Jordan Love Fantasy Overview

2024 Summary

Production & Fantasy Finishes

Love finished QB18 in total fantasy points (283.8) and QB23 in points per game (18.9) over 15 starts.

He threw for 3,389 yards (19th), 25 TDs (11th), and 11 INTs (T-12th) while adding 83 rushing yards and 1 TD on the ground.

He had six QB1 fantasy finishes, but also three games outside QB2 range, reflecting some volatility.

Usage & Role

Love saw a notable shift in usage throughout the season.

From Weeks 1-7, he averaged 35.8 attempts and 270.2 passing yards per game. From Weeks 9-18, he averaged 26.5 attempts and 221.6 yards per game

Overall, his dropbacks per game fell from 37.2 in 2023 to 30.4 in 2024, as Green Bay leaned more run-heavy (-4.5% Pass Rate Over Expected in 2024 vs. +1.9% in 2023).

The addition of Josh Jacobs and a groin injury in Week 8 likely led to the lighter pass volume.

Efficiency Metrics

Despite the volume dip, Love’s efficiency improved:

• 76.0 PFF passing grade (13th among QBs with 300 dropbacks)
• 75.2% adjusted completion rate (20th)
• 9.2-yard average target depth (5th)
• 16.5% deep throw rate (1st)
• 3.9% Big-Time Throw Rate (18th)
• 3.0% Turnover-Worthy Play Rate (19th)

His points per dropback (0.51) held steady from 2023, showing he remained productive even on fewer opportunities.

Offensive Context

Green Bay ran a conservative offense in 2024, ranking 25th in pass rate.

The run game took center stage, especially down the stretch (44.7% neutral pass rate from Weeks 9-18), limiting Love’s volume but improving his decision-making.

Love’s receivers had an 8.3% drop rate, among the highest in the NFL.

The offensive line held up well in protection (7th in ESPN pass-blocking success rate), giving Love time to attack deep.

Historical Production & Trends

Love has now posted back-to-back seasons with 25+ passing TDs and solid deep-ball production.

His decision-making and accuracy improved in the second half of 2024 (PFF grade jumped from 65.5 to 80.2), pointing to growth in processing and comfort in the system.

Injury History

Love sprained his MCL in the Packers’ opening game in Brazil, costing him the next two weeks.

He played through a groin injury in Week 8 that limited him in practice for the weeks after the injury.

Love played 15 games and avoided major injuries. He’s shown durability in his first two years as a starter, entering 2025 healthy.

2025 Expectations

Projected Role & Competition

Love will return as the locked-in starter for Green Bay. The question will be how much the Packers open up the passing game.

Malik Willis and Sean Clifford return to backup Love, but they are not a threat to challenge his starting position.

Supporting Cast

Green Bay’s supporting cast is young and deep.

They selected WR Matthew Golden in the first round, and he offers a deep threat that could develop into a true top WR for the team.

Jayden Reed returns as the main slot WR. He flashed in 2024 but lacked the consistency to be ranked as a top NFL WR.

Romeo Doubs and Dontayvion Wicks return after down years, while Christian Watson will be recovering from an ACL tear he sustained in January.

TE Tucker Kraft emerged as a reliable target for Love as well with the highest yards after catch per reception among TEs with 30+ targets.

Luke Musgrave also could get more looks this season as the team’s second TE.

RB Josh Jacobs will be the lead runner again, and he was extremely effective both as a runner and receiver, top five in both PFF rushing and receiving grade among RBs last season.

With numerous young pieces, the balance between the run and the pass will be key in determining which emerge as fantasy performers.

The Packers return four of their five starting OL in OTs Rasheed Walker and Zach Tom as well as interior OL Elgton Jenkins and Sean Rhyan. They also added Aaron Banks from the 49ers.

Last season, the OL ranked seventh in ESPN pass blocking success rate (67%) and 23rd in run blocking success rate (71%).

Coaching & Offensive Scheme

Matt LaFleur’s offense shifted from pass-leaning in 2023 to run-heavy in 2024.

In 2023, the Packers averaged 61.9 plays per game with a 58.1% pass rate, 56.2% neutral pass rate, and 1.9% pass rate over expectation.

In 2024, those numbers dropped to 60.4 plays per game, 48.8% pass rate, 47.8% neutral pass rate, and a -4.5% pass rate over expectation.

After Love’s groin injury, these numbers were even lower: a 48.1% pass rate, 44.7% neutral pass rate, and -5.5% pass rate over expectation from Weeks 9-18.

LaFleur’s fluid offense allows the Packers to lean on what they do best. This season likely sees a rise in pass rate with a healthy Love, but it is doubtful they go back to 2023’s high pass rate.