Fantasy Football Start Sit Week 11: Tre Tucker for the Win?
The fantasy playoffs are fast approaching, and lineup decisions are getting tougher. Injuries, bye weeks, and shifting roles make Week 11 a critical time. Let’s break down the matchups that could make or break your week.
The right lineup decisions, powered by Draft Sharks rankings, can make all the difference.
Week 11 Byes
- Indianapolis Colts
- New Orleans Saints
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Quarterbacks
Jacoby Brissett keeps churning out points.
Start
Jacoby Brissett, Arizona Cardinals
Since taking over as Arizona’s starter in Week 6, Jacoby Brissett has sparked the Cardinals’ offense. In Weeks 1-5, with Kyler Murray under center, Arizona averaged 288.4 total yards per game. In Brissett’s four starts, that number has jumped to 351.3 -- an 18% increase in production.
Murray never threw for more than 220 yards in a game, while Brissett has hit 258+ yards with 2 TDs in all four starts.
WR Marvin Harrison Jr. will miss this week’s game, but his absence shouldn’t derail Brissett. Harrison owns a modest 19.5% target share and accounts for just 16.6% of Arizona’s receptions -- 14.7% in Brissett's four outings.
Michael Wilson has already benefited from Brissett's efficiency, and TE Trey McBride continues to shine, leading all TEs in route rate (92%) and target share (29%).
The matchup is favorable. San Francisco has allowed the ninth-most schedule-adjusted fantasy points to quarterbacks, giving up multiple passing TDs in five of its last six games and ranking 14th in rushing yards allowed to the position.
Brissett has finished as a top-13 fantasy QB in each of his four starts, three of those against tougher pass defenses than the 49ers. Expect another strong outing from an overlooked streaming option.
Sit
Baker Mayfield, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
After a hot start, Mayfield has cooled off. He averaged 285 total yards and 10 TDs over the first five weeks but has fallen to 230.8 yards and six scores in the last four. His rushing has also disappeared. He hasn’t recorded a carry in three straight games.
Mayfield has fared fine on the road overall, but his past two games away from home included just 58.1% completions, 5.1 yards per pass attempt and one total TD (at Detroit and at New Orleans).
Buffalo presents. The Bills allow the fourth-fewest fantasy points to QBs and have been especially tough at home, giving up just 200.8 passing yards and one passing TD per game.
We'll see whether defensive injuries change that. S Taylor Rapp is on IR (knee) for at least one more week. CBs Christian Benford and Taron Johnson missed last week as well.
If they remain out, this matchup softens for Mayfield. Both managed limited practices Wednesday.
Running Backs
Woody Marks is one of two rookie RBs poised to deliver in Week 11.
Start
Woody Marks, Houston Texans
Week 10 marked a turning point for Marks. After playing just 43% of Houston’s snaps and handling 36% of the team’s carries through Week 9, Marks dominated the backfield in Sunday’s comeback win over Jacksonville. He logged 78% of the snaps and 70% of the carries.
Marks rushed 14 times for 63 yards and scored his second TD of the season. Meanwhile, Nick Chubb hit season lows in snap share (14%) and carries (5).
Marks may have benefited from Houston’s pass-heavy game script, but Marks was in on 10 of the Texans' first 15 snaps and played all seven snaps inside Jacksonville’s 10-yard line.
He also draws a great Week 11 matchup against a Titans defense that has allowed the fifth-most PPR points and a league-high 12 rushing TDs to RBs.
Houston arrives as a heavy favorite and will miss C.J. Stroud (concussion) again, both factors that could push rushing volume. Marks is a strong RB2 with top-10 upside.
RJ Harvey, Denver Broncos
J.K. Dobbins’ foot injury could sideline him through Denver’s Week 12 bye, which makes Harvey the likely starter. HC Sean Payton said Harvey “will have more opportunities” and praised his durability.
Harvey's biggest issue has been a lack of touches. Clearly, something about his performance has kept Denver coaches from shifting more backfield work his way. But Harvey has at least produced when given the ball.
He's averaging a solid 4.3 yards per carry and has matched Dobbins at 3.18 yards after contact per attempt. He has also doubled Dobbins in receiving work and production.
| Player | Tgts | Rec | Yds | YPR |
| Harvey | 29 | 25 | 175 | 7.0 |
| Dobbins | 14 | 11 | 37 | 3.4 |
That aspect could prove especially important against the Chiefs.
Kansas City has allowed the seventh-fewest PPR points per game to RBs. But 44.2% of that scoring has come via receiving, the sixth-highest share in the league. The Chiefs sit tied for just 18th in receptions per game allowed to the position but have yielded the eighth-most yards per catch.
Payton's smart enough to realize that potential edge, especially in a second-round pick who has already exhibited "joker" characteristics in his offense.
Add that to the natural workload elevation that comes with Dobbins' absence, and Harvey carries intriguing PPR upside this week. (He'll remain riskier for half-PPR and non-PPR formats.)
Sit
Breece Hall, New York Jets
New York’s passing woes have crippled Hall’s production. The Jets rank last in passing yards per game (143.8), allowing defenses to stack the box. Hall has faced eight or more defenders on 24.6% of his carries,15th-most.
The matchup doesn’t help. The Jets visit New England, which allows the fourth-fewest fantasy points to RBs. Mike Vrabel’s defense has clamped down on the run, allowing just 3.3 yards per carry. Sean Tucker’s 59-yard outing last week marked the first 50-yard game by a back all season. New England has allowed only 2 rushing TDs to the position.
The Jets' 16 projected points for the week don't help, pointing to a sluggish offensive performance.
And Hall has struggled to make up for the rushing deficiencies with his receiving. He has 2 catches or fewer in six of nine games for the year, including each of the past four.
Kenneth Walker III, Seattle Seahawks
Just after Kenneth Walker logged a season-high in playing time in Week 9, Seattle returned to a committee approach in Week 10. Zach Charbonnet split work evenly, and RB3 George Holani even mixed in for 11 snaps and a first-quarter touchdown.
Walker played four more snaps than Charbonnet, while both finished with 14 carries. Walker was the only back targeted in the passing game, but Charbonnet beat him in yards per carry and claimed the other rushing score.
For the season, Charbonnet holds a 51% to 43% edge in snaps. Walker leads slightly in carries (47% to 42%), but Charbonnet has seen more work near the goal line: 9-5 on carries inside the 5-yard line.
This week’s matchup doesn’t help. The Rams allow the fewest fantasy points to running backs and have surrendered just two total TDs to the position all season.
Between the workload split and a brutal matchup, Walker is an easy fade in Week 11.
Wide Receivers
Start
A potential AFC West slugfest could limit opportunities for a pair of starting WRs.
Jauan Jennings, San Francisco 49ers
Jennings has scored in back-to-back games while operating as San Francisco’s top wideout. His fantasy production has climbed steadily over the past month. That is a sign he’s finally healthy after rib and ankle injuries sidelined him for two games and limited him in others.
Jennings has posted consecutive outings of 14+ PPR points and has caught at least four passes in four straight games. He leads the team with a 25% target share since Week 7.
Ricky Pearsall finally returned to practice this week, but we'll likely have no idea just how close he is to full strength or full usage until game time (if Pearsall's knee is even ready to go).
It’s also a favorable matchup. The Cardinals have allowed a WR to top 12.4 PPR points in every game this season, and opposing No. 1 wideouts are averaging 14.7 per game. Jennings missed the first meeting with Arizona, but Pearsall caught posted an 8-117 receiving line on 11 targets.
The 49ers enter Week 11 with the sixth-highest implied total (25.75), which should mean plenty of offensive opportunity for the No. 22 WR in our PPR rankings.
Tre Tucker, Las Vegas Raiders
No defense has allowed more fantasy points to wide receivers than Dallas. The Cowboys have surrendered 10 TDs and 18.2 PPR points per game to opposing WR1s.
That's not necessarily Tucker's role in this one. But he leads Las Vegas with a 95% route rate for the season, and his 18% target share trails only Brock Bowers (adjusted for games played). The route rate jumped to 100% last week, in the first game since the Jakobi Meyers trade.
Tyler Lockett jumped out for a team-high 25% target share in that one, but the Raiders have to know that's not the right path. Really, it was a goofy game overall, with Ashton Jeanty and Michael Mayer also beating Tucker in targets (and Bowers trailing at a miniscule 8%).
Dallas falls well short of Denver in both coverage and pass rush. So there should be room for Tucker to run and more time for Geno Smith to find him. And the game carries the highest implied total for the week at 50.5 points.
Tucker remains a boom-bust prospect, but this week's conditions accentuate the boom potential.
Sit
Courtland Sutton, Denver Broncos
Bo Nix has feasted on weak defenses, averaging 265 passing yards and 14 total TDs in four games against teams that rank among the bottom-10 in passing yards allowed. Against average or better opponents, those numbers plummet to 178 yards and 6 TDs in five contests.
That split spells trouble against Kansas City’s seventh-ranked pass defense, which allows just 187.2 passing yards per game.
Denver’s implied total of 20.5 points, sixth-lowest this week, hints at another low-scoring, defensive game. Sutton's OK as a low-end WR3, but he has also proved less reliable recently.
The veteran has averaged just 5.3 targets and 2.7 catches over the past three weeks. He has tallied 30 yards or less in three of his past five. Second-year WR Troy Franklin has run close to Sutton in usage for most of the year and more than doubled his fantasy output in two of the past three games.
That all lowers the floor on Sutton in a matchup that applies a lackluster ceiling.
Xavier Worthy, Kansas City Chiefs
After missing time early in the season, Worthy emerged as Kansas City’s top wideout from Weeks 4-6, posting a 76% route rate, 21% target share, and 12.9 PPR points per game.
Since Rashee Rice’s return, though, Worthy’s production has nosedived. From Weeks 7-9, his target share dropped to 19%, and his scoring fell to 8.0 PPR points per game. He has scored just 1 TD all season and has failed to reach 50 yards in four of his last five.
Denver’s defense remains a nightmare for wideouts, allowing the fewest fantasy points and only 2 receiving TDs to the position.
Even without Pat Surtain the past two weeks, the Broncos have limited WRs to just 9.2 yards per catch.
Worthy heads into this week with a shaky floor and a low ceiling.
Tight Ends
Start
Schultz remains hot for the Texans.
Dalton Schultz, Houston Texans
Schultz has quietly climbed into TE1 territory. He enters Week 11 ranked 11th at the position in PPR scoring and tied for fifth in targets (32) over his past five games. He has topped 11 PPR points in four of those five.
Schultz thrived with Davis Mills under center in Week 10, setting season highs in route rate (82%) and target share (26%) while posting 18.3 PPR points. C.J. Stroud remains in the concussion protocol, making it likely that Mills will be under center again.
The matchup is once again favorable. Tennessee has allowed 14.6 PPR points per game to tight ends over its last four. Schultz has averaged eight targets across his past four contests, remaining heavily involved regardless of QB.
He’s a clear TE1 option for Week 11.
Sit
Mark Andrews, Baltimore Ravens
Andrews has been better with Lamar Jackson back, averaging 13.5 PPR points and scoring 3 TDs in the past two weeks. But his volume remains concerning. Andrews ranks just 23rd among tight ends in targets (38) and 24th in yards (244). He has topped 35 yards only once all season.
Cleveland presents another tough matchup. The Browns rank seventh-toughest on TEs by our adjusted fantasy points allowed. Only one TE has reached 40 yards against them all season, and they’ve given up just 1 TD to the position since Week 6.
Scoring figures to be limited in this AFC North battle that carries the second-lowest total (40.5) of the week. That’s particularly bad news for a TD-reliant TE.
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