Bills insider Vic Carucci believes TE Dalton Kincaid could emerge as the top option in the team's passing game this season. Carucci notes the progress that Kincaid made throughout his rookie season and writes that he's "expected to take a giant leap" in year two. "I think the offense will be designed to get the ball in his hands as much as possible," Carucci adds.
According to multiple reports, the Bills are sending WR Stefon Diggs to the Texans. Buffalo is also sending a 2024 sixth-round pick and 2025 fifth-rounder to Houston, while getting back only a second-round pick in 2025. Diggs' production fell off late last season after the Bills switched offensive coordinators. Now 30 and in a new offense, Diggs will have to show he's not in decline. He'll add the challenge of splitting targets with Houston's emergent young wideouts. Nico Collins (seventh) and Tank Dell (12th) both ranked among the top 12 WRs in PPR points per game last season, with rookie QB C.J. Stroud. The Diggs addition obviously lowers the target-share ceiling for all three wideouts. We'll also have to see exactly how Houston plans to deploy them. Diggs spent 35.7% of his pass snaps in the slot last year; 34.2% the year before. He topped 30% in that category for three of his four Buffalo seasons, surpassed only by his 2016 sophomore season (62.9%). Collins spent 20.1% of his time in the slot last year; Dell 28.7%. We'd bet on all three moving around the formation some. But Diggs could wind up primarily replacing Robert Woods (55.5% slot) and Noah Brown (39.3%). The trio gives Stroud one of the league's best WR groups and boosts his fantasy upside. The QB already sat sixth at the position in Underdog Fantasy ADP, though. That adds risk to Stroud as a draft target and gives him little room to move up. QB Josh Allen, meanwhile, has lost his top two wideouts (Gabe Davis the other) while adding only WR Curtis Samuel this offseason. The dearth of remaining talent adds risk to his fantasy outlook, though you shouldn't expect the high-level rusher to move significantly down our rankings. As for other affected players: Diggs' departure leaves target share available for TE Dalton Kincaid and Khalil Shakir. His arrival in Houston makes life tougher for TE Dalton Schultz. He already sat just 13th among TEs in best ball ADP, though, and will likely fall further following this trade. Be sure to check our rankings for your format to see all the effects of this high-impact deal.
The Steelers-Bills game originally scheduled for 1 pm ET on Sunday has been moved to 4:30 pm ET on Monday. Buffalo is expecting heavy snow and wind gusts up to 60 mph on Sunday. The forecast for Monday calls for light snow, sustained winds around 15 mph, and gusts up to 30 mph. That's still tough weather for the passing and kicking games -- but significantly better than it would have been on Sunday. We're adjusting our projections for this game.
Bills TE Dawson Knox returned Sunday after missing the previous five games following wrist surgery. His return didn't hurt TE Dalton Kincaid's playing time, though. Kincaid still ran a route on 87.8% of Josh Allen's dropbacks. His 8 targets ranked second on the team, and his 5 receptions tied for the Buffalo lead. Kincaid managed just 21 yards (4.2 per reception), but short targets have been a staple all season. We'll take that issue if it comes with strong reception volume. Sunday marked the seventh straight game of 5+ receptions for Kincaid.
Bills TE Dawson Knox (wrist) is active for today’s game vs. the Chiefs. We’ll see exactly how big a role he plays in his first action since Week 7. Knox averaged 4.0 targets per game over the first seven weeks of the season to TE Dalton Kincaid’s 4.5. We’re expecting that gap to be wider in Week 14 and beyond.
Bills TE Dawson Knox (wrist) has been activated to the 53-man roster. That puts him in line to play vs. the Chiefs on Sunday for the first time since Week 7. Knox would be a desperation fantasy start, but his return dings TE Dalton Kincaid's target projection. It also takes WR Khalil Shakir out of the picture even in deep fantasy leagues.
Bills TE Dawson Knox (wrist) is listed as questionable for this weekend’s game vs. the Chiefs. He was a full-go in practice all week, and HC Sean McDermott said Friday that Knox "has a good chance" to play Sunday. We currently have him projected in, which dings TE Dalton Kincaid’s fantasy outlook. The rookie averaged 7.4 targets over the last five games without Knox vs. 4.5 with Knox over his first six outings.
Bills TE Dawson Knox (wrist) was a full participant in Wednesday's practice. That puts him in line to return for this weekend's game vs. the Chiefs. Knox isn't a bankable fantasy play, but his return could certainly impact TE Dalton Kincaid. The rookie averaged 7.4 targets over the last five games without Knox vs. 4.5 with Knox over his first six outings. It's tough to imagine Kincaid's usage returning to those previous levels considering how good he's been lately. But Knox's return adds some downside risk to Kincaid's Week 14 fantasy profile.
Bills TE Dawson Knox (wrist) has been designated to return from IR and will practice on Wednesday. HC Sean McDermott when asked whether Knox will play vs. the Chiefs this weekend only said, "We'll take it one day at a time." We'll keep tabs on Knox's status for that one. He's not a fantasy option, but his return would put a dent in TE Dalton Kincaid's fantasy value. Kincaid averaged 7.4 targets over the last five games without Knox vs. 4.5 with Knox over his first six outings.
Bills TE Dawson Knox (wrist) is eligible to come off IR this week, but HC Sean McDermott said Monday that Knox isn't ready yet. Buffalo has a Week 13 bye, so we'll see if Knox is cleared to play in Week 14. His continued absence is excellent news for TE Dalton Kincaid, who has been TE3 in PPR points over the past four weeks.
Bills TE Dalton Kincaid has racked up 26 catches, 243 yards, and two TDs over his last four games. Those are all top-4 marks among TEs. Kincaid's 62.3 PPR points over that span rank third at the position behind only T.J. Hockenson and George Kittle. The rookie is getting elite usage, running a route on 88% of Bills pass plays and drawing 22.8% of the team's targets. We can only hope that Buffalo doesn't scale back his role whenever TE Dawson Knox is ready to return from his wrist injury. Knox is eligible to come off IR this week, but there's been no indication that he'll be ready. In the meantime, Kincaid is a weekly top-5 fantasy TE. He has an excellent Week 12 matchup vs. the Eagles' 23rd-ranked TE defense.
Bills TE Dalton Kincaid shined as the lone bright spot for Buffalo’s passing game in Week 10, hauling in 5 of 6 targets for 51 receiving yards and a TD vs. the Broncos. The rookie is now averaging 7 catches, 68 receiving yards, and 16.3 PPR points per game over the past four games. At this point, fantasy managers can consider Kincaid a weekly TE1 option regardless of matchup. To make matters better, the Bills’ remaining schedule ranks as the sixth-easiest for TEs per our adjusted fantasy points allowed.
Bills WR Stefon Diggs roped in 6 of 7 targets for 86 yards and a TD in Week 9 vs. the Bengals. His teammate TE Dalton Kincaid also delivered on Sunday with 81 receiving yards on 10 catches. Among 31 TEs who’ve seen at least 20 targets in 2023, Kincaid’s 88.9% catch rate ranks first. This duo will be must-start options in Week 10 vs. the Broncos, a defense that ranks 32nd in pass defense DVOA.
Bills TE Dawson Knox will "likely" be placed on IR with his wrist injury that requires surgery, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. That'd knock Knox out for the next four games. He's droppable in all redraft fantasy leagues. Dalton Kincaid has a good chance at TE1 production for however long Knox is sidelined.
As expected, Bills TE Dawson Knox (wrist) is out for Thursday night's game vs. the Bucs. We still don't have a timetable for his return. Knox's absence should mean a boost in playing time for TE Dalton Kincaid, making the rookie much easier to trust as a TE1.
Bills HC Sean McDermott told reporters Monday that TE Dawson Knox needs wrist surgery. Knox first appeared on the injury report for the issue in Week 6 but has played through it the past two games. McDermott said they don't know yet how long the TE will be out. His absence obviously helps TE Dalton Kincaid's playing time. The rookie drew a season-high 8 targets in Sunday's loss to the Patriots but ran a route on just 63% of Josh Allen dropbacks. We're betting that will increase, which should steady his target counts at least while Knox is out.
Bills WR Stefon Diggs hauled just 6 of 12 targets for 58 receiving yards and a TD in Week 7’s surprising loss vs. the Patriots. A star player like Diggs catching only half of his passes isn’t super ideal, but fantasy managers can’t be too upset considering he found paydirt in the contest. Buffalo’s leading pass-catcher on Sunday was rookie TE Dalton Kincaid. The first-year player finally broke out, roping in all 8 of his targets for a team-leading 75 receiving yards. He and fellow TE Dawson Knox played on a similar number of offensive snaps (43 and 45, respectively) though Kincaid out-targeted his counterpart by a margin of 5. We’ll be interested to see if this is trend continues on Thursday night’s Week 8 game vs. the Buccaneers.
Bills TE Dalton Kincaid (concussion) put in a full week of practice and isn’t listed on the final injury report for Sunday’s game vs. the Patriots. The rookie has averaged 4.3 targets, 3.8 catches, and 25 yards in four full games this season.
Bills TE Dalton Kincaid (concussion) was a full participant in practice on Wednesday. That puts him on track to return for this weekend's game vs. the Patriots. The rookie has averaged 4.3 targets, 3.8 catches, and 25 yards in four full games this season.
Bills TE Dawson Knox (wrist) is active for tonight's game vs. the Giants. TE Dalton Kincaid (concussion) is inactive. That should mean a boost in pass routes for Knox, making him a passable season-long starter and an intriguing play in one-game DFS contests.
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