Rashee Rice Fantasy Overview

2025 Role & Results

Production & Fantasy Finishes

Rashee Rice caught 53 of 78 targets for 571 yards and 5 TDs. He also ran the ball five times for 20 yards and a TD.

Rice's 2025 season lasted just eight games due to a six-game suspension and missing the final three games with a concussion. He still ranked fifth among WRs in PPR points per game with top-12 finishes in five of those eight contests, delivering his best per-game production to date:

Usage & Role

Rice thrived on a strong target share and elite after-catch production. Over eight games, Rice commanded 26.5% of targets, 12th among 104 WRs with 50+ targets. He also ranked third in targets per route run at 0.291. He led the entire league in yards after catch per reception at 7.98.

Rice doesn't need a deep target profile to produce. His 4.9-yard average depth of target ranked 75th because Kansas City used him almost entirely underneath, essentially treating those catches like an extension of the run game.

His 2.15 yards per route ranked 15th among all wide receivers. And strong target shares have arrived consistently when Rice has been on the field:

Rice has become the lead pass catcher through his first three seasons.

Injury History & Durability

The off-field issues still belong in the conversation. Rice was arrested after leaving a high-speed crash in Dallas in 2024, which led to his six-game suspension in 2025, and he served 30 days in jail this May after violating probation with a positive marijuana test. Nothing currently suggests it will affect his 2026 availability, but the character risk hasn't disappeared.

Injuries factor in as well. Rice missed the final two games last season with a concussion after an LCL tear cost him the final 13 games of 2024.

He also had knee surgery in May to clean up some debris in his knee. It isn’t expected to limit his availability, but worth noting after Rice’s recent injury issues.

2026 Opportunity & Projection

Projected Role & Competition

The target competition in Kansas City remains largely unchanged for Rice.

TE Travis Kelce heads into his age-37 season and risks a continued trend downward. His 1.47 yards per route run was a career low, and his target share dropped from 22.8% in 2024 to 18.5% last year with work shifting back to the WRs. He still finished as TE9 in PPR PPG.

Worthy managed just a 16.1% target share and finished WR60 in points per game. His 12.8 aDOT makes him more of a deep threat than a real challenger to Rice's underneath role. Worthy had a 15.0% target share last season in games where Rashee Rice played. That was well behind Rice’s 26.5%. It is also in line with the 16.0% target share for Worthy in his rookie season. He doesn’t represent much threat to Rice’s workload.

Supporting Cast

The one potential impact to Rice is new RB Kenneth Walker. Walker showcased receiving ability (1.44 YPRR, 12th among RBs) establishing him as a better receiving back than the Chiefs have had since Rice arrived in 2023. Walker also ranked 18th in targets per route run (0.22) last season including the playoffs, showing some trust in him as a receiver. Walker’s -1.4 aDOT last year in Seattle shows that he operated on dump-offs behind the line.

RB targets were closely tied to Rice’s availability last season. RBs had an 18% target share in games with Rice. That increase to 27.0% in games with Mahomes had QB during Rice’s suspension.

Walker’s presence could also cut into Rice’s targets. Short passes to Rice replaced rushing attempts or short RB targets at times last season. Those could go down if Walker shows efficiency rushing the ball.

Paths To Ceiling

We already know Rice can deliver top-12 numbers. We’ve seen that over the past two years, albeit in limited samples.

If he plays a full season with a competent Mahomes, the ceiling reaches into the position’s top 6 in PPR scoring.

Risk Factors

The biggest risk is Kansas City shifting some of its short game back to the run now that Walker is in town. That would threaten Rice's target volume. The injury plus off-field concerns are still part of the package. His repaired knee in 2024 and clean-up surgery this past May presents that injury risk, though he is expected to be ready for the preseason.