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Best Week 12 Moves from Our Fantasy Football Pros

Best Week 12 Moves

Whether you're playing redraft, dynasty, or even DFS, knowing what moves to make is crucial to success.

That's why we're having each of our fantasy football pros give you one move to take advantage of this week.

Play Tyreek Hill in DFS

Jared Smola

I think this is the week we get a vintage Tyreek Hill game.

The Dolphins have a big 26.75-point implied total for Sunday’s game vs. the Patriots, who rank 31st in pass defense DVOA and 18th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to WRs.

New England has been particularly susceptible to big plays in the passing game, ranking:

• 26th in completions of 20+ yards allowed
• 22nd in adjusted completion rate allowed on deep passes
• 20th in completion rate over expected allowed on deep passes
• 26th in pass defense DVOA against deep passes

Don’t be surprised to see Hill rip off a few chunk gains on his way to 100+ yards and a TD this weekend.

Start Bucky Irving With Confidence

Shane Hallam

The Buccaneers' RB situation has been a bit messy, with Rachaad White scoring a TD in each of the last four games.

But, Bucky Irving is due. And this week against the Giants is the perfect week for Irving to go off.

He has been at least an RB2 in four of the last five weeks, despite White’s TDs.

The coaching staff still favors Irving, who has more rushing attempts and more touches than White in each of the last three games.

He sits top-12 among RBs with 40 or more rushing attempts this season in:

• yards per carry
• yards after contract per rush
• explosive run rate
• elusive rating
• PFF run grade

And now he gets a Giants defense that gave up 153 yards on the ground to Chuba Hubbard.

This is a week Irving can hit RB1 numbers and find the end zone once or twice.

Dynasty: Buy Low on MarShawn Lloyd

Kevin English

Lloyd showed dynamic traits in college, rushing for 7.1 yards per carry as a junior. He took 16% of his carries for 15+ yards that year.

Lloyd’s tape showed a powerful runner with tackle-dodging ability. Last year, he ranked third in the nation in PFF elusive rating.

Then Lloyd measured a stout 5’9, 220 pounds at the NFL Scouting Combine. He showcased excellent sized-adjusted speed with a 4.46-second 40 time.

Better Health = Production?

Unfortunately, we’ve been unable to see Lloyd’s momentum continue as a Round 3 rookie. Hip, hamstring, and ankle injuries have limited him to just one appearance. A mid-November case of appendicitis will cause more missed time.

Let’s hope he’s past the tough-luck injuries. Long term, there’s a path to him seeing at least a rotational role for an appealing Green Bay offense. 

We’ll also see how much longer Josh Jacobs can stick as the lead back. Next year will be his seventh pro season.

I’ll leave you with these words from OC Adam Stenavich last week, which struck me as a source of optimism for Lloyd:

“I cant wait to get him back in the fold … the one game that he played, you just saw his explosive potential, his quickness, his receiving ability … very good player … I’m looking forward to getting him back very soon.”

Give Minkah Fitzpatrick One More Shot

Matt Schauf

I had a customer ask me Thursday morning why the Pittsburgh safety keeps checking in so high in my weekly rankings even though he sits outside the top 50 DBs for the season.

Good question.

And my answer: I keep expecting the big plays to return. But they simply haven’t.

Fitzpatrick led the league with 6 INTs just two years ago, and he’s still only 28. Although PFF grades indicate his coverage performance has dipped, I have a hard time believing he just sucks now.

Role Hasn’t Changed

Turnovers are volatile, and they tend to swing fantasy scoring quite a bit among DBs. 

For example, if you add 2 INTs to Fitzpatrick’s profile this season, he’d jump from DB58 to a tie for DB31 in total points for a balanced scoring format. That swing would be even wider in a system that rewards big plays more highly.

Fitzpatrick’s snap distribution around the formation looks nearly identical this year to how Pittsburgh deployed him in 2021 and 2022. He finished those seasons as the DB1 and DB11 in fantasy.

Why Play Him in Week 12?

Of course, we’ve seen plenty of DBs fall from high fantasy perches to become average (or worse) performers. But I’m rolling with Fitzpatrick for this week’s Browns matchup.

Cleveland has supplied the most DB fantasy points over the past five weeks, a span that includes all of Jameis Winston’s starts and the Deshaun Watson injury game he entered late.

Winston has thrown no fewer than 41 passes in any of his three starts. Fitzpatrick – despite his low fantasy floor overall this season – leads Pittsburgh in solo tackles on pass plays.

Add to that the turnover histories for the safety and the QB, and you can see the Week 12 upside.

And if Fitzpatrick works out this week, he gets the Browns again two weeks later.

Shane Hallam, Writer

Shane has over 20 years of experience creating content and playing every fantasy football format including redraft, dynasty, devy, IDP, and more. He is a multi-year winner of $500 dynasty leagues on the FFPC and utilizes deep film and scheme study to enhance his fantasy performance.