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Adonai Mitchell - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsAdonai Mitchell's Basic Stats

Adonai Mitchell
ADP: N/A
Bye: 14
Experience: 0
Age: 22.1
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 205
40 Time: 4.34

Burst Score (Rank): 135.20 (96%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.29 (92%)

Adonai Mitchell's Weekly Outlook

Week 10 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
2.4 37.3 0.21 4.9
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
2.9 43.8 0.2 5.9

Adonai Mitchell's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#81 Wide Receiver

107.9 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 35.8 536.2 3.07 1 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsAdonai Mitchell's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Viewed as a potential first-round pick, Mitchell surprisingly fell to the mid-second round as the 11th WR off the board.

He has the potential to replace Alec Pierce (who was on the field for 95% of snaps last year) and at least be on the field enough to have a few big plays.

His upside as a 99th-percentile athlete is intriguing as an end-of-roster dart throw.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Mitchell was selected by the Colts with the 52nd overall pick of the 2024 NFL Draft.
  • He played two years at Georgia and his final year at Texas.
  • Mitchell posted career-best numbers at Texas:
    • 86 targets
    • 55 catches
    • 845 receiving yards
    • 11 receiving TDs
  • Mitchell’s breakout age at 20.9 is 38th percentile among drafted WRs.
  • He was near the top of the leaderboards in the Big 12:
    • 12th in yards per game (60.4)
    • 15th in receptions per game (3.9)
    • 16th in yards per catch (15.36)
  • Mitchell was named Big 12 Offensive Newcomer of the Year and second-team All-Big 12.
  • He measured in at 6'1, 205 pounds at the NFL Combine and registered an outstanding 4.34 40-yard time.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Mitchell enters his first season with the Colts under HC and play-caller Shane Steichen and OC Jim Bob Cooter.
  • The Colts are expected to perform similarly to last season. They are tied for the second-highest win total in the AFC South at 8.5 wins on most sportsbooks.
  • They sit 20th in terms of highest Super Bowl odds at +6000 on most sportsbooks, third highest in the division.
  • Mitchell enters his first season at 21 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average WR with Mitchell’s profile will produce at 80% of his peak value at age-21.
  • No. 1 WR Michael Pittman and slot receiver Josh Downs are likely locked into their roles. That leaves Mitchell to battle with Alec Pierce for the other outside WR spot.
    • Among 80 WRs with 50+ targets last year, Pierce ranked 76th in both yards per route run and Pro Football Focus receiving grade.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Josh Downs, WR IND

4:19pm EDT 10/10/24

Josh Downs Still Out Thursday

Colts WR Josh Downs (toe) remained sidelined for Thursday's practice. He's seemingly in legitimate danger of missing this weekend's game vs. the Titans. That'd leave Indianapolis without its top two WRs in Downs and Michael Pittman. Alec Pierce, Adonai Mitchell, and Ashton Dulin would be left as the team's top three WRs. We'll update Downs' status again tomorrow.

View all Josh Downs Shark Bites »

Colts WR Michael Pittman is expected to miss "multiple weeks" with a back injury, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. Pittman didn't practice on Wednesday, so this injury presumably occurred in the Week 5 loss to the Jaguars. We'll look for more details on the injury and Pittman's timetable for return, but Schefter adds that, "injured reserve is an option."

View Full Story »

Colts WR Alec Pierce racked up 134 yards and a TD on just 3 receptions in Sunday's loss to the Jaguars. He crew just 3 targets, tying for sixth on the team, but continued to run the second-most pass routes. Pierce trailed only WR Michael Pittman Jr. in that category.

View Full Story »

Colts QB Anthony Richardson (oblique) is inactive for today’s game vs. the Jaguars. QB Joe Flacco starts in his place. The 39-year-old threw for 168 yards with two TDs and 0 INTs in relief of Richardson last week. And he averaged 323 yards and 2.6 TDs per game across five starts for the Browns last year. Flacco sits well into QB2 range in the Week 5 Rankings, but he’s a significant upgrade for Colts pass catchers.

View all Anthony Richardson Shark Bites »

Colts WR Josh Downs expects to make his 2024 debut vs. the Bears this weekend, he said on Wednesday. Downs suffered his high-ankle sprain exactly six weeks ago, so he should be getting close to 100%. He practiced all last week, including a full workout on Friday.

View Full Story »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Adonai Mitchell, WR IND
Dynasty MVP 0.0
Position Rank #60 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
281
476
945
Dynasty Write-up
Credit Mitchell for tallying 29-426-4 as a true freshman at Georgia (2021). After a quiet 2022, Mitchell transferred to Texas in 2023 to live close to family. What followed: A strong 55-845-11 line amid a loaded WR corps. Mitchell brings plus size and advanced route-running – ingredients for red-zone success with the Colts. Still, his overall profile screams boom/bust.
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