Having two capable TEs combined with the lack of 12 personnel led to one of the TEs being off the field in key situations.

Injury History

Likely missed one game in 2024 due to a hamstring injury.

He has only missed one other game in his NFL career back in 2022 due to an ankle injury.

Likely has stayed relatively healthy throughout his career and has little injury concern.

2025 Expectations

Projected Role & Competition

Likely will again serve as Baltimore’s No. 2 TE behind Mark Andrews, but he's carved out a reliable complementary role.

Going back to 2023, Likely has averaged 2.4 receptions on 3.4 targets for 26.4 receiving yards and 0.3 TDs per game in the 36 games with Andrews in the lineup. This amounted to 6.5 PPR points per game.

In 10 games without Andrews, that jumped to 3.3 receptions on 5.0 targets for 48.7 receiving yards, 0.7 TDs, and 12.4 PPR points per game.

If Andrews misses time, Likely becomes an instant TE1 option.

Supporting Cast

Likely benefits from playing with MVP-caliber QB Lamar Jackson. Jackson had a career year despite a declining pass rate from the offense. As long as there is a healthy Jackson under center, the offense should thrive.

RB Derrick Henry made a significant impact in his first year with the Ravens while Justice Hill handled some receiving work.

While target competition is limited, the team’s low pass volume caps Likely’s target ceiling compared to TEs in pass-heavy environments.

The OL remains intact, returning starting OTs Ronnie Stanley and Roger Rosengarten as well as the interior OL Tyler Linderbaum, Andrew Vorhees, and Daniel Faalele.

Coaching & Offensive Scheme

Leaning more into the run led to a slower pace of play for OC Todd Monken’s offense in 2024. Baltimore finished 25th with 62.1 plays per game, down from 63.3 plays per game in 2023.

The pass rate also declined with the addition of Henry, going from 49.7% in 2023 to 47.5% in 2024.

Their neutral pass rate declined from 53.7% in 2023 to 52.6% in 2024.