Fantasy Football Trade Targets Week 10: 3 to Buy, 3 to Sell Before It’s Too Late
Buy Playoff Boosters; Sell Fantasy Landmines
It’s getting close to fantasy playoff time. Every move has to be focused on getting your team into the postseason and then winning that league title.
That means not only trying to sell high and buy low, which we always like to do. It means zeroing in on moves that can actually help your team.
That might mean uncomfortably selling a guy who has delivered big recent scores. It might mean targeting a player who has disappointed overall so far.
We’ve got both types mixed in among this week’s trade targets.
Week 10 Buys
Week 10 Sells
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Buy These Fantasy Trade Targets
Let’s start with a stud WR and then hit a couple of disappointing RBs with reasons for hope.
Nico Collins, WR, Houston Texans
Despite tallying his second-most receptions in a game this season last Sunday, Collins sits just 28th among WRs in PPR points per game for the season.
It’s not for lack of recent opportunity, though. Collins tallied 21 targets over just the past two games, and he left one of those early with a concussion.
Collins ranks 16th in expected PPR points per game over the three weeks since Houston’s bye but just 39th in actual points per game, thanks to no TDs and just 11 catches among those 21 targets.
Better Matchups Offer Boost Potential
Collins’ two games since the bye have come against tough defenses. First came Seattle in Week 7, the league’s No. 4 defense in pass DVOA to this point. This past Sunday found Denver, No. 6 in that category.
The Broncos missed lead CB Pat Surtain II for that one. But Collins also lost QB C.J. Stroud and still supplied a solid 7-75 receiving line on 11 targets (matching a season high).
Now Collins gets Jacksonville, which allowed him a season-best 8-104-1 back in Week 3. He’ll do so without Stroud -- thanks to last week’s concussion -- but that could further help Collins’ perceived value on the buyer’s market without actually hurting him much for Week 10.
That Jaguars matchup leads the 10th-best WR strength of schedule over the next four weeks, by our numbers.
If Collins spends that stretch scoring like the first-round WR he was at draft time -- and he’s already tied for WR14 in usage on the year -- your squad will be in good shape for the fantasy football playoffs.
TreVeyon Henderson, RB, New England Patriots
Imagine you’re the one who’s been rostering this rookie through eight, torturous weeks. Then Week 9 arrives, and Rhamondre Stevenson’s finally out of the way (toe injury). And the Patriots’ lone rushing TD goes to Terrell Jennings.
So you might look at the season-high workload and think it’s too late to try buying Henderson. But his manager might be sitting there thinking, “What am I even waiting for with this guy?”
Let’s see if we can end that league mate’s misery … at a reasonable price.
Here’s What to Like About Henderson
The rookie did get a season-high workload in Week 9. Sure, we’d love to see Henderson beat Jennings -- an undrafted second-year player from Florida A&M with (now) 31 career NFL carries -- by more than three rushing attempts. But he dominated playing time, at least.
Henderson nearly tripled Jennings’ snap count (51-17) and ran nearly all of the position’s pass routes (28 of 32). Only Stefon Diggs and Hunter Henry ran more routes (by one).
Henderson’s six targets matched a season high (from Week 1), and he set personal bests in receiving yards and total yards.
The second-round pick ranked 14th among RBs in expected PPR points for the week and 15th in actual points, even without a TD.
The Receiving Production Matters
Stevenson has siphoned pass snaps from Henderson with his reliability, leading the rookie by 72 snaps and 30 routes for the year despite playing one fewer game. But Stevenson has garnered just 19 targets (and 16 catches) through eight appearances.
New England clearly isn’t leveraging the veteran for his receiving upside. Henderson still needs to improve as both a receiver and a pass blocker, but he at least has the capacity to deliver splash plays in that area.
That aspect could prove important this week against the Bucs, who rank 29th in RB rushing yards allowed so far but sixth in RB receptions and first in RB receiving yards (despite already having their bye).
Stevenson remained out of practice Wednesday. If he misses another contest and Henderson provides an impact receiving performance, he’ll stand a better chance of retaining more work going forward.
We also don’t know yet how soon Stevenson will return.
Upcoming Schedule Elevates Entire Backfield
Whoever takes the field at RB for New England in the upcoming weeks will benefit from the league’s best strength of schedule the rest of the way.
After this week’s more challenging rushing spot vs. Tampa come dates with the Jets (now missing DT Quinnen Williams, their best run defender), the Bengals, and the Giants.
If Henderson earns more work and/or Stevenson remains out into that stretch of games, the rookie could really return some helpful fantasy production.
Just Don’t Overpay
Let’s circle back to the downside here to make sure we don’t get carried away.
It’s still possible that Stevenson comes back soon and reclaims control of the backfield, marginalizing Henderson. The rookie has fared terribly in pass protection for a team with a sack problem and was losing pass snaps before Stevenson went down.
So we’re taking a shot on the young Patriot this week. But if the price goes higher than what makes sense for your situation, don’t chase.
TIP
Our film guru, Shane, has even stronger feelings about Henderson’s upside. He says the breakout is coming.
Kenneth Walker III, RB, Seattle Seahawks
I know what you’re saying. Let it go, guys.
I have to admit, I wasn’t on board with this one when it came up. But let’s start by resetting our expectations and then look at the sneaky changes for Walker coming out of the Week 8 bye.
We Don’t Need Him to Be as Much as Before
Back at draft time, Walker was a RB2 we hoped could provide RB1 upside.
Now? He’s floating in RB3-4 territory on the bench, in most cases, for fantasy managers who have long since quit counting on starter-level production.
That type of asset’s a lot easier to buy, and it should cost a lot less. But Walker still needs to present upside to be worth our time.
Week 9 Improvement Hid Behind Weak Numbers
If you were hoping to see Walker (or Zach Charbonnet) emerge coming out of the bye, then Sunday night’s results disappointed you. Walker rushed just 11 times for 42 yards despite a lopsided win over Washington. He added 19 yards on 2 catches.
But as Jared pointed out at the top of this week’s Usage Takeaways, Walker actually worked meaningfully ahead of Charbonnet at Washington.
| Ken walker | zach charbonnet | |
| Snap Rate | 54% | 38% |
| Route Rate | 50% | 38% |
| Carry Share | 46% | 33% |
| Target Share | 8% | 4% |
Walker set season highs in snap share and route rate. Charbs posted season lows in each category. And Walker beat Charbonnet 4-1 on snaps inside the 5-yard line. That’s an area in which we’ve seen Walker leave the field in favor of Charbs multiple times this season.
Snaps inside the 5-yard line ...
— Jared Smola (@SmolaDS) November 5, 2025
First 6 games together
Zach Charbonnet: 14
Ken Walker: 1
Week 9
Walker: 4
Charbonnet: 1
It’s one game. But it also followed the bye week (i.e. extra planning time).
If Walker can even settle into regular RB2-level fantasy production, that would mark improvement over what we’ve gotten to date -- and potentially help our fantasy lineups.
Schedule Not as Bad as It Looks
We commonly use a player’s remaining schedule as reason to like or dislike him going forward. So I need to point out here that Seattle’s RB strength of schedule looks like a big strike against buying him. But it also merits further breakdown.
The Seahawks get the second-worst remaining schedule by our adjusted fantasy points allowed. But take a closer look …

Almost all of the downside lies in the two remaining matchups with the Rams: in Week 11 and Week 16. Even if we just plan to sit Walker for those two games, that would leave six other neutral-to-positive matchups.
This week’s clash with Arizona already produced a 19-81 rushing line and 110 total yards for Walker back in Week 4. And after that first Rams meeting come the Titans, the best remaining RB matchup.
Grabbing Walker now could offer a sneaky-good boost, especially in an offense that ranks fifth in scoring, ninth in total yards and eighth in rushing attempts.
Recent Buys
Let’s look back at our Trade Target recommendations from the past two weeks and how we’d treat those players now …
| Player | Week Listed | Buy-Sell-Hold? |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | 9 | Modified |
| Ricky Pearsall | 9 | (Awkward) |
| A.J. Brown | 8 | Buy |
| Zay Flowers | 8 | Too late? |
| Derrick Henry | 8 | Too late? |
First, a reminder that last week's report wound up with just two "buys" because we included Jaguars WR Travis Hunter before his Thursday knee injury.
- We expected (and got) another rough outing from Croskey-Merritt Sunday night against Seattle. He gets another challenging matchup with Detroit this week. And Jayden Daniels' latest injury damages the offense. All that should also lower the rookie's price, though. Honestly, JCM looks unlikely to be much of a factor outside non-PPR leagues at this point and might be largely worth ignoring. But we can at least consider him as a potential throw-in on larger trade packages.
- Pearsall's knee injury remains a challenge. On one hand, it lowers his price. On the other, we still have no idea when he'll play again. He's only a buy-very-low at this point.
- Trade talk about Brown was always goofy. Will he continue to frustrate the rest of the way? Maybe. But there's also loads of upside and the chance Philly figured out some things on offense over the Week 9 bye. He delivered a big game against a respected Vikings defense last time out. The next big one will probably put buying Brown out of reach.
- You can certainly still try to buy either Raven, but it'll be tougher now that Lamar Jackson returned to rescue the entire offense.
Sell These Players
This section features a RB stuck in the same desolate offense, another scoring way beyond his usage, and a QB likely headed for some TD regression.
Breece Hall, RB, New York Jets
We featured Hall in the “buy” section just three weeks ago. He was the Week 7 cover boy. And he delivered a big fantasy line the last time we saw the Jets.
So did something change over the bye, or am I just admitting now that we were wrong?
Well, maybe a little bit of both.
Hall’s Usage Not Encouraging
The first positive I pointed out for Hall back in Week 7 was his usage. To that point, he had handled 36 of 39 RB carries in the two games since Braelon Allen went down. And his target share ranked a solid 11th among RBs.
The two games since, however, have seen Isaiah Davis garner three more targets than Hall (9-6). Here’s how Hall ranks among all RBs since Week 7:
- 24th in snap rate
- 13th in carry share
- 36th in route rate
- 28th in target share
That span has seen Hall run routes at the same rate as Washington RB Jacory Croskey-Merritt. You may remember Bill from explanations that start with something like “Even though he doesn’t offer much in the passing game …”
So the Jets are using Hall in disappointing ways. They’ve clearly embraced rebuilding mode, after trading away DT Quinnen Williams and CB Sauce Gardner (especially the latter). And it seems a near-lock Hall will leave in free agency after this season.
I’m not as willing as others to suggest that factor will cut further into Hall’s opportunities. But there’s clearly little incentive either on his side or the team’s to try and supercharge his finish to 2025.
Next Two Weeks Could Close Any Sell Window
Now, you might feel apprehensive about selling Hall this week. He delivered easily his best fantasy outing of the year and then got a bye to recharge. But the schedule shows why you shouldn’t hesitate.
The next two games find the Browns and Patriots on the other side. That’s the No. 2 and No. 5 toughest RB defenses in our adjusted fantasy points allowed.
They lead a schedule that ranks seventh-toughest for RB scoring the rest of the way. And the biggest positive matchup in that run is a trip to Baltimore. The Ravens have already improved on defense, just acquired DL Dre’Mont Jones, and will probably enter that game favored by about a million and a half points. (Re: Likely not a good situation for RB scoring.)
Matthew Stafford, QB, Los Angeles Rams
The Breece Hall sell case is all about what not to like the rest of the way. That’s not the case for Stafford, though.
The Rams feature a pass-friendly offense with a pair of stud wideouts. And Stafford leads the league in TD passes.
And that’s the basis for his sell case.
Can the TDs Continue? Yes. Will They? …
Stafford’s passing TD rate sits at a career-high 7.7%. That’s 3 percentage points ahead of his career rate and 0.9 points ahead of his previous high, set in his first Rams season (2021).
That’s tied for 14th-highest among all QB seasons since the NFL grew to 32 teams in 2002. We’ve had 34 total QB seasons of 7.0% TD rate or better in that span (minimum 200 pass attempts).
So Stafford certainly can continue throwing TDs at his current pace. But he’s not likely to. Especially when you consider that he racked up nine of this year’s 21 over just his past two games, at a 13.8% TD rate.
Before those two games, Stafford’s season TD rate sat at a much more reasonable 5.7%.
Let’s also look at how the Rams are splitting their TDs between pass and run so far, compared with the rest of the Sean McVay seasons:
| Year | Total | Pass | Pass Share | Rush | Rush Share |
| 2025 | 26 | 21 | 80.8% | 5 | 19.2% |
| 2024 | 37 | 22 | 59.5% | 15 | 40.5% |
| 2023 | 44 | 26 | 59.1% | 18 | 40.9% |
| 2022 | 31 | 16 | 51.6% | 15 | 48.4% |
| 2021 | 51 | 41 | 80.4% | 10 | 19.6% |
| 2020 | 39 | 20 | 51.3% | 19 | 48.7% |
| 2019 | 42 | 22 | 52.4% | 20 | 47.6% |
| 2018 | 55 | 32 | 58.2% | 23 | 41.8% |
| 2017 | 45 | 28 | 62.2% | 17 | 37.8% |
| Total | 370 | 228 | 61.6% | 142 | 38.4% |
That aforementioned 2021 campaign, of course, featured Cooper Kupp’s WR1 overall turn and 41 TD passes for Stafford. It also found Sony Michel leading a weak backfield.
And yet even that Rams team had a slightly larger percentage of TDs coming on the ground and Stafford posting a lower TD rate than he’s pumping right now.
Sure, these Rams sport an even better WR set -- thanks to Puka Nacua and Davante Adams -- but they also feature an $11 million RB.
They’ll probably remain near (or at) the top of the list of heaviest passing-TD lends among McVay teams. But they’ll probably also shift more TDs to the ground the rest of the way.
Make Sure You’re Improving Your Team
Of course, regressing isn’t the same as crashing.
I’m not positing that Stafford’s about to fall apart and derail your season. It’s just likely that he’s at a scoring peak. And he plays a position that runs deep with worthwhile scorers.
That makes this a good time to try to shop Stafford for an upgrade (or two) elsewhere, especially if you already have another starting-level QB on your roster.
Even with his league-high TD count and career-best TD rate, Stafford ranks seventh among QBs in fantasy points per game in leagues that award 4 points per TD pass. And only Aaron Rodgers has derived a larger share of his fantasy scoring from TD passes: 45.5% to Stafford’s 45%.
If (when?) that TD rate dips, it’s gonna hurt Stafford’s output.
RJ Harvey, RB, Denver Broncos
Here’s a guy to shop to the RB-neediest teams in your league.
That manager who’s trying to decide between Devin Singletary and Emari Demercado this week will be far more likely to jump at the chance to add a second-round rookie who racked up 5 TDs over the past three games.
But if you’re holding Harvey, you know the dirty secret those scores are covering.
Harvey’s Usage Remains Terrible
I’ll actually be nice and start this section by sharing Jared’s optimism for Harvey from his Usage Takeaways article.
He wrote: “We got a subtle but notable shift in Harvey’s usage this week,” and posted this table of the rookie’s weekly usage:
| Week | snap rate | route rate | carry share | target share |
| 1 | 31% | 33% | 20% | 3% |
| 2 | 31% | 32% | 21% | 7% |
| 3 | 27% | 30% | 10% | 12% |
| 4 | 41% | 33% | 37% | 12% |
| 5 | 21% | 21% | 14% | 8% |
| 6 | 28% | 33% | 8% | 13% |
| 7 | 25% | 30% | 17% | 4% |
| 8 | 28% | 27% | 25% | 3% |
| 9 | 31% | 44% | 9% | 14% |
Why am I highlighting positivity for Harvey to begin his “sell” case? Because I think it speaks to the potential strength of his perceived value.
If you want to find optimism in Harvey’s Week 9 usage, then you can -- as Jared did.
Frankly, though, I don’t see a clear shift in anything.
I see a season-high route rate in a single game against a tough defense (Houston) that’s soft in LB coverage. I see the second-lowest carry share of the season for a second-round pick in his ninth game with the team. And I see a snap rate and target share that line up with the rest of the season.
Perhaps it was the start of increased use for Harvey in the passing game. Or maybe it was a one-game plan. We hoped that Harvey’s 18 touches for 98 yards and a TD back in Week 4 against Cincinnati marked an upturn. But since then, his weekly touch counts have gone:
- 7
- 6
- 5
- 8
- 7
At the least, we can all agree Harvey won’t continue scoring on 25% of his touches, as he has over the past three games.
So go try to sell J.K. Dobbins’ handcuff now, before his next scoreless outing.
Recent Sells
Let’s look back at our Sell recommendations from the past two weeks and see how we’d treat those players now …
| Player | Week Listed | Buy-Sell-Hold |
| Chris Olave | 9 | Whatever you want |
| Dallas Goedert | 9 | Sell |
| Bo Nix | 8 & 9 | Sell |
| Alvin Kamara | 8 | Sell |
| Keenan Allen | 8 | Sell |
- Unloading Rashid Shaheed leaves New Orleans needing to target Olave heavily going forward. It certainly doesn't make their QB or offense any better, though. So what should you do with Olave? It depends. If you get an opportunity to sell him for something that upgrades your roster, go for it. You're not likely to miss out on anything big. Not finding any such opportunities? Hang on to him for what should at least be WR3-level PPR numbers the rest of the way. Olave gets less attractive the further you get away from full-PPR scoring.
- Nothing has really changed with the rest of the group here, other than Allen's usage has dropped off more and much more quickly than we were even guessing when initially calling him a sell.
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