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Christian McCaffrey - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsChristian McCaffrey's Basic Stats

Christian McCaffrey
ADP: N/A
Bye: 9
Experience: 7
Age: 28.4
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 210
40 Time: 4.48

SPARQx (Rank): 105.10 (35%)
Burst Score (Rank): 124.30 (79%)
Agility Score (Rank): 10.79 (98%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 6.57

Christian McCaffrey's Weekly Outlook

Week 10 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
85.6 0.82 4.2 35.5 0.3 18.7
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
57.4 0.5 2.8 23.7 0.2 12.6

Christian McCaffrey's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#41 Running Back

138.6 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 107.3 516.2 4.94 1 0 25.2 213.4 1.8

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsChristian McCaffrey's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

McCaffrey is coming off a dominant 2023 season, leading all RBs in total fantasy points and points per game.

He turned 28 in June but has shown no signs of decline, actually posting career highs in most rushing efficiency metrics last year. The 49ers clearly aren’t worried about his age, handing him a two-year extension this offseason.

McCaffrey returns to a nearly identical situation this season. He’s the clear top RB in fantasy football and should be a top-2 pick in every draft.

What We Learned Last Year

  • McCaffrey led all RBs last year with 395.3 total PPR points and 24.7 PPR points per game. (He also led in half-PPR and non-PPR points.)
  • The 24.7 PPR points per game were the eighth most from a RB over the last 10 seasons.
  • McCaffrey benefitted from awesome usage.
    • He led all RBs with 1,006 offensive snaps and 550 pass routes.
    • McCaffrey ranked fourth among RBs in both carries per game (17.0) and targets per game (5.2).
    • He ranked second among RBs in carries inside the 10-yard line (34) and fourth in carries inside the five (17).
    • He led all RBs with eight targets inside the 10.
    • McCaffrey led all RBs with 20.5 expected PPR points per game.
  • McCaffrey exceeded his expected PPR points per game by 4.2 because he remained one of the best RBs in the league.
  • He set career highs last year with:
    • 5.4 yards per carry
    • 3.4 yards after contact per attempt
    • 0.22 missed tackles forced per attempt
    • 65.5 Pro Football Focus elusive rating
    • 90.6 PFF rushing grade
  • McCaffrey tied for third among 49 qualifying RBs in PFF rushing grade.
  • He ranked second among those 49 RBs in NFL Next Gen Stats’ Rush Yards Over Expected Per Attempt.
  • McCaffrey was also awesome in the passing game. Among 43 RBs with 30+ targets, he ranked:
    • 14th in catch rate
    • 7th in yards per catch
    • 6th in yards per target
    • 9th in yards per route
    • 2nd in PFF receiving grade

What to Expect in 2024

  • McCaffrey is back in San Francisco and even got a two-year contract extension in early June that keeps him with the 49ers through the 2027 season.
  • The team clearly isn’t worried about a decline from the 28-year-old. It’s tough to argue with that considering McCaffrey set career highs in most rushing efficiency metrics last year.
  • HC Kyle Shanahan suggested in early June that he’d like to lighten McCaffrey’s load.
    • “If he’s just taking the wear and tear with 20 carries and stuff every game — and he’s definitely good enough to do that, and he’s proved he can stay healthy — but you’d like to take some of that off him and give it to other guys also.”
  • That’s easier said than done, especially when the 49ers only added fourth-round rookie Isaac Guerendo and undrafted rookie Cody Schrader to the backfield. We’re expecting McCaffrey to again have the most fantasy-friendly role among RBs this season.
  • The 49ers return QB Brock Purdy along with WR Deebo Samuel, WR Brandon Aiyuk, and TE George Kittle.
  • They also return all five starters on the offensive line. Last year’s 49ers ranked:
    • 1st in Pro Football Focus’ run-blocking grades
    • 23rd in ESPN’s run-block win rate
    • 1st in adjusted line yards
  • Our Injury Predictor gives McCaffrey a 63.6% chance of injury (21st-highest among RBs) and 3.0 projected games missed (tied for eighth most) this season.

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Christian McCaffrey, RB SF

10:39am EDT 10/21/24

Christian McCaffrey Planned Return After Bye Week

49ers RB Christian McCaffrey is on track to return on November 10th against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 10. There have been no setbacks with his Achilles tendinitis and the 49ers are planning for him to return in about three weeks.

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49ers RB Jordan Mason injured his left shoulder midway through the second quarter of Thursday night's game vs. the Seahawks. He missed the rest of the half, returned to carry on the first play of the third quarter, but then didn't play again. Mason was never officially ruled out and remained on the sidelines trying to keep his shoulder loose. HC Kyle Shanahan said after the game that they'd find out more about the injury on Friday. Mason was on his way to a big game, carrying nine times for 73 yards in less than one half of action.

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49ers RB Christian McCaffrey did not experience any setbacks with his Achilles tendonitis after returning to on-field work this week, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. Although he was dealing with tendonitis in both Achilles at one point, it's only one that's giving him trouble right now, per Schefter. McCaffrey finally seems to be trending in the right direction. Schefter adds that McCaffrey could return as early as Week 7 or be held out through San Francisco's Week 9 bye, depending on how he responds to increased work in practice.

View all Christian McCaffrey Shark Bites »

49ers RB Christian McCaffrey has been dealing with tendinitis in both Achilles, according to NBC Sports Bay Area's Matt Maiocco. It's still unclear when he started having these issues (it was reported as a calf injury all August) but helps explain why McCaffrey has had so much trouble getting on the field. McCaffrey is expected to ramp up his rehab this week, although it sounds like Week 10 is his likeliest date to return to game action.

View all Christian McCaffrey Shark Bites »

49ers RB Christian McCaffrey (Achilles, calf) is expected back "at least by early November," according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. San Francisco has a Week 9 bye in the first week of November, which makes it sound like Week 10 vs. the Bucs on November 10 is McCaffrey's likeliest return date. HC Kyle Shanahan said Friday that CMC's rehab would start ramping up this coming week, and Rapoport hears that McCaffrey is ready to resume running on the field. We'll continue to keep a close eye on his progress.

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Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Christian McCaffrey, RB SF
Dynasty MVP 0.0
Position Rank #78 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
446
594
745
Dynasty Write-up
CMC was excellent in 2023, finishing as the clear-cut RB1. Attached to Kyle Shanahan and under contract through the 2025 season, McCaffrey remains an excellent short-term asset.
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