Open Nav
Show Navigation
Show Menu
Player Profile

Nathaniel Dell - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsNathaniel Dell's Basic Stats

Nathaniel Dell
ADP: N/A
Bye: 14
Experience: 1
Age: 25.3
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 165
40 Time: 4.49

Nathaniel Dell's Weekly Outlook

This is a regular season feature

We’ll have detailed analysis of this player’s performance added here after each week’s game. Weekly outlooks are posted Tuesday at 1pm EST each week.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
-1.2 -15.8 -0.1 -2.3

Nathaniel Dell's 2025 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#37 Wide Receiver

181.7 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 61.3 815.6 5.17 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsNathaniel Dell's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Dell’s connection with C.J. Stroud was apparent in his rookie season. He was on pace to be a top-15 WR until a broken fibula ended his season prematurely.

The Texans have a bevy of weapons in Nico Collins, Stefon Diggs, Joe Mixon, and Stefon Diggs, so the ball may get spread around more than last season.

Despite this, Dell and Stroud’s rapport cannot be denied. Expect Dell to still deliver low-end WR2/high-end WR3 numbers.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Dell’s per-game averages as a rookie:
    • 6.82 targets
    • 4.27 receptions
    • 64.5 yards
    • 15.1 yards per catch
    • 0.64 TDs
  • He ranked as the PPR WR38 in total fantasy points (165.0) and WR16 in points per game (9.8).
  • He missed one game (Week 6) due to concussion and then suffered a season-ending broken fibula in Week 13.
  • Out of his 11 games played, Dell had four top-12 finishes. He also had five WR37 or worse finishes.
  • Dell’s target share was 21.8% (35th best among WRs).
  • Among 92 WRs with 40+ targets, Dell ranked
    • 15th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade
    • 16th in yards per route run (2.22)
    • 15th in average target depth (14.4).
  • Among those same 92 WRs, Dell was 30th in average separation yards (2.9), per NFL Next Gen Stats.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Dell enters his second season under HC DeMeco Ryans and OC Bobby Slowik.
  • He is recovering from an April gunshot wound and is expected to make a full recovery.
  • The Texans are expected to perform similarly to last season. They have the highest win total in the AFC South at 9.5 wins on most sportsbooks.
  • They also have the eighth-highest odds to win the Super Bowl at +1600 on most sportsbooks, best in the division.
  • Dell enters his second season at 24 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average WR with Dell’s career and profile will produce at 94-95% of peak value at age-24.
  • He’ll face tougher target competition this year with the arrival of Stefon Diggs. But Dell notably beat Diggs last year in yards per route run and PFF receiving grade.

Adjust Nathaniel Dell's Projections

We'll recalculate this player's Projections (DS Proj/ only) and 3D Value based on your opinion of the player. This adjustments will be made for ALL of your leagues on Draft Sharks

Go to My Account to see a full list of your adjustments.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Nathaniel Dell, WR HOU

5:06pm EST 12/21/24

Knee Injury Likely Ends Tank Dell's Season

Texans WR Tank Dell left Saturday's loss to the Chiefs after suffering a serious injury to his left knee. Dell caught a 30-yard TD pass early in the third quarter but landed in clear pain. He left the field in an ambulance with his entire leg being stabilized. HC DeMeco Ryans told reporters after the game that Dell will stay overnight in a Kansas City hospital.

View Full Story »

QB C.J. Stroud helped stake the Texans to a 23-7 first-half lead Sunday night against the Lions but wound up struggling -- predictably -- the rest of the way. He threw for 164 yards and a TD on 14-of-20 passing in the first half, finding WR John Metchie in the end zone late in the second quarter. But Stroud went just 6 for 13 after the break, for 68 yards and a pair of INTs.

View Full Story »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Nathaniel Dell, WR HOU
Dynasty MVP 0.0
Position Rank #18 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
291
475
878
Dynasty Write-up
As a rookie, Dell shoved aside size concerns to quickly develop into a go-to target for C.J. Stroud. While his season ended with a fractured fibula, Dell should be 100% ahead of Week 1, 2024. Stroud’s quick ascent supplies a nice boost to the WR’s dynasty stock, but his short-term numbers take a hit with the addition of Stefon Diggs.
Compare Plans » Compare Plans »