Cole Kmet Fantasy Overview

2024 Summary

Production & Fantasy Finishes

In 15 games, Kmet posted 118.4 PPR fantasy points (TE19) and 7.9 points per game (TE22).

He caught 47 passes (T-22nd) for 474 yards (25th) and 4 TDs, despite seeing just 55 targets (29th).

He had two top-12 finishes, but also seven games outside the top 24 TEs.

Usage & Role

Kmet played a hybrid role, lining up 54.0% in the slot and 33.8% in-line. But his 9.7% target share was a career low, down from 17-18% in previous seasons.

He remained highly efficient on a per-target basis (85.5% catch rate, 2nd among TEs with 25+ targets) but rarely served as a first read (9.5%) or focal point of the offense.

Efficiency Metrics

Kmet’s per-route production and after-catch impact were modest:

• 0.96 yards per route run (38th among TEs with 30+ targets)
• 4.2 yards after catch per reception (29th)
• 59.8 PFF receiving grade (35th)

He continued to separate well (3.9-yard average separation, 8th among TEs) but offered little explosiveness after the catch (-0.3 yards after catch over expected). His hands remained dependable, with a low 2.2% drop rate.

Offensive Context

Chicago’s offense was inefficient and low-volume in 2024, ranking 28th in total plays despite operating at a top-10 pace.

The passing game favored WRs, and the TE target share fell to 9.7% for Kmet.

Historical Production & Trends

After three straight years of 17%+ target share, Kmet’s involvement cratered in 2024.

His raw efficiency and catch rate stayed intact, but the drop shows why new HC Ben Johnson prioritized upgrading the TE position in the NFL Draft.

Injury History

Kmet has not missed a game due to injury in his NFL career.

2025 Expectations

Projected Role & Competition

With second-round rookie Colston Loveland entering the fold and Ben Johnson taking over as HC, Kmet’s role is on the ropes.

Loveland will likely take over the primary TE role sooner rather than later, relegating Kmet to two-TE sets.

The team also brought in Durham Smythe from the Dolphins as a blocking option near the goal line.

The Bears' pass-catching depth chart is crowded with WRs D.J. Moore, Rome Odunze, and Luther Burden all commanding targets.

Supporting Cast

QB Caleb Williams enters his second season and showed some flashes of the elite NFL prospect he was hyped as.

The Bears return their two starting OTs in Braxton Jones and Darnell Wright, but remade the interior of the OL with three new starters in Joe Thuney, Drew Dalman, and Jonah Jackson.

If the OL blocks effectively, it may free Kmet to run more routes in 2-TE sets.

Coaching & Offensive Scheme

Ben Johnson consistently featured TEs in Detroit, with TE target shares of 15.8%, 22.4%, and 18.1% from 2022-2024.

Sam LaPorta earned a nearly 20% target share as a rookie, and Johnson’s system prioritizes TEs on crossers, seams, and play-action looks.