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QB Injuries | Draft Sharks Injury Predictor

QB Injuries | Draft Sharks Injury Predictor

Updated on Wed, 11 Jun 2025

QB injuries don’t hit as often as they do at other positions. But that can make them all the more devastating.

What goes into predicting a QB injury? There are two key factors:

  • A player’s injury history
  • The way he plays

If you run the ball a lot, then you simply face more risk. More hits = more opportunities to get injured.

But there’s also that list of past injuries. Tua Tagovailoa’s concussion history means he’s more likely to sit out longer if he suffers another. And that guy with the soft-tissue issues in his recent past? You should know he carries extra risk.

Use these calculations not only to gauge who’s most likely to get hurt, but also which backup QBs might have a better shot at finding opportunity.

About Injury PredictorRight

QB injuries don’t hit as often as they do at other positions. But that can make them all the more devastating.

What goes into predicting a QB injury? There are two key factors:

  • A player’s injury history
  • The way he plays

If you run the ball a lot, then you simply face more risk. More hits = more opportunities to get injured.

But there’s also that list of past injuries. Tua Tagovailoa’s concussion history means he’s more likely to sit out longer if he suffers another. And that guy with the soft-tissue issues in his recent past? You should know he carries extra risk.

Use these calculations not only to gauge who’s most likely to get hurt, but also which backup QBs might have a better shot at finding opportunity.

About Injury PredictorRight
Player Career Injuries, Durability, Injury Probability, & Forecasts
Scoring & Filters
Columns
Open Player Modal
Low Risk44.0/yr28.3%1.9%5.03841.0
Open Player Modal
Medium Risk60.8/yr42.5%3.2%5.03821.7
Open Player Modal
Medium Risk61.2/yr55.7%4.7%5.03791.3
Josh Allen
BUF
QB 4
Open Player Modal
Very Low Risk91.3/yr11.8%0.7%5.03750.5
Joe Burrow
CIN
QB 5
Open Player Modal
High Risk112.2/yr63.3%5.7%4.73682.4
Open Player Modal
Very Low Risk91.1/yr11.4%0.7%5.03330.5
Bo Nix
DEN
QB 7
Open Player Modal
Very Low Risk33.0/yr21.2%1.4%5.03221.1
Open Player Modal
Very High Risk92.3/yr86.6%11.2%5.03183.4
Open Player Modal
Low Risk91.3/yr27.1%1.8%5.03171.0
Open Player Modal
Low Risk22.0/yr26.0%1.8%5.03161.4
Kyler Murray
ARI
QB 11
Open Player Modal
Low Risk71.2/yr32.6%2.3%3.43161.5
Open Player Modal
Very High Risk102.0/yr69.2%6.7%5.03152.4
Dak Prescott
DAL
QB 13
Open Player Modal
Low Risk80.9/yr26.1%1.8%5.03070.5
Open Player Modal
Low Risk112.8/yr38.1%2.8%5.03042.0
Open Player Modal
Low Risk51.3/yr25.3%1.7%5.03031.0
Drake Maye
NE
QB 16
Open Player Modal
Very Low Risk33.0/yr20.1%1.3%5.03031.0
Open Player Modal
Very Low Risk33.0/yr17.5%1.1%5.03021.2
Jared Goff
DET
QB 18
Open Player Modal
Very Low Risk40.4/yr20.1%1.3%5.03000.4
Open Player Modal
Very Low Risk51.0/yr19.9%1.3%5.02970.6
C.J. Stroud
HOU
QB 20
Open Player Modal
Low Risk31.5/yr25.7%1.7%5.02951.0
Bryce Young
CAR
QB 21
Open Player Modal
Low Risk21.0/yr29.2%2.0%5.02941.4
Open Player Modal
Medium Risk173.4/yr49.1%3.9%4.12932.0
Geno Smith
LVR
QB 23
Open Player Modal
Medium Risk70.6/yr52.5%4.3%5.02761.5
Open Player Modal
Very High Risk231.4/yr80.3%9.1%4.62722.7
Sam Darnold
SEA
QB 25
Open Player Modal
Low Risk91.3/yr30.7%2.1%3.42711.2
Open Player Modal
Low Risk84.0/yr40.4%3.0%2.32672.4
Open Player Modal
Very Low Risk44.0/yr21.2%1.4%0.92660.9
Open Player Modal
Low Risk70.5/yr38.4%2.8%5.02531.0
Open Player Modal
Low Risk160.8/yr35.8%2.6%4.22473.4
Daniel Jones
IND
QB 30
Open Player Modal
Medium Risk101.7/yr43.8%3.3%2.91372.1
Joe Flacco
CLE
QB 31
Open Player Modal
Very Low Risk70.4/yr14.7%0.9%5.0700.2
Kirk Cousins
ATL
QB 32
Open Player Modal
Very Low Risk30.2/yr17.2%1.1%5.0561.2
Open Player Modal
Medium Risk82.0/yr41.5%3.1%4.7541.3
Open Player Modal
Very Low Risk33.0/yr5.8%0.4%5.0440.3
Open Player Modal
Very Low Risk101.3/yr20.8%1.4%3.1301.1
How do Injuries impact your draft strategy?

For us, it's 1/17th of the equation. Hear us out.

The Draft War Room is the only live-sync draft tool that monitors 17 crucial in-draft indicators, including injury likelihood… and adapts to show you which players to pick throughout your draft.

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