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Week 11 Fantasy Football Wide Receiver Preview

By Shane Hallam | Updated on Fri, 15 Nov 2024 . 12:30 PM EST
George Pickens leads our Week 11 WR Sits and Starts

Top Fantasy WRs for Week 11

Let's dig into the reasons you should -- or shouldn't -- play these guys ...

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Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears

Jayden Reed, Packers

Reed snapped a mini-slump prior to a Week 10 bye (5-113 on 6 targets). Still, he’s best off as a WR3 against a Bears defense that’s tougher vs. the pass than vs. the run.

Romeo Doubs, Packers

Doubs saw just a 14% target share in his last outing. With Green Bay coming off a bye, he should benefit from a healthier Jordan Love. The issue is a Bears pass D that’s allowed only five WR scores all season. 

DJ Moore, Bears

Since Week 6, Moore's yardage totals have gone 20, 27, 33, and 34. The OC change to Thomas Brown might supply a short-term boost, but it’s hard to expect a major turnaround against Green Bay.

Keenan Allen, Bears

Allen hasn’t topped 50 yards in a game all season. Next up is a solid Green Bay secondary that’s eighth in PFF’s coverage grades.

Rome Odunze, Bears

Odunze's tallied 10, 40, 40, 41, 104, and 23 yards dating back to Week 4. Caleb Williams' struggles will continue supplying the WR with a scary-low floor. The Bears are implied for only 17.25 points in this one. 

Jacksonville Jaguars at Detroit Lions

Amon-Ra St. Brown, Lions

St. Brown has seven straight games with a TD catch, but he hasn’t been the high scoring WR many expected. He has only gone over 100 yards twice this season. The Jaguars could be a spot where St. Brown gets right though as long as the Lions don’t get up too much too early. Must start.

Jameson Williams, Lions

Williams fit right back into his role coming back from suspension though he only caught three passes on five targets for 53 yards. As he gets back up to speed, those deep shots will come. The Jaguars are the worst deep coverage team in the league, so this could be the week for a big Williams TD. But the risk of another low output leaves him as a low-end WR3.

Brian Thomas Jr., Jaguars

Thomas has had a rough stretch, catching three or fewer passes in four of his last five games. With Mac Jones at the helm, things could get even worse. Thomas only caught two passes last week for 12 yards. But, if the Jaguars get down early, there could be some garbage time volume as a hail mary hope. He has fallen to WR4 territory now.

Gabriel Davis, Jaguars

Davis has been banged up and hit or miss while he was in the lineup. With Mac Jones at QB, it is unlikely we see a Davis multi-TD game like in Week 6. He isn’t a great bet to produce this week outside of garbage time volume.

Las Vegas Raiders at Miami Dolphins

Tyreek Hill, Dolphins

Hill will continue playing through a torn wrist ligament. In Tua Tagovailoa's three games back, Hill's tallied lines of 6-72, 4-80, and 3-16-1. The Raiders supply an excellent matchup, so keep him active as a WR1.

Jaylen Waddle, Dolphins

Waddle's target shares have gone 17%, 7%, and 22% in Tua Tagovailoa's three games back from injury. The floor remains low here, but it’s hard to ignore the ceiling against Vegas. The Raiders have allowed an average target separation of 4 yards -- tied for most in the league -- per Next Gen Stats.

Jakobi Meyers, Raiders

The Raiders are sticking with Gardner Minshew at QB. Meyers has hit 5+ catches in five straight, a stretch that includes 9.2 targets per game. Coming off a bye, Meyers remains a solid volume bet.

Los Angeles Rams at New England Patriots

Puka Nacua, Rams

It's a small sample ... but in their two full games together, Nacua has out-targeted Cooper Kupp 23 to 15. Nacua has drawn 42% of the Rams' first-read targets in those two games vs. Kupp's 26%. We're projecting Nacua as the 1A in this passing game until further notice. He gets a plus Week 11 matchup against a Patriots team sitting 30th in pass defense DVOA.

Cooper Kupp, Rams

Kupp has been out-targeted 23 to 15 by Cooper Kupp in their two full games together. That could flip going forward -- and can certainly change in any given game. Even if it doesn't, though, 7.5 targets per game ain't bad! Kupp gets a plus Week 11 matchup against a Patriots team sitting 30th in pass defense DVOA.

Demario Douglas, Patriots

Douglas is coming off a 4-50-0 receiving line last week in a low-volume passing day from New England against a strong Bears pass defense. Douglas is now averaging 6.5 targets on a 19% share in QB Drake Maye's four full games. The Rams rank 20th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to WRs but have actually been the third toughest matchup for slot receivers. Douglas has run 80% of his routes from the slot this season.

Kayshon Boutte, Patriots

Boutte has led the Patriots in routes in four straight games and tallied exactly six targets in three straight. He's being used primarily as a deep threat, with a 15.9-yard average target depth. That makes him a volatile fantasy play best reserved as a cheap flier in DFS tournaments. But there’s upside here against a Rams defense that ranks 20th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to WRs and 19th in completion rate over expected allowed on deep passes.

Demarcus Robinson, Rams

After back-to-back 2-TD games in Weeks 8 and 9, Robinson crashed with a one-catch, 23-yard outing in Week 10. Such is life as the Rams' clear No. 3 WR. If you're desperate, though, Robinson has TD upside in Sunday's plus matchup against the Patriots, who rank 30th in pass defense DVOA.

Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints

Cedric Tillman, Browns

Tillman’s two games with Jameis Winston have him tied for the 12th-most PPR points among all WRs over the past three weeks. This week brings a Saints D that has allowed the ninth-most PPR points per game to WRs. And most of that came before they lost CB Paulson Adebo to injury and traded CB Marshon Lattimore to Washington.

Jerry Jeudy, Browns

Jeudy’s production with Jameis Winston hasn’t been as loud as Cedric Tillman’s. But he does have 12 receptions on 19 targets over those two contests. Winston has also helped double Jeudy’s total of 70+ yard games (from two to four). This week’s Saints are down both outside CBs vs. their season-opening defensive lineup.

Elijah Moore, Browns

Moore actually leads the Browns in targets over the past two games. He has remained behind Jerry Jeudy and Cedric Tillman in routes, which is one reason he ranks an easy third among Cleveland WRs. Another is Moore’s history of disappointing fantasy managers. He and Winston also combined for just a 3-28 receiving line on last week’s 9 targets. There’s upside to Moore from WR4 range, however.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Saints

If you’re ready to trust MVS in your lineup off his 3-109-2 banger of a receiving line last week, then you haven’t sampled the displeasure of rostering him previously. This guy has consistently failed to deliver, despite playing with Aaron Rodgers, Patrick Mahomes, and Josh Allen. There’s target opportunity thanks to New Orleans’ decimated WR corps. But last week also found MVS just 1 target ahead of luminaries such as Foster Moreau, Kevin Austin, and Jordan Mims. There’s plenty of risk as well.

Indianapolis Colts at New York Jets

Garrett Wilson, Jets

Wilson has been out-targeted by Davante Adams since Adams joined the team, but he is generally producing. Last weeks five catch, 41 yard dud was a factor of the entire offense not working. Against a bottom-half defense against WRs, Wilson checks in as a WR1 once again.

Davante Adams, Jets

Adams had 13 targets this past week but still only caught six for 31 yards. The targets are there, but Adams has only had one game as a WR2 or better with the Jets. The Colts bottom-half defense against WRs with his target volume does make Adams a high-end WR2 with upside.

Josh Downs, Colts

Anthony Richardson coming back at QB hurts Downs significantly. Downs had 10 targets with Joe Flacco last week and dropped a TD. He certainly has the snap count and was highly targeted by Flacco. But Richardson’s likely lack of passing pushs Downs into WR4 territory this week.  

Michael Pittman Jr., Colts

Anthony Richardson coming back at QB hurts Pittman significantly. He looks good to go after his back and finger injury. He hasn’t even had a WR3 performance with Richardson at QB, so Pittman is more of a low end WR4 this week.

Alec Pierce, Colts

Pierce’s big play ability still gives him some value despite Anthony Richardson being back at QB. He is always out there running routes, and has two long TD passes from Richardson. In a tough match-up though, you can’t rely on that big play. WR5 this week.

Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers

George Pickens, Steelers

Pickens’ per-game numbers over six weeks with Justin Fields:

  • 7.3 targets
  • 4.3 catches
  • 60.5 yards
  • 10.1 PPR points

Now the three games with Russell Wilson:

  • 7.0 targets
  • 4.7 catches
  • 92.0 yards
  • 18.0 PPR points

Now comes a pass-funneling matchup with the Ravens, who have been the league’s friendliest defense to WR scoring.

Zay Flowers, Ravens

Flowers gave us his second dud among four games last week. But those are surrounded by four games of 111+ yards. Pittsburgh arrives as a tough D but rates nearly average in pass DVOA (-1.1%). The Steelers also rate tougher against the run (-17.2%). Baltimore continues to lean run but has shown plenty of willingness to pass when it makes sense. That included rating seventh in the league in pass rate over expected for last week’s games. If the run game struggles this week, Flowers could find a volume boost. 

Rashod Bateman, Ravens

Bateman’s role hasn’t changed since WR Diontae Johnson arrived. He matched his season high with 8 targets last Thursday against the Bengals and tallied a season-high 6 receptions. Cincinnati’s the only opponent, though, that has seen Baltimore target Bateman more than five times in a game (twice). That overall volume limits Bateman’s floor and his ceiling potential.

Minnesota Vikings at Tennessee Titans

Justin Jefferson, Vikings

There's no explaining Jefferson's Week 10 dud against the Jaguars' league-worst WR defense. It was his first week outside the top-22 PPR WRs all season. We'll bet on Jefferson bouncing back on Sunday against a Titans defense that ranks third in adjusted fantasy points allowed to WRs but will likely be without top CB L'Jarius Sneed.

Calvin Ridley, Titans

Over the last three weeks, Ridley ranks fourth among WRs in targets, fifth in expected PPR points per game, and fourth in actual PPR points per game. The floor still feels low with QB Will Levis -- but it's tough for Ridley to fail on this type of usage. The Vikings rank 26th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to WRs.

Jordan Addison, Vikings

Addison is averaging just 4.7 targets and 3.0 catches per game this season -- and is now contending with an ascending TE T.J. Hockenson. It leaves Addison as just a volatile WR4. He gets a tough Week 11 matchup against the Titans' third-ranked WR defense.

Atlanta Falcons at Denver Broncos

Drake London, Falcons

London overcame a hip pointer to post 8-97 last week against New Orleans. The matchup looks much tougher this week at Denver, though. London is likely to draw elite CB Patrick Surtain for most of the game.

Darnell Mooney, Falcons

Mooney draws a Broncos secondary that’s allowed only six WR TDs all season. However, Mooney should benefit from most of his snaps coming away from top CB Patrick Surtain. The veteran WR has also remained hot with exactly 5 catches in four straight. We’ll just have to keep an eye on his health, as he was added to the injury report on Thursday.

Courtland Sutton, Broncos

Bo Nix has taken strides as a passer, and that’s certainly boosted Sutton’s production. Over the past five weeks, the veteran slots sixth among WRs in PPR points per game. The Falcons sit eighth-worst in fantasy production allowed to WRs over that stretch.

Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers

Deebo Samuel, 49ers

Samuel had 75 total yards last week, but he was third on the team in targets. Jauan Jennings got more work, but that is unlikely to stick week to week. Samuel has historically succeeded against the Seahawks, and his rushing gives him plenty of WR1 upside.

 

D.K. Metcalf, Seahawks

Metcalf missed two games with a knee injury but should be back. He had three WR1 weeks this year. The last game against the 49ers could have been huge but Metcalf had a TD called back and another missed by a few inches. He has the talent to blow up, but the 49ers are stout against outside WRs. He is a high-end WR2 with upside (and downside).

Jauan Jennings, 49ers

Jennings had a big game returning from injury, catching seven of 11 targets for 93 yards last week. He led the team in targets and filled the Brandon Aiyuk role well. Though the targets likely will fall back, he is a rock solid WR3 starter with WR1 upside due to his role. 

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Seahawks

Smith-Njigba is coming off the best game of his career before the bye catching seven passes for 180 yards and two TDs. Of course, DK Metcalf is back. But, the 49ers are weak against slot WRs, giving up the most yards per target to them. JSN is a WR3 with upside.

Ricky Pearsall, 49ers

Pearsall caught his first career TD last week and caught four of six targets for 73 yards. He won’t be highly targeted week-to-week, but Pearsall’s athleticism gives him big play upside. He is a swing for the fences WR4 this week.

Tyler Lockett, Seahawks

Lockett is a TD dependent play who just isn’t being targeted in this offense. With Metcalf back, he becomes an afterthought WR5.

Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills

Khalil Shakir, Bills

Shakir’s poised for strong volume against the Chiefs. Keon Coleman will miss Sunday’s game, while Dalton Kincaid looks highly questionable. Shakir has already notched 6+ catches in four straight.

Amari Cooper, Bills

Cooper is expected to play Week 11 with a cast. This follows two straight games on Buffalo’s inactive list. Given the elevated risk, Cooper should be viewed as a deep league FLEX, despite injuries to Keon Coleman and Dalton Kincaid.

DeAndre Hopkins, Chiefs

Hopkins has tallied lines of 8-86-2 and 4-56 over his past two. The Bills represent a difficult matchup, sitting bottom-10 in fantasy points allowed to WRs. The veteran sticks in WR3 range given his solid target projection of nearly 7.

Xavier Worthy, Chiefs

Worthy faces a Bills pass D that’s done well to limit big plays. The rookie enters Sunday with fewer than 40 yards (and only 1 TD) over his past five contests.

Cincinnati Bengals at Los Angeles Chargers

Ja’Marr Chase, Bengals

Bold prediction: Chase scores fewer fantasy points than he did last week. Beware of a much tougher matchup and Chase’s occasionally short average target depths if you’re building DFS lineups. But it’s also not yet clear whether the Chargers will have CBs Kristian Fulton (hamstring) and/or Asante Samuel Jr. (shoulder) for the game. Chase has scored in six of his past eight games, including four of the five he has shared with Tee Higgins this year.

Tee Higgins, Bengals

Higgins has remained limited in practice this week but seems to be trending toward a return from his three-game quad injury. He had tallied 60+ yards in four straight games before the latest injury and has averaged a career-high 5.8 receptions this season. If he’s ready to play, he’ll face a Chargers D that might be down its top two outside CBs.

Ladd McConkey, Chargers

McConkey’s 2-target, 2-catch Week 10 marked season lows in both categories. But he trailed Quentin Johnston by just one for the team lead in routes and watched Justin Herbert spread just 18 passing attempts among eight players. Expect a rebound this week in a potential shootout vs. a weak Cincinnati defense.

Quentin Johnston, Chargers

Johnston’s TD last week looks especially fluky among just 2 targets. But the Chargers attempted only 18 passes for the game, spreading those among eight players. QJ led the team in routes after running behind Ladd McConkey in that category the week before. Even with last week’s low volume, L.A. sports the league’s eighth-highest pass rate over expected over the past four weeks. Facing Cincinnati’s tough offense and weak defense could motivate more volume this week.

Joshua Palmer, Chargers

Last week marked a third straight game with 2 catches or fewer for Palmer. He has exceeded that number just twice all season. The Cincinnati matchup at least sits tied for Vegas’ third-largest game total and could motivate more passing volume, at least.

Houston Texans at Dallas Cowboys

Nico Collins, Texans

Collins should be back and assume the top WR spot for the Texans again. He was leading fantasy WRs in points before his injury. The Cowboys are bottom half of the league to outside WRs, so it is a perfect smash top five opportunity for Collins.

CeeDee Lamb, Cowboys

Losing Dak Prescott is killer for Lamb. He had 10 targets still, but only caught six for 21 yards. The targets are there, but the shallow depth of those targets are worrisome with Cooper Rush. Lamb settles as more of a WR2 in PPR this week as slot WRs have had some success against the Texans.

Nathaniel Dell, Texans

Dell had nine targets against the Lions last week, but only caught five for 39 yards. He got volume with Nico Collins and Stefon Diggs gone. With Collins back, Dell should see more single coverage, but the volume may be down. He is a WR2 this week.

Shane Hallam Author Image
Shane Hallam, Writer
Shane has over 20 years of experience creating content and playing every fantasy football format including redraft, dynasty, devy, IDP, and more. He is a multi-year winner of $500 dynasty leagues on the FFPC and utilizes deep film and scheme study to enhance his fantasy performance.
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